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Caxias do Sul vs Sao Jose Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#17
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game90.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Sao Jose
19 Dec 2026
CAXI v SAO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
CAXI65
SAO 68
11 Apr 2025
CAXI73
SAO 77
17 Nov 2023
CAXI82
SAO 90
14 Feb 2023
CAXI79
SAO 76
29 Jan 2016
CAXI65
SAO 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#7
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
12-20
26-16
11-17
14-18
23-26
24-30
18-18
15-23
20-11
15-19
14-20
23-20
14-26
20-17
13-15
20-20
8-11
20-17
18-15
24-15
9-22
18-19
19-15
20-21
19-12
9-19
13-20
20-25
13-18
10-18
23-17
24-22
16-14
21-25
21-23
15-17
12-18
9-28
23-14
143.8Avg total
68.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.077.8144.8-10.80%
Season at home (2)63.575.0138.5-11.50%
Season away (2)70.580.5151.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)68.275.6143.8-7.410%
Last 5 (5)67.676.4144.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.077.7145.7-9.717%
vs Similar (5)76.675.6152.2+1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.071.7151.7+8.371%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A15/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A17/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#8
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
L
83-97
83
97
-14
H28/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-18
20-30
17-22
22-25
20-16
8-16
26-18
15-16
20-12
16-26
17-11
20-30
29-23
20-29
19-15
25-16
14-21
16-20
15-18
17-16
21-25
18-15
19-23
18-25
17-17
22-19
13-20
15-17
17-25
12-23
15-25
22-23
20-11
17-25
9-24
16-26
27-23
17-23
23-25
156.7Avg total
73.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
Season at home (1)83.097.0180.0-14.00%
Season away (2)63.586.5150.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)73.583.2156.7-9.720%
Last 5 (5)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.788.9166.6-11.211%
vs Similar (11)75.679.2154.8-3.536%
vs Weaker (10)87.982.0169.9+5.980%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
Caxias do SulSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A28/10
NBB
Flamengo
#7
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A30/10
NBB
71.1Avg total
33.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.672.5-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.237.871.9-3.635%-
Last 30 away (13)35.937.473.3-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.471.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.737.971.6-4.344%-
vs Similar (5)34.038.872.8-4.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.935.974.7+3.057%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A17/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/10
NBB
80.1Avg total
39.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.383.2-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.344.487.7-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.440.378.7-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.580.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.345.485.8-5.144%-
vs Similar (11)38.641.379.9-2.645%-
vs Weaker (10)43.740.784.4+3.050%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.814.0
47.0%
49.9%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
31.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.1
72.1%
71.2%11.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.316.8
42.7%
49.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
31.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
71.2%14.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLLLLWLLLL
Sao Jose
LLLLLLLWWL
#16
League position
#17
-4.0
Net rating
-9.8
88.6
Offensive rating
82.2
92.7
Defensive rating
92.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
43.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
30.1%
63.9%
Assist %
63.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence88.6 · 82.2Defence92.7 · 92.1Shooting49.2% · 43.8%3-point %34.2% · 30.1%Ball care15.1% · 15.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Caxias do Sul wins
7
Sao Jose wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AFlamengo59-77
28/10/26ABotafogo82-84
20/10/26HMinas66-78
17/10/26HCruzeiro61-72
30/04/26ABrasilia70-71
27/04/26HBrasilia66-63
25/04/26HBrasilia70-78
22/04/26ABrasilia64-73
17/04/26HCorinthians Paulista79-92
15/04/26HSao Jose65-68
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HUnifacisa83-97
21/10/26ABauru68-83
19/10/26AFranca59-90
27/04/26AMogi70-81
25/04/26AMogi75-79
22/04/26HMogi70-75
17/04/26AUniao Corinthians88-97
15/04/26ACaxias do Sul68-65
10/04/26HPinheiros76-75
07/04/26ABrasilia78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.063.570.5
Allowed / game77.875.080.5
Point differential-10.8-11.5-10.0
Avg total144.8138.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.083.063.5
Allowed / game90.097.086.5
Point differential-20.0-14.0-23.0
Avg total160.0180.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo32167%79.770.7+9.0
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%76.079.2-3.2
12 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Botafogo41325%80.884.8-4.0
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul4040%67.077.8-10.8
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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