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Castello vs Benicarlo Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 78-75
Projected total 152.3
Scheduled
Position#24
Record2-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game79.6
Vs
61%
39%
■ CAST 61%■ BENI 39%
Pythia win probability
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game68.2
SpainSegunda FEBRound 9· Pabellon Ciutat de Castello
Other2026-27
Meetings · Castello v Benicarlo
18 Nov 2026
CAST v BENI
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
CAST108
BENI69
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Castello will host Benicarlo on 18 November 2026 in the Segunda FEB, a clash that pits a team on a 2-5 run against a perfect 5-0 record, a stark contrast that sets the tone. Castello has gone 2-5 in all seven games this season, averaging 74.4 points and conceding 79.6, while Benicarlo is unbeaten at 5-0, scoring 77.8 and allowing 68.2, a margin that places them second in the league. At home Castello has yet to win, 0-4 with 69.8 points for and 81.8 against, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, including a 73-87 defeat to Prat Joventut at home. Benicarlo, meanwhile, has won both road games, 2-0, with 85.5 points for and 75.0 against, and their last five games are all victories, the most recent being a 82-74 win over Cartagena away. In the two meetings between the sides, Castello has won both, most recently 108-69 on 12 April 2026. Pythia rates Castello as the favourite with a 61% chance of winning versus 39% for Benicarlo, projecting a 78-75 score and a total of 152.3 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The model also gives a 61% probability that Castello will cover the spread.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello win
60.7%fair 1.65
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benicarlo win
39.3%fair 2.54
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lliria
#15
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A24/05
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H31/05
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A03/10
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#26
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A17/10
Segunda FEB
Sant Antoni
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#22
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#19
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#7
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H14/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
27-14
16-23
16-20
22-27
13-14
19-17
10-12
21-14
8-21
13-10
24-23
26-19
21-24
22-29
19-22
13-15
19-26
17-14
16-20
20-14
17-9
15-13
16-19
26-19
13-27
10-20
18-19
15-22
21-18
24-23
14-17
18-13
20-19
22-27
26-22
22-26
18-21
7-22
26-18
149.5Avg total
72.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.479.6154.0-5.129%
Season at home (4)69.881.8151.5-12.00%
Season away (3)80.776.7157.3+4.067%
Last 10 (10)72.676.9149.5-4.330%
Last 5 (5)73.677.6151.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.884.4160.2-8.620%
vs Similar (9)75.371.8147.1+3.644%
vs Weaker (16)83.873.5157.3+10.388%
This opponent (Benicarlo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenicarloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Molina Basket
#22
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A28/03
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
69-108
69
108
-39
A12/04
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#28
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A31/10
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H08/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
19-14
17-20
14-20
21-20
13-16
15-23
18-23
17-24
20-16
19-14
17-11
22-27
19-23
17-33
11-25
13-24
22-19
20-19
18-10
17-22
22-12
18-11
16-16
22-22
21-12
28-27
18-15
18-18
16-22
14-12
17-5
20-16
26-23
15-16
21-19
13-22
25-16
27-14
15-21
147.6Avg total
73.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.868.2146.0+9.6100%
Season at home (3)72.763.7136.3+9.0100%
Season away (2)85.575.0160.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.574.1147.6-0.670%
Last 5 (5)77.868.2146.0+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.282.8157.0-8.728%
vs Similar (7)73.774.9148.6-1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.868.2146.0+9.6100%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149
Over 149
57.4%
Under 149
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
45.1%
Under 154
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
33.4%
Under 159
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Castello total 75
Over 75
60.7%
Under 75
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Castello total 79
Over 79
44.6%
Under 79
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Castello total 83
Over 83
29.4%
Under 83
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benicarlo total 71
Over 71
63.9%
Under 71
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benicarlo total 75
Over 75
48.1%
Under 75
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benicarlo total 79
Over 79
32.8%
Under 79
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Castello -3
CAST -3
51.8%
BENI +3
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
CAST
No market prices yet.
BENI
No market prices yet.
Spread Castello 0
CAST 0
60.7%
BENI 0
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
CAST
No market prices yet.
BENI
No market prices yet.
Spread Castello +3
CAST +3
69.3%
BENI -3
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
CAST
No market prices yet.
BENI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
CastelloBenicarlo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lliria
#15
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/05
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H31/05
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A03/10
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#26
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A17/10
Segunda FEB
Sant Antoni
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#22
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#19
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A08/11
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/11
Segunda FEB
75.5Avg total
37.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.578.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.377.9+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.439.778.1-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.975.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
vs Similar (9)35.639.475.0-3.933%-
vs Weaker (16)41.837.078.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Benicarlo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenicarloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Molina Basket
#22
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/03
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A12/04
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#28
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A31/10
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/11
Segunda FEB
76.7Avg total
38.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.677.1-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.438.576.9-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.540.777.2-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.776.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.077.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.241.881.0-2.728%-
vs Similar (7)31.335.767.0-4.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.037.077.0+3.060%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Castello wins
0
Benicarlo wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Castello v Benicarlo108-69
20/12/25Benicarlo v Castello70-72
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPrat Joventut73-87
08/11/26ALogrono86-81
01/11/26HIraurgi SB74-80
25/10/26HSant Antoni67-85
17/10/26ASol Girones Bisbal68-55
11/10/26HCB Zaragoza65-75
03/10/26AGandia88-94
31/05/26HAlbacete66-68
24/05/26AAlbacete64-70
17/05/26HLliria75-74
Benicarlolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HGandia80-73
31/10/26ACartagena82-74
25/10/26HMolina Basket65-57
18/10/26AClavijo89-76
11/10/26HLliria73-61
18/04/26ACB Zaragoza73-72
12/04/26ACastello69-108
05/04/26HCB Getafe73-65
28/03/26AGandia67-82
22/03/26HMolina Basket64-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello
Segunda FEB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%0%67%
Points / game74.469.880.7
Allowed / game79.681.876.7
Point differential-5.1-12.0+4.0
Avg total154.0151.5157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benicarlo
Segunda FEB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.872.785.5
Allowed / game68.263.775.0
Point differential+9.6+9.0+10.5
Avg total146.0136.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melilla660100%84.370.0+14.3
2 Benicarlo550100%77.868.2+9.6
3 Caceres76186%85.376.4+8.9
4 Sant Antoni65183%80.063.8+16.2
5 CB Zaragoza65183%86.374.5+11.8
6 CBC Valladolid75271%84.776.1+8.6
7 Prat Joventut75271%80.474.4+6.0
8 Leonesa64267%84.880.7+4.2
9 Huesca74357%86.783.6+3.1
10 Gandia74357%80.679.9+0.7
11 Moron74357%76.976.9+0.0
12 Lliria74357%70.772.6-1.9
13 Algeciras63350%81.780.3+1.3
14 Ponferrada63350%79.381.3-2.0
15 Toledo73443%83.383.3+0.0
16 Cartagena73443%82.484.9-2.4
17 Clavijo73443%72.976.1-3.3
18 Tres Cantos73443%71.779.4-7.7
19 Logrono62433%81.081.2-0.2
20 Spanish Basketball Academy62433%78.078.8-0.8
21 Jaen Paraiso62433%77.780.3-2.7
22 Iraurgi SB62433%77.882.5-4.7
23 CB Getafe72529%74.978.3-3.4
24 Castello72529%74.479.6-5.1
25 Estudiantes B72529%75.081.4-6.4
26 Sol Girones Bisbal72529%72.682.9-10.3
27 Badajoz71614%73.085.1-12.1
28 Molina Basket7070%63.376.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.
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