Verona's 2026-27 campaign in the Lega Basket Serie A has seen a 3-4 record, placing them 10th out of 16 teams, with a net rating of -3.5 that has improved from 15th to 13th, an upward trend. The squad has struggled in the last five games, winning only 2 of 5, and recent defeats include losses to Virtus Bologna 81-95 away, Varese 88-99 at home, and Trieste 99-108 away. Home play has been slightly better, a 2-1 record with 85.7 points for and 84.0 against, while away games have produced a 1-3 record, 90.5 points for and 96.5 against. Mike Tobey leads the team with 16.5 points and 10.7 rebounds per game, and F. Zampini averages 4.0 assists. The next outing is a home match against Udine on 22 November 2026, where the Pythia model projects a 56% win probability.
Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.
Verona stats, form & predictions – 2026-27
In the Lega Basket Serie A (this season) Verona score 88.5 points a game and allow 90.8 across 8 games – 88% of their games go over 170.5 and they clear 85.5 team points in 75%. They win 50% (67% at home, 40% away), by -2.2 points a game on average.
🏀 1. Points & form
VeronaLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
95-74
95
74
+21
93avg 75
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
65avg 75
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
81avg 75
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
56avg 75
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 75
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
60-59
60
59
+1
56avg 75
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
68avg 75
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 75
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 75
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
68avg 75
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 75
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 75
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 75
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 75
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
52avg 75
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
99-108
99
108
-9
88avg 75
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
86avg 75
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
28-14
34-17
12-23
14-21
20-18
23-19
23-20
26-16
23-20
12-17
25-18
12-18
16-24
13-14
29-21
15-22
24-14
21-23
17-10
14-9
12-22
17-13
17-15
17-26
16-10
18-18
17-14
27-22
20-13
24-28
15-10
22-24
29-18
20-18
13-14
17-20
23-17
13-21
31-18
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
23-25
21-25
27-23
17-26
22-21
14-21
27-26
18-27
29-31
23-19
21-19
16-19
163.3Avg total
82.9Scored
80.4Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
24.9
24.6
+0.2 won 38%
Q2
23.4
22.4
+1.0 won 62%
Q3
21.8
22.5
-0.8 won 50%
Q4
18.5
21.2
-2.8 won 25%
■ scored ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 62% of 8 games, the 2nd half in 25%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=3AWAY n=5
85.7
Points / game
90.2
84.0
Allowed / game
94.8
169.7
Game total
185.0
67%
Over 170.5
100%
67%
Win %
40%
+1.7
Margin
-4.6
48.3
1st half scored
48.2
67%
Won the 1st half
60%
33%
Won by 10+
0%
Points scored per game
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 87.8 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
Split
Total scored
Total allowed
Home scored
Home allowed
Away scored
Away allowed
Win %
All games (30)
82.8
77.6
85.1
73.9
80.8
80.8
73%
vs Stronger (4)
85.8
93.5
81.5
85.5
90.0
101.5
25%
vs Similar (17)
80.4
74.4
84.2
72.9
77.0
75.8
82%
vs Weaker (9)
86.1
76.6
88.8
70.2
84.0
81.6
78%
Over 170.5 (game total)
23% of these 30 games
💪 2. Team strengths
Where they rank
Win %
10thof 1650%
Attack: points scored per game
8thof 1688.5
Defence: points allowed per game
12thof 1690.8
Game total: both teams' points per game
6thof 16179.2
Ranked against the 16 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VeronaLeague average
101.7
Offensive rating
98.0
92.9
Defensive rating
98.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.3%
3-point %
34.3%
45.1%
3-point attempt rate
43.0%
59.8%
Assist %
60.9%
Profile
■ Verona■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).
PlayoffsRelegation Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 170.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.
📊 4. Betting markets
Bets by period · pick a period
VeronaLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
99-108
99
108
-9
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
28-14
34-17
12-23
14-21
20-18
23-19
23-20
26-16
23-20
12-17
25-18
12-18
16-24
13-14
29-21
15-22
24-14
21-23
17-10
14-9
12-22
17-13
17-15
17-26
16-10
18-18
17-14
27-22
20-13
24-28
15-10
22-24
29-18
20-18
13-14
17-20
23-17
13-21
31-18
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
23-25
21-25
27-23
17-26
22-21
14-21
27-26
18-27
29-31
23-19
21-19
16-19
163.3Avg total
82.9Scored
80.4Allowed
Full game
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the game
Over 170.5
Last 30 (30)
82.8
77.6
160.4
+5.2
73%
23%
Last 30 at home (14)
85.1
73.9
159.1
+11.2
93%
14%
Last 30 away (16)
80.8
80.8
161.6
+0.0
56%
31%
Last 10 (10)
86.1
88.3
174.4
-2.2
50%
70%
Last 5 (5)
90.2
94.2
184.4
-4.0
40%
100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
85.8
93.5
179.2
-7.8
25%
75%
vs Similar (17)
80.4
74.4
154.8
+6.0
82%
12%
vs Weaker (9)
86.1
76.6
162.7
+9.6
78%
22%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 170.5 = the league line
Over 170.523%
n=30
Under 170.577%
🔥 70%+n=30
Won the game73%
🔥 70%+n=30
Lost the game27%
n=30
VeronaLast 20 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
14-21
14
21
-7
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
26-16
26
16
+10
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
12-18
12
18
-6
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
15-22
15
22
-7
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
14-9
14
9
+5
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
17-26
17
26
-9
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
17-20
17
20
-3
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
30-16
30
16
+14
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/11
Lega A
43.3Avg total
21.7Scored
21.6Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)
21.2
20.3
41.5
+0.9
50%
53%
Last 30 at home (14)
21.3
18.9
40.2
+2.4
57%
50%
Last 30 away (16)
21.1
21.4
42.6
-0.3
44%
56%
Last 10 (10)
24.9
23.4
48.3
+1.5
40%
90%
Last 5 (5)
26.0
24.2
50.2
+1.8
60%
100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
23.2
22.5
45.8
+0.8
50%
100%
vs Similar (17)
20.4
20.3
40.6
+0.1
41%
47%
vs Weaker (9)
21.9
19.2
41.1
+2.7
67%
44%
1st quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 41.5 = the league line x 24%
Over 41.553%
n=30
Under 41.547%
n=30
Won the quarter50%
n=30
Lost the quarter47%
n=30
VeronaLast 20 – 2nd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
28-14
28
14
+14
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
20-18
20
18
+2
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
24-14
24
14
+10
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
12-22
12
22
-10
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
16-10
16
10
+6
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
20-13
20
13
+7
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
23-17
23
17
+6
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
21-20
21
20
+1
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
23-17
23
17
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
14-21
14
21
-7
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
23-19
23
19
+4
A14/11
Lega A
41.6Avg total
21.8Scored
19.9Allowed
2nd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)
22.4
19.5
41.9
+2.9
73%
50%
Last 30 at home (14)
23.9
18.6
42.4
+5.3
86%
57%
Last 30 away (16)
21.1
20.3
41.4
+0.8
62%
44%
Last 10 (10)
22.4
22.7
45.1
-0.3
60%
70%
Last 5 (5)
22.4
23.6
46.0
-1.2
40%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
21.0
22.8
43.8
-1.8
25%
50%
vs Similar (17)
21.1
18.5
39.6
+2.6
76%
35%
vs Weaker (9)
25.3
20.0
45.3
+5.3
89%
78%
2nd quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 41.5 = the league line x 24%
Over 41.550%
n=30
Under 41.550%
n=30
Won the quarter73%
🔥 70%+n=30
Lost the quarter27%
n=30
VeronaLast 20 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A14/11
Lega A
84.9Avg total
43.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)
43.6
39.8
83.3
+3.8
67%
43%
Last 30 at home (14)
45.1
37.5
82.6
+7.6
79%
36%
Last 30 away (16)
42.2
41.8
83.9
+0.4
56%
50%
Last 10 (10)
47.3
46.1
93.4
+1.2
60%
70%
Last 5 (5)
48.4
47.8
96.2
+0.6
60%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
44.2
45.2
89.5
-1.0
50%
50%
vs Similar (17)
41.5
38.8
80.2
+2.7
65%
35%
vs Weaker (9)
47.2
39.2
86.4
+8.0
78%
56%
1st half hit rates · last 30 games · line 83.5 = the league line x 49%
Over 83.543%
n=30
Under 83.557%
n=30
Won the half67%
n=30
Lost the half30%
n=30
VeronaLast 20 – 3rd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
34-17
34
17
+17
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
12-17
12
17
-5
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
13-14
13
14
-1
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
17-13
17
13
+4
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
D
18-18
18
18
+0
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
20-18
20
18
+2
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
13-21
13
21
-8
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
11-27
11
27
-16
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
15-17
15
17
-2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
14-15
14
15
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
18-25
18
25
-7
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
16-20
16
20
-4
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
21-19
21
19
+2
A14/11
Lega A
40.4Avg total
19.8Scored
20.6Allowed
3rd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)
19.8
19.1
38.9
+0.8
50%
27%
Last 30 at home (14)
21.0
17.7
38.7
+3.3
64%
21%
Last 30 away (16)
18.8
20.2
39.1
-1.4
38%
31%
Last 10 (10)
20.0
22.4
42.4
-2.4
40%
50%
Last 5 (5)
23.0
23.2
46.2
-0.2
60%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
23.0
23.0
46.0
+0.0
50%
75%
vs Similar (17)
17.8
18.9
36.6
-1.1
35%
12%
vs Weaker (9)
22.3
17.7
40.0
+4.7
78%
33%
3rd quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 42.5 = the league line x 25%
Over 42.527%
n=30
Under 42.573%
🔥 70%+n=30
Won the quarter50%
n=30
Lost the quarter47%
n=30
VeronaLast 20 – 4th quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
12-23
12
23
-11
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
17-10
17
10
+7
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
17-15
17
15
+2
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
17-14
17
14
+3
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
15-10
15
10
+5
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
13-14
13
14
-1
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
18-14
18
14
+4
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
22-14
22
14
+8
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
18-25
18
25
-7
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
17-19
17
19
-2
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
19-10
19
10
+9
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
21-15
21
15
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
L
16-19
16
19
-3
A14/11
Lega A
37.4Avg total
19.4Scored
18.1Allowed
4th quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)
19.2
18.6
37.8
+0.6
57%
17%
Last 30 at home (14)
19.0
18.7
37.7
+0.3
50%
7%
Last 30 away (16)
19.4
18.4
37.8
+0.9
62%
25%
Last 10 (10)
18.8
19.8
38.6
-1.0
40%
20%
Last 5 (5)
18.8
23.2
42.0
-4.4
20%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
18.5
25.2
43.8
-6.8
0%
50%
vs Similar (17)
20.8
16.4
37.2
+4.4
88%
18%
vs Weaker (9)
16.6
19.7
36.2
-3.1
22%
0%
4th quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 44.5 = the league line x 26%
Over 44.517%
n=30
Under 44.583%
🔥 70%+n=30
Won the quarter57%
n=30
Lost the quarter40%
n=30
VeronaLast 20 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H26/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A20/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A22/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H07/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H09/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A14/11
Lega A
77.8Avg total
39.1Scored
38.6Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)
39.0
37.6
76.7
+1.4
67%
13%
Last 30 at home (14)
40.0
36.4
76.4
+3.6
79%
7%
Last 30 away (16)
38.2
38.7
76.9
-0.5
56%
19%
Last 10 (10)
38.8
42.2
81.0
-3.4
30%
40%
Last 5 (5)
41.8
46.4
88.2
-4.6
20%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)
41.5
48.2
89.8
-6.8
0%
75%
vs Similar (17)
38.5
35.3
73.8
+3.2
82%
0%
vs Weaker (9)
38.9
37.3
76.2
+1.6
67%
11%
2nd half hit rates · last 30 games · line 86.5 = the league line x 51%
Over 86.513%
n=30
Under 86.587%
🔥 70%+n=30
Won the half67%
n=30
Lost the half33%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, Lega A games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 170.5)
Team points (line 85.5)
Margin (win)
Split
All
Home
Away
All
Home
Away
All
Home
Away
Overall (8)
179.2
169.7
185.0
88.5
85.7
90.2
-2.2
+1.7
-4.6
vs Stronger (4)
179.2
167.0
191.5
85.8
81.5
90.0
-7.8
-4.0
-11.5
vs Similar (2)
176.0
175.0
177.0
91.5
94.0
89.0
+7.0
+13.0
+1.0
vs Weaker (2)
182.5
-
182.5
91.0
-
91.0
-0.5
-
-0.5
% over line / win
88%
67%
100%
75%
67%
80%
50%
67%
40%
% under line / loss
12%
33%
0%
25%
33%
20%
50%
33%
60%
Scoring dials
Points / game88.5
League avg 87.8 · above by 0.7
Allowed / game90.8
League avg 87.8 · above by 2.9
1st half scored48.2
League avg 44.4 · above by 3.9
3-pointers made8.2
League avg 9.5 · below by 1.3
Free throws made18.8
League avg 17.9 · above by 0.9
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 80.5 pts88%
n=8
Under 80.5 pts12%
n=8
Over 85.5 pts75%
n=8
Under 85.5 pts25%
n=8
Over 90.5 pts38%
n=8
Under 90.5 pts62%
n=8
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 160.588%
n=8
Under 160.512%
n=8
Over 170.588%
n=8
Under 170.512%
n=8
Over 180.538%
n=8
Under 180.562%
n=8
Result markets
Win50%
n=8
Win by 6+ (-5.5)25%
n=8
Cover +5.550%
n=8
Win by 10+12%
n=8
Win the 1st half62%
n=8
Overtime0%
n=8
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.
🎯 5. Shooting profile
Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games
Where their points come from
Verona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
34.5
19.6
56.8%
54.3%
39.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
27.4
8.8
32.1%
34.3%
26.4
🏀Free throws
23.7
16.4
69.2%
74.6%
16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Verona: 80.0 points a game allowed
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
33.2
18.0
54.2%
54.3%
36.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.6
9.7
37.9%
34.3%
29.1
🏀Free throws
20.9
14.9
71.3%
74.6%
14.9
Their opponents take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Scoringtheir own shots, last 30 games
Where their points come from
Verona: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
34.2
18.3
53.4%
54.3%
36.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.2
10.5
37.3%
34.3%
31.5
🏀Free throws
19.0
13.3
70.0%
74.6%
13.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Verona: 74.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
33.0
17.0
51.4%
54.3%
33.9
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.6
8.5
33.2%
34.3%
25.5
🏀Free throws
19.4
14.8
76.5%
74.6%
14.8
Their opponents take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.
🔮 7. Pythia's view
Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
📊 The record behind it
21-9favourite won / lost
Across 30 games of Verona, 2022-23: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 70% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE
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