CB Zaragoza will host Benicarlo on 15 November 2026 in the Segunda FEB, and the Pythia model names the Spanish club the clear favourite, assigning a 75% chance of victory largely because of their 5-1 record, 86.3 points scored per game and 74.5 points allowed, a league position of 5, and an undefeated 3-0 home record with 87.3 points per game and 67.0 allowed; Benicarlo, unbeaten 5-0 with 77.8 points per game and 68.2 allowed, sits at 2 in the standings and has a perfect 2-0 road record with 85.5 points per game and 75.0 allowed, yet their recent win over CB Zaragoza 73-72 on 18 April 2026 and a 5-0 streak give them a 25% win probability. The two teams have met twice before, both victories for Benicarlo, the last on 18 April 2026. Pythia projects a 80-72 score, 152 total points, and a 66% chance that CB Zaragoza will cover the home line of -3.5; the over on the 154.5 line has a 43% probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. Benicarlo's last five games have been all wins, while CB Zaragoza's last five include one loss to Huesca 80-84 away on 7 November 2026.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
CB Zaragoza win
75.3%fair 1.33
Best odds1.34
Implied69.9%
Edge+5.4pp
Benicarlo win
24.7%fair 4.05
Best odds3.25
Implied30.1%
Edge-5.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (CB Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149.5
Over 149.5
55.5%
Under 149.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154.5 · main line
Over 154.5
43.4%
@ 1.85-6.4pp
Under 154.5
56.6%
@ 1.85+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
32.0%
Under 159.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
📊 3. Team Totals
CB Zaragoza total 77.5
Over 77.5
59.4%
@ 1.45-0.6pp
Under 77.5
40.6%
@ 2.17+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.17
CB Zaragoza total 81.5 · main line
Over 81.5
43.6%
@ 1.87-5.2pp
Under 81.5
56.4%
@ 1.83+5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.61
CB Zaragoza total 85.5
Over 85.5
28.8%
Under 85.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benicarlo total 69.5
Over 69.5
59.7%
@ 1.36-4.8pp
Under 69.5
40.3%
@ 2.47+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.47
Benicarlo total 73.5 · main line
Over 73.5
44.2%
@ 1.83-6.7pp
Under 73.5
55.8%
@ 1.88+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.83
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.69
Under
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Benicarlo total 77.5
Over 77.5
29.8%
@ 2.33-7.8pp
Under 77.5
70.2%
@ 1.40+7.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.33
Under
1xBet
1.40
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread CB Zaragoza -6.5
CB Z -6.5
54.9%
@ 1.85+4.9pp
BENI +6.5
45.1%
@ 1.86-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
CB Z
SBO
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
BENI
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Spread CB Zaragoza -3.5 · main line
CB Z -3.5
66.1%
@ 1.83+10.3pp
BENI +3.5
33.9%
@ 2.30-10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
CB Z
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.44
BENI
1xBet
2.30
Bet365
1.83
Spread CB Zaragoza -0.5
CB Z -0.5
75.3%
BENI +0.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
CB Z
No market prices yet.
BENI
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
CB ZaragozaBenicarlo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CB ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#3
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
W
24-13
24
13
+11
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H26/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
W
22-18
22
18
+4
A03/05
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#26
L
17-19
17
19
-2
H04/10
Segunda FEB
Castello
#24
W
15-13
15
13
+2
A11/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#22
W
29-13
29
13
+16
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#19
W
24-17
24
17
+7
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#7
W
19-9
19
9
+10
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A07/11
Segunda FEB
38.7Avg total
21.3Scored
17.4Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)
20.2
19.0
39.2
+1.2
47%
53%
Last 30 at home (15)
20.7
17.7
38.5
+3.0
53%
53%
Last 30 away (15)
19.7
20.3
39.9
-0.6
40%
53%
Last 10 (10)
21.3
17.4
38.7
+3.9
80%
60%
Last 5 (5)
21.0
16.2
37.2
+4.8
80%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)
18.9
20.6
39.4
-1.7
22%
67%
vs Similar ◀ (6)
18.7
21.5
40.2
-2.8
33%
33%
vs Weaker (15)
21.6
17.1
38.7
+4.5
67%
53%
This opponent (Benicarlo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenicarloLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Molina Basket
#22
L
14-19
14
19
-5
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
W
21-20
21
20
+1
A28/03
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A12/04
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#17
L
13-24
13
24
-11
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#12
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#17
D
22-22
22
22
+0
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#28
D
18-18
18
18
+0
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
20-16
20
16
+4
A31/10
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
L
13-22
13
22
-9
H08/11
Segunda FEB
39.1Avg total
17.7Scored
21.4Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)
18.0
21.4
39.5
-3.4
20%
40%
Last 30 at home (15)
17.5
20.9
38.3
-3.4
13%
40%
Last 30 away (15)
18.6
22.0
40.6
-3.4
27%
40%
Last 10 (10)
17.7
21.4
39.1
-3.7
20%
40%
Last 5 (5)
18.0
20.0
38.0
-2.0
20%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)
19.9
22.4
42.3
-2.6
28%
61%
vs Similar ◀ (7)
13.3
19.9
33.1
-6.6
0%
0%
vs Weaker (5)
18.0
20.0
38.0
-2.0
20%
20%
This opponent (CB Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st quarter winner
CB Z win
no forecast
@ 1.52
BENI win
no forecast
@ 2.40
Q1 Spread CB Zaragoza -2.5 · main line
CB Z -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
BENI +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Q1 Over/Under 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
CB Zaragoza 1st quarter total 20.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Benicarlo 1st quarter total 18.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Q1 Over/Under 38.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st quarter 3-way (draw possible)
CB Z
no forecast
@ 1.64
Draw
no forecast
@ 14.00
BENI
no forecast
@ 2.54
1st quarter double chance
CB Z or draw
no forecast
@ 1.47
CB Z or BENI
no forecast
@ 1.04
Draw or BENI
no forecast
@ 2.15
CB ZaragozaLast 10 – 2nd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#3
W
14-7
14
7
+7
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
L
19-22
19
22
-3
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
9-29
9
29
-20
H26/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
W
17-11
17
11
+6
A03/05
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#26
W
17-9
17
9
+8
H04/10
Segunda FEB
Castello
#24
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A11/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#22
W
18-11
18
11
+7
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#19
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#7
W
15-14
15
14
+1
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#9
W
29-13
29
13
+16
A07/11
Segunda FEB
34.2Avg total
18.4Scored
15.8Allowed
2nd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
20.3
18.1
38.5
+2.2
60%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
18.9
16.6
35.5
+2.3
67%
-
Last 30 away (15)
21.7
19.7
41.4
+2.1
53%
-
Last 10 (10)
18.4
15.8
34.2
+2.6
70%
-
Last 5 (5)
21.6
16.0
37.6
+5.6
80%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)
18.0
18.1
36.1
-0.1
56%
-
vs Similar ◀ (6)
18.7
18.3
37.0
+0.3
50%
-
vs Weaker (15)
22.4
18.1
40.5
+4.3
67%
-
This opponent (Benicarlo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenicarloLast 10 – 2nd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Molina Basket
#22
W
19-14
19
14
+5
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
L
13-16
13
16
-3
A28/03
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
W
20-16
20
16
+4
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A12/04
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#17
W
22-19
22
19
+3
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#12
W
22-12
22
12
+10
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
21-12
21
12
+9
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#28
L
16-22
16
22
-6
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A31/10
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H08/11
Segunda FEB
37.6Avg total
20.3Scored
17.3Allowed
2nd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over main line
Last 30 (30)
19.4
18.2
37.6
+1.3
50%
-
Last 30 at home (15)
20.9
17.7
38.6
+3.3
60%
-
Last 30 away (15)
17.9
18.7
36.6
-0.7
40%
-
Last 10 (10)
20.3
17.3
37.6
+3.0
70%
-
Last 5 (5)
22.0
17.0
39.0
+5.0
80%
-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)
19.3
19.4
38.7
-0.1
33%
-
vs Similar ◀ (7)
18.0
15.9
33.9
+2.1
71%
-
vs Weaker (5)
22.0
17.0
39.0
+5.0
80%
-
This opponent (CB Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd quarter bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd quarter double chance
CB Z or draw
no forecast
@ 1.41
CB Z or BENI
no forecast
@ 1.02
Draw or BENI
no forecast
@ 2.47
CB ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H26/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/05
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#26
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H04/10
Segunda FEB
Castello
#24
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A11/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#22
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#7
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/11
Segunda FEB
72.9Avg total
39.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)
40.5
37.1
77.7
+3.4
63%
57%
Last 30 at home (15)
39.7
34.3
74.0
+5.3
67%
47%
Last 30 away (15)
41.4
39.9
81.3
+1.5
60%
67%
Last 10 (10)
39.7
33.2
72.9
+6.5
90%
40%
Last 5 (5)
42.6
32.2
74.8
+10.4
100%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)
36.9
38.7
75.6
-1.8
44%
56%
vs Similar ◀ (6)
37.3
39.8
77.2
-2.5
17%
67%
vs Weaker (15)
44.0
35.1
79.1
+8.9
93%
53%
This opponent (Benicarlo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (CB Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.
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