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Catolica vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 75-70
22-26 15-17 20-15 18-12
Position#10
Record5-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#11
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game77.3
ChileLNB· Estadio Palestino
Other2024-25
Meetings · Catolica v Valdivia
06 Mar 2025
CATO75
VALD70
27 Apr 2024
CATO72
VALD74
06 May 2023
CATO87
VALD92
01 May 2022
CATO71
VALD77
11 Jan 2020
CATO76
VALD78
21 Dec 2018
CATO84
VALD95
17 Nov 2017
CATO92
VALD69
17 Dec 2016
CATO78
VALD84
19 Dec 2015
CATO88
VALD90
20 Dec 2014
CATO106
VALD89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Catolica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CatolicaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCatolica
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 59
H23/01
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
65-62
65
62
+3
65avg 59
A24/01
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
L
51-63
51
63
-12
40avg 59
A29/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
49-62
49
62
-13
39avg 59
H01/02
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
65avg 59
H02/02
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 59
A07/02
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
77-63
77
63
+14
67avg 59
H09/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
72-66
72
66
+6
70avg 59
H26/02
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
56-81
56
81
-25
43avg 59
A27/02
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
54avg 59
A02/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
19-24
14-16
23-20
23-12
8-13
11-21
23-16
12-12
14-9
18-17
7-25
17-10
12-22
12-13
8-17
18-13
20-24
13-16
17-20
26-25
19-31
15-25
13-19
22-16
13-18
22-14
20-15
28-24
6-16
16-11
22-15
15-27
17-17
15-15
9-22
17-28
13-16
15-20
15-20
137.8Avg total
64.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)64.273.6137.8-9.433%
Season at home (7)69.368.1137.4+1.157%
Season away (8)59.878.4138.1-18.612%
Last 10 (10)64.972.9137.8-8.040%
Last 5 (5)67.678.8146.4-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)65.175.6140.8-10.524%
vs Similar ◀ (3)68.079.7147.7-11.70%
vs Weaker (6)72.764.0136.7+8.783%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
60avg 67
H24/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 67
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
57-85
57
85
-28
52avg 67
A29/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
64-66
64
66
-2
57avg 67
A30/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
47avg 67
H02/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
75avg 67
A06/02
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
38avg 67
H08/02
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 67
A26/02
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
65-70
65
70
-5
57avg 67
H28/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 67
A02/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
12-20
26-15
15-29
23-24
14-19
15-19
14-15
19-21
9-18
16-23
13-23
20-18
17-15
14-15
13-18
23-13
14-18
15-18
11-17
18-21
22-30
19-25
19-23
15-16
18-13
8-15
11-18
25-30
19-13
17-25
20-18
11-21
16-13
18-13
20-23
17-24
18-23
21-18
18-18
145.0Avg total
67.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.377.3145.6-9.113%
Season at home (7)67.170.6137.7-3.429%
Season away (8)69.283.2152.5-14.00%
Last 10 (10)67.277.8145.0-10.60%
Last 5 (5)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)72.683.7156.3-11.24%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.273.0143.2-2.820%
vs Weaker (2)91.571.5163.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Catolica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -4.8-4.8
CatolicaValdivia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CatolicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/01
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A24/01
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A29/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H01/02
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/02
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A07/02
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H09/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/02
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A27/02
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A02/03
LNB
71.3Avg total
34.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.237.570.7-4.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.435.169.5-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)31.940.071.9-8.133%-
Last 10 (10)34.137.271.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.678.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)32.038.970.9-6.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.738.374.0-2.767%-
vs Weaker (6)35.832.568.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H24/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A30/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H02/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A06/02
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/02
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/02
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H28/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/03
LNB
73.9Avg total
34.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.479.1-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.635.173.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.845.784.5-6.913%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.073.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.876.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.142.680.7-4.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.434.468.8+0.060%-
vs Weaker (2)56.029.585.5+26.5100%-
This opponent (Catolica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Catolicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Catolica: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.319.4
43.8%
50.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.64.3
23.1%
32.3%12.9
🏀 Free throws18.912.6
66.7%
71.2%12.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.417.9
45.4%
50.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.0
27.4%
32.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.6
75.9%
71.2%12.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Catolica
LLWWLLLLWW
Valdivia
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-9.8
Net rating
-14.4
83.2
Offensive rating
88.7
93.0
Defensive rating
103.2
41.1%
Effective FG%
43.9%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
23.1%
3-point %
27.4%
62.4%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence83.2 · 88.7Defence93.0 · 103.2Shooting41.1% · 43.9%3-point %23.1% · 27.4%Ball care19.9% · 19.9%Off. rebounds23.4% · 22.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Catolica   ■ Valdivia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Catolica wins
10
Valdivia wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Catolica v Valdivia72-74
20/01/24Valdivia v Catolica85-71
07/05/23Catolica v Valdivia87-92
05/03/23Valdivia v Catolica81-76
01/05/22Catolica v Valdivia71-77
07/03/22Valdivia v Catolica20-0
11/01/20Catolica v Valdivia76-78
21/11/19Valdivia v Catolica78-56
09/02/19Valdivia v Catolica85-59
22/12/18Catolica v Valdivia84-95
Catolicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ALeones Quilpue60-84
27/02/25APuente Alto56-81
26/02/25HEspanol de Talca72-66
09/02/25HColo Colo77-63
07/02/25ASportiva Italiana73-100
02/02/25HLeones Quilpue68-73
01/02/25HPuente Alto49-62
29/01/25AEspanol de Talca51-63
24/01/25AColo Colo65-62
23/01/25HSportiva Italiana78-75
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ACD Puerto Varas74-83
28/02/25HLas Animas65-70
26/02/25AEspanol Osorno81-86
08/02/25HAncud52-62
06/02/25AU. De Concepcion78-99
02/02/25HCD Puerto Varas63-66
30/01/25ALas Animas64-66
29/01/25AEspanol Osorno57-85
26/01/25AAncud66-77
24/01/25HU. De Concepcion72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Catolica
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game64.269.359.8
Allowed / game73.668.178.4
Point differential-9.4+1.1-18.6
Avg total137.8137.4138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valdivia
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%29%0%
Points / game68.367.169.2
Allowed / game77.370.683.2
Point differential-9.1-3.4-14.0
Avg total145.6137.7152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue1413193%82.167.4+14.7
2 U. De Concepcion1613381%87.275.5+11.7
3 Espanol Osorno1612475%80.870.2+10.6
4 Sportiva Italiana1511473%89.080.3+8.7
5 CD Puerto Varas169756%77.278.9-1.8
6 Colo Colo147750%79.477.6+1.8
7 Puente Alto168850%79.978.6+1.3
8 Ancud167944%76.979.6-2.8
9 Catolica1551033%64.273.6-9.4
10 Las Animas1541127%76.484.8-8.4
11 Valdivia1521313%68.377.3-9.1
12 Espanol de Talca161156%66.082.4-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Catolica2215201875
Valdivia2617151270
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