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U. De Concepcion vs Valdivia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 99-78
21-18 30-22 25-19 23-19
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game70.6
U. De Concepcion 🏆
Chile
vs
Valdivia
Chile
Position#11
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game76.0
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2024-25
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Valdivia
01 Nov 2026
U. D91
VALD76
12 Oct 2025
U. D94
VALD89
06 Feb 2025
U. D99
VALD78
09 Jan 2025
U. D103
VALD77
18 Oct 2024
U. D97
VALD87
26 May 2024
U. D101
VALD90
24 May 2024
U. D85
VALD70
03 Mar 2024
U. D99
VALD89
31 Mar 2023
U. D91
VALD72
19 Mar 2022
U. D88
VALD82
06 Sep 2021
U. D58
VALD56
04 Sep 2021
U. D67
VALD57
09 Feb 2020
U. D84
VALD70
18 Nov 2018
U. D90
VALD88
21 Oct 2017
U. D82
VALD61
19 Nov 2016
U. D79
VALD72
21 Feb 2016
U. D76
VALD78
07 Feb 2016
U. D82
VALD57
06 Feb 2016
U. D89
VALD82
11 Oct 2015
U. D90
VALD76
25 Oct 2014
U. D95
VALD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Valdivia
#11
W
103-77
103
77
+26
100avg 79
H09/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 79
H11/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 79
H15/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
104-62
104
62
+42
108avg 79
A18/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A19/01
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
86avg 79
A24/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
81avg 79
A26/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
96-82
96
82
+14
95avg 79
A29/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 79
H31/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
85avg 79
H02/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
17-26
31-20
24-14
21-13
19-15
21-30
16-20
24-21
14-19
24-19
35-18
33-15
21-17
21-11
29-19
–
–
–
–
20-19
20-12
15-26
29-15
19-27
25-21
13-18
27-24
30-21
27-20
18-27
21-14
21-21
25-18
16-23
22-13
25-22
20-25
22-24
16-12
155.3Avg total
84.7Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.770.6155.3+14.180%
Season at home (5)91.880.0171.8+11.880%
Season away (5)77.661.2138.8+16.480%
Last 10 (10)84.770.6155.3+14.180%
Last 5 (5)89.282.4171.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.069.0133.0-5.00%
vs Similar (10)78.778.3157.0+0.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.474.2162.6+14.289%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
77-103
77
103
-26
56avg 69
A09/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
73-71
73
71
+2
65avg 69
H10/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
60-63
60
63
-3
49avg 69
H16/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 69
H17/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
53avg 69
A20/01
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
60avg 69
H24/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 69
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
57-85
57
85
-28
52avg 69
A29/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
64-66
64
66
-2
57avg 69
A30/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
47avg 69
H02/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
26-17
20-31
14-24
18-18
9-20
28-20
18-13
12-11
3-11
25-19
20-22
22-21
16-14
26-18
21-25
20-18
11-15
13-17
13-17
19-20
12-20
26-15
15-29
23-24
14-19
15-19
14-15
19-21
9-18
16-23
13-23
20-18
17-15
14-15
13-18
23-13
14-18
15-18
11-17
143.4Avg total
67.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.476.0143.4-8.620%
Season at home (5)70.672.4143.0-1.840%
Season away (5)64.279.6143.8-15.40%
Last 10 (10)67.476.0143.4-8.620%
Last 5 (5)64.475.6140.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.884.2156.9-11.45%
vs Similar (5)72.671.6144.2+1.040%
vs Weaker (5)89.877.8167.6+12.0100%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +7.8+7.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +7.8+7.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
U. De ConcepcionValdivia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valdivia
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H09/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H11/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A18/01
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A24/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A26/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A29/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H31/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H02/02
LNB
84.6Avg total
45.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.339.483.7+4.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.737.882.5+6.967%-
Last 30 away (14)43.841.184.9+2.764%-
Last 10 (9)45.838.884.6+7.067%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.287.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)42.841.284.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.238.184.4+8.176%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A09/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H10/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
15-22
15
22
-7
H16/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H17/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A20/01
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H24/01
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/01
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A30/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H02/02
LNB
68.6Avg total
32.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.480.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.176.7+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.784.5-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.268.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.271.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.243.181.3-4.925%-
vs Similar (5)38.034.672.6+3.480%-
vs Weaker (5)50.635.285.8+15.4100%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.124.8
55.0%
50.4%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.5
32.0%
32.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.811.3
76.4%
71.2%11.3
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.615.4
42.1%
50.4%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
32.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.5
70.0%
71.2%14.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WWWLWWWWLW
Valdivia
LLLLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#11
+17.0
Net rating
-11.6
111.9
Offensive rating
89.5
94.9
Defensive rating
101.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
44.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.0%
3-point %
32.3%
61.8%
Assist %
65.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 89.5Defence94.9 · 101.1Shooting52.2% · 44.5%3-point %32.0% · 32.3%Ball care14.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.4% · 21.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Valdivia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
U. De Concepcion wins
0
Valdivia wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Valdivia v U. De Concepcion72-84
09/01/25U. De Concepcion v Valdivia103-77
10/11/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion78-81
18/10/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia97-87
03/06/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion83-93
27/05/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia101-90
25/05/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia85-70
24/03/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion82-105
03/03/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia99-89 OT
31/03/23U. De Concepcion v Valdivia91-72
U. De Concepcionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HEspanol Osorno98-93 OT
31/01/25HAncud84-75
29/01/25ALas Animas96-82
26/01/25ACD Puerto Varas84-90
24/01/25AValdivia84-72
19/01/25AEspanol Osorno20-0
18/01/25AAncud104-62
15/01/25HLas Animas97-77
11/01/25HCD Puerto Varas77-78
09/01/25HValdivia103-77
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HCD Puerto Varas63-66
30/01/25ALas Animas64-66
29/01/25AEspanol Osorno57-85
26/01/25AAncud66-77
24/01/25HU. De Concepcion72-84
20/01/25ACD Puerto Varas57-67
17/01/25HLas Animas85-78
16/01/25HEspanol Osorno60-63
10/01/25HAncud73-71
09/01/25AU. De Concepcion77-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game84.791.877.6
Allowed / game70.680.061.2
Point differential+14.1+11.8+16.4
Avg total155.3171.8138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%40%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
Valdivia
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game67.470.664.2
Allowed / game76.072.479.6
Point differential-8.6-1.8-15.4
Avg total143.4143.0143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue87188%81.569.4+12.1
2 U. De Concepcion108280%84.770.6+14.1
3 Espanol Osorno118373%78.568.6+9.8
4 Sportiva Italiana96367%89.979.2+10.7
5 CD Puerto Varas117464%78.777.8+0.9
6 Colo Colo106460%80.776.6+4.1
7 Puente Alto95456%79.678.2+1.3
8 Ancud115645%74.879.7-4.9
9 Catolica103730%62.571.0-8.5
10 Valdivia102820%67.476.0-8.6
11 Las Animas112918%73.884.6-10.8
12 Espanol de Talca101910%65.781.8-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion2130252399
Valdivia1822191978
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