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Castello vs Real Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-83 (OT)
17-21 19-19 17-7 22-28 13-8
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#11
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game73.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 10
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H06/03
Primera FEB
Real Murcia
#11
W
86-58
86
58
+28
A17/10
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H23/10
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H06/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A15/11
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H04/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H09/12
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A12/12
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
H18/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
16-25
20-18
26-23
21-16
24-7
21-17
20-18
23-19
19-18
22-14
28-12
17-11
23-24
24-10
10-27
12-24
13-16
13-25
24-20
16-16
28-10
22-29
13-18
14-13
34-28
29-16
14-12
18-12
19-21
20-15
8-26
19-16
17-15
12-18
18-3
17-17
21-25
23-20
20-19
153.5Avg total
80.2Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.071.8151.8+8.278%
Season at home (5)83.078.2161.2+4.860%
Season away (4)76.263.8140.0+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.273.3153.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)81.273.6154.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.188.3168.4-8.222%
vs Similar (14)81.478.4159.8+3.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.968.3148.1+11.671%
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
86-53
86
53
+33
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Castello
#3
L
58-86
58
86
-28
H17/10
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/10
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A07/11
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H21/11
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A05/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A18/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
17-7
30-17
23-14
16-21
7-24
17-21
18-20
27-16
24-19
14-17
17-17
16-17
17-14
20-14
12-18
15-25
21-20
12-14
19-14
17-22
11-16
11-19
16-21
23-14
15-16
25-18
13-19
22-19
17-20
15-20
9-16
16-16
12-15
19-19
18-21
19-18
17-18
20-24
16-17
140.1Avg total
68.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.073.2140.2-6.233%
Season at home (4)66.071.8137.8-5.850%
Season away (5)67.874.4142.2-6.620%
Last 10 (10)68.971.2140.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)66.273.6139.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)58.086.0144.0-28.00%
vs Similar (11)71.071.8142.8-0.855%
vs Weaker (18)79.170.4149.6+8.767%
This opponent (Castello) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
CastelloReal Murcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/03
Primera FEB
Real Murcia
#11
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A17/10
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A01/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H06/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A15/11
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/12
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A12/12
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H18/12
Primera FEB
74.5Avg total
39.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.678.3+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.980.3-1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)40.136.276.3+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.474.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.675.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.844.681.3-7.811%-
vs Similar (14)40.737.177.8+3.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.433.975.3+7.686%-
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#7
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Castello
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
H17/10
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A23/10
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A07/11
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H21/11
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Primera FEB
69.7Avg total
34.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.935.873.7+2.152%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.976.0+4.171%-
Last 30 away (15)35.935.671.5+0.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.269.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.868.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)23.045.068.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (11)37.537.575.0+0.145%-
vs Weaker (17)39.034.173.1+4.959%-
This opponent (Castello) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Castello wins
0
Real Murcia wins
DateGameScore
17/10/20Real Murcia v Castello58-86
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/20HGranada105-100 OT
12/12/20AAlmansa66-52
09/12/20HForca Lleida65-74
04/12/20HHuesca91-69
15/11/20AFibwi Palma79-73
06/11/20HAlicante62-85
01/11/20ABasquet Girona74-72
23/10/20HReal Canoe92-63
17/10/20AReal Murcia86-58
06/03/20HPalencia82-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/20AFibwi Palma72-77
12/12/20HAlicante65-71
05/12/20ABasquet Girona63-75
21/11/20HReal Canoe76-67
15/11/20AForca Lleida55-78
07/11/20AGranada67-73
31/10/20HAlmansa65-63
23/10/20AHuesca82-69
17/10/20HCastello58-86
08/03/20AIraurgi SB86-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%60%100%
Points / game80.083.076.2
Allowed / game71.878.263.8
Point differential+8.2+4.8+12.5
Avg total151.8161.2140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Real Murcia
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game67.066.067.8
Allowed / game73.271.874.4
Point differential-6.2-5.8-6.6
Avg total140.2137.8142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante98189%83.272.0+11.2
2 Breogan87188%77.666.5+11.1
3 Castello97278%80.071.8+8.2
4 Granada107370%81.873.0+8.8
5 Leyma Coruna96367%75.069.2+5.8
6 Real Valladolid85362%81.979.1+2.8
7 Forca Lleida74357%71.470.4+1.0
8 Almansa95456%75.874.7+1.1
9 Oviedo84450%76.475.4+1.0
10 Palencia94544%71.269.6+1.7
11 Fibwi Palma94544%80.683.2-2.7
12 Caceres73443%72.073.6-1.6
13 Tizona Burgos83538%74.884.5-9.8
14 Melilla93633%73.479.6-6.1
15 Real Murcia93633%67.073.2-6.2
16 Basquet Girona72529%75.380.0-4.7
17 Ourense82625%73.678.9-5.2
18 Huesca92722%71.381.4-10.1
19 Real Canoe81712%76.185.6-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Castello171917221388
Real Murcia2119728883
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