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Canberra vs Illawarra Hawks 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 93-85
22-23 18-23 25-21 28-18
Position#1
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game82.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Canberra v Illawarra Hawks 2
28 Jun 2025
CANB93
ILLA85
17 Jun 2023
CANB91
ILLA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
W
118-77
118
77
+41
H03/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A10/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A11/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A17/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
107-82
107
82
+25
H24/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
104-96 OT
104
96
+8
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A05/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
102-90
102
90
+12
A14/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A15/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
98-52
98
52
+46
H21/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
37-22
33-12
24-16
12-26
23-14
15-23
22-23
23-16
16-24
15-16
15-19
24-22
20-12
16-20
18-31
27-19
26-26
25-13
29-24
30-18
27-27
19-25
17-23
21-23
23-20
25-24
6-18
32-29
22-18
24-18
24-25
21-13
24-15
30-17
21-19
22-16
29-10
20-10
27-16
171.1Avg total
91.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.378.1170.4+14.173%
Season at home (7)102.178.4180.6+23.7100%
Season away (8)83.677.9161.5+5.850%
Last 10 (10)91.979.2171.1+12.760%
Last 5 (5)95.077.4172.4+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.583.0157.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.286.2170.4-2.060%
vs Weaker (23)92.775.2167.9+17.587%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra Hawks 2AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#9
W
88-77 OT
88
77
+11
H26/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A10/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A11/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H17/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
A24/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
108-74
108
74
+34
A01/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
112-100
112
100
+12
H14/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
102-72
102
72
+30
H15/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H21/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
13-17
14-12
18-15
26-10
23-23
26-28
20-11
20-26
11-20
16-22
22-32
22-23
13-17
31-21
20-20
22-24
12-20
20-16
31-18
25-24
26-15
25-18
18-12
25-22
31-11
33-19
19-22
39-36
22-22
24-27
27-15
26-15
25-18
17-24
34-15
30-23
14-22
24-18
30-32
175.5Avg total
93.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.682.5172.1+7.179%
Season at home (7)96.683.1179.7+13.4100%
Season away (7)82.781.9164.6+0.957%
Last 10 (10)93.781.8175.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)102.882.0184.8+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.098.0184.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.384.5168.7-0.245%
vs Weaker (17)89.881.0170.8+8.876%
This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
CanberraIllawarra Hawks 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H03/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A14/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A15/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H21/06
NBL1 East
88.0Avg total
48.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.639.487.0+8.380%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.141.392.4+9.888%-
Last 30 away (14)43.737.180.9+6.671%-
Last 10 (10)48.339.788.0+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)50.237.888.0+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.038.079.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.243.890.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker (23)48.538.587.0+10.087%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra Hawks 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A01/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H14/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/06
NBL1 East
86.2Avg total
44.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.185.5+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.587.3+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.883.8+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.386.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)52.641.694.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.544.086.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.742.484.1-0.627%-
vs Weaker (17)44.641.886.4+2.853%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canberra wins
2
Illawarra Hawks 2 wins
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HCentral Coast Crusaders98-52
15/06/25APenrith P.96-64
14/06/25AManly W.102-90
05/06/25ABA CoE75-85
31/05/25HSutherland Sharks104-96 OT
24/05/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits107-82
17/05/25AIllawarra Hawks 278-85
11/05/25ANewcastle Falcons69-75
10/05/25AMaitland M.72-86
03/05/25HHornsby S.118-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HInner West Bulls98-95
15/06/25HBA CoE102-72
14/06/25HBankstown Bruins112-100
01/06/25AManly W.108-74
24/05/25AHills Hornets94-69
17/05/25HCanberra85-78
11/05/25APenrith P.86-81
10/05/25AHornsby S.69-100
03/05/25HCentral Coast Crusaders95-72
26/04/25HNewcastle Falcons88-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game92.3102.183.6
Allowed / game78.178.477.9
Point differential+14.1+23.7+5.8
Avg total170.4180.6161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Illawarra Hawks 2
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game89.696.682.7
Allowed / game82.583.181.9
Point differential+7.1+13.4+0.9
Avg total172.1179.7164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney Comets1512380%80.773.3+7.4
2 Illawarra Hawks 21411379%89.682.5+7.1
3 BA CoE1814478%84.473.2+11.3
4 Canberra1511473%92.378.1+14.1
5 Sutherland Sharks159660%86.179.8+6.3
6 Manly W.158753%85.286.3-1.1
7 Norths Bears147750%75.977.4-1.6
8 Central Coast Crusaders168850%81.884.2-2.4
9 Maitland M.157847%90.385.9+4.3
10 Bankstown Bruins157847%84.185.1-1.0
11 Newcastle Falcons167944%79.779.9-0.2
12 Hills Hornets1661038%76.081.1-5.1
13 Hornsby S.145936%80.688.6-8.0
14 Inner West Bulls1541127%83.487.5-4.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1431121%78.092.0-14.0
16 Penrith P.1731418%75.689.6-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra2218252893
Illawarra Hawks 22323211885
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