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Flamengo vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 77-59
17-15 18-12 28-9 14-23
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.5
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
Position#16
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game78.0
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Flamengo v Caxias do Sul
30 Oct 2026
FLAM77
CAXI59
06 Dec 2025
FLAM91
CAXI66
29 Apr 2025
FLAM80
CAXI77
27 Apr 2025
FLAM76
CAXI78
04 Nov 2024
FLAM84
CAXI55
23 Jan 2024
FLAM105
CAXI62
19 Nov 2022
FLAM80
CAXI69
25 Jan 2022
FLAM90
CAXI55
22 Dec 2020
FLAM80
CAXI76
30 Nov 2017
FLAM79
CAXI69
27 Dec 2016
FLAM94
CAXI60
08 Dec 2015
FLAM93
CAXI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.05
Implied89.2%
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best odds10.50
Implied10.8%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
83-84
83
84
-1
83avg 79
A25/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
89avg 79
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
104-77
104
77
+27
107avg 79
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 79
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 79
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 79
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 79
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 79
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 79
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
H20/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
18-24
16-24
19-19
23-15
30-16
20-29
17-17
22-18
21-28
33-10
28-21
18-21
14-18
18-19
30-27
19-15
28-18
23-19
13-14
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
165.7Avg total
85.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
Season at home (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.780.0165.7+5.750%
Last 5 (5)83.482.2165.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (10)83.784.0167.7-0.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.980.5169.4+8.462%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 66
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
60avg 66
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-92
79
92
-13
76avg 66
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
57avg 66
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 66
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
52avg 66
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
62avg 66
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
45avg 66
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
52avg 66
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
82-84
82
84
-2
76avg 66
A28/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-8
18-19
27-19
16-15
12-20
26-16
11-17
14-18
23-26
24-30
18-18
15-23
20-11
15-19
14-20
23-20
14-26
20-17
13-15
20-20
8-11
20-17
18-15
24-15
9-22
18-19
19-15
20-21
19-12
9-19
13-20
20-25
13-18
10-18
23-17
24-22
16-14
21-25
21-23
145.2Avg total
70.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.778.0147.7-8.30%
Season at home (2)63.575.0138.5-11.50%
Season away (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)70.374.9145.2-4.620%
Last 5 (5)69.073.6142.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.577.7146.2-9.218%
vs Similar (6)78.776.3155.0+2.350%
vs Weaker (7)80.071.7151.7+8.371%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150Actual: Under 150
Over 150
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under 150
no forecast
@ 2.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.80
Over/Under 155.25 · main lineActual: Under 155.25
Over 155.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 155.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160
Over 160
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under 160
no forecast
@ 1.66
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Be
1.56

📊 3. Team Totals

Flamengo total 83.5Actual: Flamengo under 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.32
Flamengo total 87.5 · main lineActual: Flamengo under 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.91
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Under
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.74
1xBet
1.68
Flamengo total 91.5Actual: Flamengo under 91.5
Over 91.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Under 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.48
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36
Caxias do Sul total 65.5Actual: Caxias do Sul under 65.5
Over 65.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under 65.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
Under
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.40
Caxias do Sul total 69.5 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul under 69.5
Over 69.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 69.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.70
Caxias do Sul total 73.5Actual: Caxias do Sul under 73.5
Over 73.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
Under 73.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Flamengo -20Actual: Caxias do Sul +20
FLAM -20
no forecast
@ 2.34
CAXI +20
no forecast
@ 1.71
Best 5 market prices
FLAM
Pinnacle
2.34
Bet365
2.00
CAXI
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Be
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Spread Flamengo -17 · main lineActual: Flamengo -17
FLAM -17
no forecast
@ 1.83
CAXI +17
no forecast
@ 2.05
Best 5 market prices
FLAM
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.80
Marathon Be
1.78
Bet365
1.68
CAXI
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Spread Flamengo -14Actual: Flamengo -14
FLAM -14
no forecast
@ 1.53
CAXI +14
no forecast
@ 2.55
Best 5 market prices
FLAM
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.47
CAXI
Bet365
2.55
Pinnacle
2.34

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
FlamengoCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H08/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
83.9Avg total
44.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.25
Last 30 (30)43.841.685.4+2.260%80%
Last 30 at home (16)47.140.687.7+6.469%94%
Last 30 away (14)40.142.782.8-2.650%64%
Last 10 (10)44.139.883.9+4.360%80%
Last 5 (5)43.641.685.2+2.060%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%75%
vs Similar (10)42.441.784.1+0.750%70%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.140.586.6+5.669%88%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H27/04
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/04
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A28/10
NBB
71.6Avg total
34.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78.25
Last 30 (30)35.537.873.4-2.347%30%
Last 30 at home (18)34.838.072.8-3.239%28%
Last 30 away (12)36.737.674.2-0.958%33%
Last 10 (10)34.537.171.6-2.640%20%
Last 5 (5)34.636.070.6-1.440%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.138.172.2-4.147%24%
vs Similar (6)35.839.375.2-3.533%33%
vs Weaker (7)38.935.974.7+3.057%43%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Flamengo win
FLAM win
no forecast
@ 1.15
CAXI win
no forecast
@ 6.48
1st half Spread Flamengo -10 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul +10
FLAM -10
no forecast
@ 1.87
CAXI +10
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 78.25 · main lineActual: Under 78.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
Flamengo 1st half total 44 · main lineActual: Flamengo under 44
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Caxias do Sul 1st half total 34 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul under 34
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half: FLAM + total 80.5
FLAM & over
no forecast
@ 2.30
FLAM & under
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half: Draw + total 80.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 41.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 36.00
1st half: CAXI + total 80.5
CAXI & over
no forecast
@ 10.00
CAXI & under
no forecast
@ 9.50
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Spread Flamengo -11Actual: Caxias do Sul +11
FLAM -11
no forecast
@ 2.05
CAXI +11
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Flamengo -9Actual: Caxias do Sul +9
FLAM -9
no forecast
@ 1.73
CAXI +9
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half Over/Under 80.75Actual: Under 80.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.76
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.34
Under
no forecast
@ 3.05
1st half Spread Flamengo -12.5Actual: Caxias do Sul +12.5
FLAM -12.5
no forecast
@ 2.14
CAXI +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Flamengo (regulation)
FLAM
no forecast
@ 1.18
Draw
no forecast
@ 22.00
CAXI
no forecast
@ 6.70

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FLAM win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
CAXI win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FLAM leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CAXI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (FLAM:CAXI): split
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (FLAM:CAXI): FLAM wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.6
55.5%
49.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.6
34.1%
31.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.7
68.0%
71.2%11.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.814.0
47.0%
49.9%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
31.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.1
72.1%
71.2%11.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLLWLWLWWL
Caxias do Sul
LLLLWLLLLW
#7
League position
#16
+7.6
Net rating
-4.0
95.8
Offensive rating
88.6
88.2
Defensive rating
92.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
34.2%
66.0%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 88.6Defence88.2 · 92.7Shooting53.4% · 49.2%3-point %34.1% · 34.2%Ball care14.8% · 15.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Flamengo   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Flamengo wins
3
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
02/04/26Caxias do Sul v Flamengo76-74
06/12/25Flamengo v Caxias do Sul91-66
02/05/25Caxias do Sul v Flamengo63-86
30/04/25Flamengo v Caxias do Sul80-77
27/04/25Flamengo v Caxias do Sul76-78
23/04/25Caxias do Sul v Flamengo52-98
05/03/25Caxias do Sul v Flamengo85-82
04/11/24Flamengo v Caxias do Sul84-55
23/01/24Flamengo v Caxias do Sul105-62
03/01/24Caxias do Sul v Flamengo84-85 OT
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98
08/05/26HBrasilia83-66
05/05/26ABrasilia80-85
30/04/26HUniao Corinthians104-77
27/04/26AUniao Corinthians90-77
25/04/26AUniao Corinthians83-84
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ABotafogo82-84
20/10/26HMinas66-78
17/10/26HCruzeiro61-72
30/04/26ABrasilia70-71
27/04/26HBrasilia66-63
25/04/26HBrasilia70-78
22/04/26ABrasilia64-73
17/04/26HCorinthians Paulista79-92
15/04/26HSao Jose65-68
09/04/26AUnifacisa80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game76.576.5-
Point differential+4.5+4.5-
Avg total157.5157.5-
Over 155.2550%50%-
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.763.582.0
Allowed / game78.075.084.0
Point differential-8.3-11.5-2.0
Avg total147.7138.5166.0
Over 155.2533%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas440100%88.065.8+22.2
2 Unifacisa43175%86.074.0+12.0
3 Pinheiros43175%81.870.2+11.5
4 Mogi43175%78.873.5+5.2
5 Brasilia43175%86.286.2+0.0
6 Paulistano43175%75.275.5-0.2
7 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
8 Franca42250%72.569.0+3.5
9 Cruzeiro42250%75.575.2+0.2
10 Bauru42250%75.277.8-2.5
11 Corinthians Paulista31233%81.078.7+2.3
12 Botafogo31233%81.084.0-3.0
13 Osasco31233%79.084.7-5.7
14 Uniao Corinthians31233%72.379.0-6.7
15 Pato41325%74.082.5-8.5
16 Caxias do Sul3030%69.778.0-8.3
17 Sao Jose3030%70.090.0-20.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo1718281477
Caxias do Sul151292359
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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