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Cantu vs Luiss Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 108-77
23-21 36-19 29-19 20-18
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game82.3
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#22
Record2-1
FormWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.3
ItalySerie A2Round 4· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luiss Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
78-102
78
102
-24
no box
A18/05
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
A20/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
H27/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H29/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
A01/06
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A03/06
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H06/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
77avg 76
A30/09
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
89-90
89
90
-1
79avg 76
H07/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
81-70
81
70
+11
73avg 76
A11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
27-23
3-28
23-31
27-22
25-26
23-20
24-10
17-19
14-20
18-10
25-24
20-24
25-9
24-23
13-12
19-25
14-12
21-15
15-21
15-25
22-21
15-12
25-22
15-14
24-15
18-26
10-20
25-27
21-19
23-25
21-16
23-23
17-25
24-22
25-20
30-20
21-12
23-15
7-23
160.2Avg total
80.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.782.3169.0+4.367%
Season at home (1)89.090.0179.0-1.00%
Season away (2)85.578.5164.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.679.6160.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)80.880.4161.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)70.871.5142.4-0.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.175.8161.8+10.379%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
66avg 68
A01/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 68
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 68
A11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
19-17
17-17
20-23
21-16
23-22
19-19
16-14
21-24
24-29
16-22
16-26
161.7Avg total
78.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.383.3161.7-5.067%
Season at home (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)78.089.5167.5-11.550%
Last 10 (3)78.383.3161.7-5.067%
Last 5 (3)78.383.3161.7-5.067%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)78.383.3161.7-5.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
CantuLuiss Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A18/05
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A20/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H27/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A01/06
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/06
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H06/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/09
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A11/10
Serie A2
82.7Avg total
42.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.580.1+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.836.979.7+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.338.180.4+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.182.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.282.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)35.836.872.6-1.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.537.984.4+8.684%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/10
Serie A2
86.7Avg total
43.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)43.743.086.7+0.767%-
Last 30 at home (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
Last 30 away (2)43.545.589.0-2.050%-
Last 10 (3)43.743.086.7+0.767%-
Last 5 (3)43.743.086.7+0.767%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)43.743.086.7+0.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.3
47.3%
50.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
74.2%14.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.7
49.0%
50.3%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.0
36.6%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.713.7
63.1%
74.2%13.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WLWLLLWWWL
Luiss Roma
LWW
#4
League position
#22
-2.8
Net rating
-7.8
103.4
Offensive rating
105.7
106.2
Defensive rating
113.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.7%
3-point %
36.6%
60.9%
Assist %
56.2%
50%
Form (last 10/3)
67%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 105.7Defence106.2 · 113.4Shooting49.3% · 51.6%3-point %34.7% · 36.6%Ball care16.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds25.4% · 29.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/3)50% · 67%
■ Cantu   ■ Luiss Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cantu wins
0
Luiss Roma wins
No previous meetings.
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23ALatina81-70
07/10/23HTreviglio89-90
30/09/23AJuVi Cremona90-87
06/06/23HPistoia67-75
03/06/23APistoia77-80
01/06/23APistoia69-73
29/05/23HPistoia82-68
27/05/23HPistoia74-73
20/05/23APallacanestro Nardo99-78
18/05/23APallacanestro Nardo78-102
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23AJuVi Cremona77-101
07/10/23HVigevano79-71
01/10/23AMonferrato79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game86.789.085.5
Allowed / game82.390.078.5
Point differential+4.3-1.0+7.0
Avg total169.0179.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.379.078.0
Allowed / game83.371.089.5
Point differential-5.0+8.0-11.5
Avg total161.7150.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%81.066.8+14.2
2 Trapani440100%88.580.8+7.8
3 Forli43175%81.568.2+13.2
4 Basket Torino43175%83.073.8+9.2
5 Sebastiani Rieti43175%86.077.5+8.5
6 Assigeco Piacenza43175%85.278.8+6.5
7 Trieste43175%85.279.0+6.2
8 Udine43175%80.574.5+6.0
9 Cantu32167%86.782.3+4.3
10 Luiss Roma32167%78.383.3-5.0
11 JuVi Cremona42250%88.584.5+4.0
12 Verona42250%74.272.0+2.2
13 Cividale42250%73.271.2+2.0
14 Urania Milano42250%85.583.8+1.8
15 Cento42250%77.282.5-5.2
16 Treviglio42250%82.588.2-5.8
17 Monferrato41325%79.080.5-1.5
18 Agrigento41325%71.574.2-2.8
19 Rimini41325%73.878.2-4.5
20 Orzinuovi41325%71.577.2-5.8
21 Vigevano41325%78.086.5-8.5
22 Latina4040%75.087.2-12.2
23 Nardo4040%77.594.0-16.5
24 Chiusi4040%58.577.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu23362920108
Luiss Roma2119191877
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