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Casey Cavaliers vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 102-82
26-16 27-24 26-18 23-24
Position#10
Record8-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#18
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game87.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v NW Tasmania
14 Jun 2025
CASE102
NW T82
06 May 2023
CASE79
NW T111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A11/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A17/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H24/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
H06/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
23-19
23-19
29-17
25-17
20-25
19-12
21-19
26-11
25-26
11-25
23-23
28-16
25-8
16-16
13-21
23-23
22-28
21-30
25-12
27-27
27-26
25-18
16-19
30-17
29-19
17-25
16-22
18-15
14-25
15-13
22-16
20-30
18-17
23-15
29-18
30-21
24-30
14-24
32-28
175.0Avg total
90.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.283.4171.6+4.862%
Season at home (6)88.089.0177.0-1.017%
Season away (7)88.478.6167.0+9.9100%
Last 10 (10)90.484.6175.0+5.860%
Last 5 (5)91.687.8179.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.990.9171.9-10.017%
vs Similar (8)81.082.8163.8-1.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.586.8178.2+4.875%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H11/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H12/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
98-53
98
53
+45
H26/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H10/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
87-107
87
107
-20
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A30/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
21-24
12-27
27-27
27-19
16-22
21-21
21-22
16-17
23-22
23-20
20-27
22-13
24-19
22-8
30-13
29-26
19-15
21-24
21-26
18-25
12-22
21-14
27-20
13-29
20-19
17-11
21-25
29-26
19-21
21-24
20-19
13-31
23-21
23-28
28-27
25-27
27-23
10-23
23-23
171.9Avg total
85.3Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.987.6173.5-1.725%
Season at home (7)85.785.4171.1+0.329%
Season away (5)86.290.6176.8-4.420%
Last 10 (10)85.386.6171.9-1.320%
Last 5 (5)82.091.6173.6-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.191.5173.6-9.422%
vs Similar (10)87.283.8171.0+3.450%
vs Weaker (2)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
Casey CavaliersNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A17/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H06/06
NBL1 South
90.1Avg total
47.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.787.2-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.945.986.8-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)44.143.687.7+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)47.342.890.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.492.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)41.646.688.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)41.940.982.8+1.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.044.292.2+3.875%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H10/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H24/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
NBL1 South
86.1Avg total
42.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.746.188.8-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.844.989.7-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.647.387.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.786.1-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.888.6-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)42.747.490.1-4.739%-
vs Similar (10)42.444.386.7-1.930%-
vs Weaker (2)44.544.088.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Casey Cavaliers wins
2
NW Tasmania wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/25HSandringham Sabres100-103
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder90-80
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers81-83 OT
17/05/25AFrankston92-83
11/05/25AWaverley95-90
10/05/25HMt Gambier91-93
03/05/25AKilsyth82-61
26/04/25HDiamond Valley94-97 OT
25/04/25AKnox85-73
12/04/25ANunawading94-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25AHobart Chargers85-96
24/05/25HRingwood87-107
17/05/25HEltham89-90
10/05/25HNunawading71-84
04/05/25ABallarat78-81
03/05/25AFrankston90-91
26/04/25HKeilor Thunder98-53
25/04/25HGeelong82-86
12/04/25HKilsyth85-84
11/04/25HBallarat88-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%17%100%
Points / game88.288.088.4
Allowed / game83.489.078.6
Point differential+4.8-1.0+9.9
Avg total171.6177.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%0%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %15%33%0%
NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%29%20%
Points / game85.985.786.2
Allowed / game87.685.490.6
Point differential-1.7+0.3-4.4
Avg total173.5171.1176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1312192%92.877.9+14.9
2 Mt Gambier139469%96.883.2+13.6
3 Frankston138562%91.885.5+6.3
4 Casey Cavaliers138562%88.283.4+4.8
5 Melbourne Tigers127558%87.279.2+8.1
6 Hobart Chargers127558%85.681.7+3.9
7 Eltham127558%86.085.4+0.6
8 Ballarat127558%88.295.0-6.8
9 Kilsyth148657%85.784.9+0.9
10 Nunawading137654%86.187.8-1.7
11 Bendigo Braves157847%87.394.7-7.5
12 Waverley146843%91.195.2-4.1
13 Geelong125742%81.686.1-4.5
14 Sandringham Sabres125742%87.491.9-4.5
15 Ringwood135838%94.290.5+3.7
16 Diamond Valley134931%85.793.1-7.4
17 Keilor Thunder134931%81.091.3-10.3
18 NW Tasmania123925%85.987.6-1.7
19 Dandenong1331023%87.494.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers26272623102
NW Tasmania1624182482
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