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Illawarra Hawks 2 vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 85-78
22-24 12-20 20-16 31-18
Position#2
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#1
Record6-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game77.2
AustraliaNBL1 East· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2025
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks 2 v Canberra
16 Aug 2025
ILLA91
CANB99
17 May 2025
ILLA85
CANB78
23 Jul 2023
ILLA91
CANB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks 2AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H15/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H23/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H29/03
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A05/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A12/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A25/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
W
88-77 OT
88
77
+11
H26/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A10/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
29-23
27-9
26-9
28-23
19-24
24-15
20-16
25-25
16-22
25-19
30-22
34-14
11-28
21-16
18-19
18-26
22-26
18-21
10-11
30-17
8-18
17-30
15-23
24-25
13-17
14-12
18-15
26-10
23-23
26-28
20-11
20-26
11-20
16-22
22-32
22-23
13-17
31-21
20-20
166.4Avg total
84.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.083.4165.4-1.462%
Season at home (3)93.079.0172.0+14.0100%
Season away (5)75.486.0161.4-10.640%
Last 10 (10)84.781.7166.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)81.683.6165.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.586.5170.0-3.040%
vs Weaker (17)87.377.2164.5+10.176%
This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H03/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H10/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A29/03
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H05/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H25/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
118-77
118
77
+41
H03/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A10/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
26-9
14-20
17-5
15-18
13-22
20-28
19-18
18-23
27-20
28-18
23-14
26-23
25-20
19-18
19-22
21-17
20-13
14-20
26-13
33-23
24-25
15-10
19-29
33-19
29-19
18-12
28-22
24-27
37-22
33-12
24-16
12-26
23-14
15-23
22-23
23-16
16-24
15-16
15-19
162.3Avg total
86.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.577.2167.8+13.275%
Season at home (4)101.579.8181.2+21.8100%
Season away (4)79.574.8154.2+4.850%
Last 10 (10)86.475.9162.3+10.570%
Last 5 (5)91.679.4171.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.785.3158.0-12.733%
vs Similar ◀ (4)88.884.0172.8+4.8100%
vs Weaker (23)88.972.4161.3+16.587%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
Illawarra Hawks 2Canberra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra Hawks 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H15/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H23/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H29/03
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A05/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A12/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A25/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/05
NBL1 East
84.8Avg total
41.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.783.6+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.340.484.7+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.641.082.6+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.884.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.277.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.746.789.3-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.344.186.4-1.820%-
vs Weaker (17)43.237.780.9+5.559%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H10/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/03
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H25/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H03/05
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/05
NBL1 East
86.2Avg total
46.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.738.584.2+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.740.389.0+8.481%-
Last 30 away (14)42.336.478.7+5.957%-
Last 10 (10)46.140.186.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.843.093.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.340.781.0-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.246.091.2-0.825%-
vs Weaker (23)46.536.983.4+9.683%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illawarra Hawks 2 wins
1
Canberra wins
DateGameScore
23/07/23Illawarra Hawks 2 v Canberra91-78
17/06/23Canberra v Illawarra Hawks 291-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25APenrith P.86-81
10/05/25AHornsby S.69-100
03/05/25HCentral Coast Crusaders95-72
26/04/25HNewcastle Falcons88-77 OT
25/04/25ASutherland Sharks70-88
12/04/25ANewcastle Falcons68-84
05/04/25ASydney Comets84-77
29/03/25HMaitland M.96-88
23/07/23HCanberra91-78
15/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders100-72
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25ANewcastle Falcons69-75
10/05/25AMaitland M.72-86
03/05/25HHornsby S.118-77
27/04/25HPenrith P.108-72
25/04/25HBA CoE91-87
12/04/25ANorths Bears81-63
05/04/25HInner West Bulls89-83
29/03/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits96-75
10/08/24HMaitland M.67-86
03/08/24HSydney Comets73-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks 2
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game82.093.075.4
Allowed / game83.479.086.0
Point differential-1.4+14.0-10.6
Avg total165.4172.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Canberra
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.5101.579.5
Allowed / game77.279.874.8
Point differential+13.2+21.8+4.8
Avg total167.8181.2154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE87188%88.267.5+20.8
2 Sutherland Sharks76186%87.676.0+11.6
3 Canberra86275%90.577.2+13.2
4 Sydney Comets85362%74.269.5+4.8
5 Illawarra Hawks 285362%82.083.4-1.4
6 Maitland M.95456%87.183.3+3.8
7 Hills Hornets84450%77.676.1+1.5
8 Central Coast Crusaders84450%82.181.6+0.5
9 Manly W.84450%80.480.1+0.2
10 Norths Bears84450%74.176.2-2.1
11 Bankstown Bruins84450%81.085.2-4.2
12 Newcastle Falcons83538%75.579.4-3.9
13 Inner West Bulls93633%84.188.1-4.0
14 Penrith P.103730%78.286.8-8.6
15 Hornsby S.71614%77.688.1-10.6
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits81712%74.193.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks 22212203185
Canberra2420161878
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