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CB Zaragoza vs Benicarlo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Projected 80-72
Projected total 152.0
Final 75-82
12-25 21-17 21-20 21-20
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.5
CB Zaragoza
Spain
Vs
75%
25%
■ CB Z 75%■ BENI 25%
Pythia win probability
Benicarlo 🏆
Spain
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game68.2
SpainSegunda FEBRound 7
Other2026-27
Meetings · CB Zaragoza v Benicarlo
15 Nov 2026
CB Z75
BENI82
18 Apr 2026
CB Z72
BENI73
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

CB Zaragoza will host Benicarlo on 15 November 2026 in the Segunda FEB, and the Pythia model names the Spanish club the clear favourite, assigning a 75% chance of victory largely because of their 5-1 record, 86.3 points scored per game and 74.5 points allowed, a league position of 5, and an undefeated 3-0 home record with 87.3 points per game and 67.0 allowed; Benicarlo, unbeaten 5-0 with 77.8 points per game and 68.2 allowed, sits at 2 in the standings and has a perfect 2-0 road record with 85.5 points per game and 75.0 allowed, yet their recent win over CB Zaragoza 73-72 on 18 April 2026 and a 5-0 streak give them a 25% win probability. The two teams have met twice before, both victories for Benicarlo, the last on 18 April 2026. Pythia projects a 80-72 score, 152 total points, and a 66% chance that CB Zaragoza will cover the home line of -3.5; the over on the 154.5 line has a 43% probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. Benicarlo's last five games have been all wins, while CB Zaragoza's last five include one loss to Huesca 80-84 away on 7 November 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CB Zaragoza winLost
75.3%fair 1.33
Best odds1.34
Implied69.9%
Edge+5.4pp
Benicarlo winWon
24.7%fair 4.05
Best odds3.25
Implied30.1%
Edge-5.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CB ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
59-82
59
82
-23
H26/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A03/05
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#26
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H04/10
Segunda FEB
Castello
#24
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A11/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#22
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#19
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#7
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A07/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
14-7
19-26
24-21
24-13
19-22
19-20
10-18
21-20
9-29
14-13
15-20
22-18
17-11
17-23
19-29
17-19
17-9
37-21
22-22
15-13
26-19
14-17
20-16
29-13
18-11
26-24
19-25
24-17
20-23
16-26
18-12
19-9
15-14
22-23
21-11
18-29
29-13
17-19
16-23
156.5Avg total
80.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.374.5160.8+11.883%
Season at home (3)87.367.0154.3+20.3100%
Season away (3)85.382.0167.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)80.576.0156.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)85.075.2160.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.883.2159.0-7.422%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.977.7157.6+2.157%
vs Weaker (14)88.776.7165.4+12.071%
This opponent (Benicarlo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenicarloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Molina Basket
#22
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A28/03
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
69-108
69
108
-39
A12/04
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#28
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A31/10
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H08/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
19-14
17-20
14-20
21-20
13-16
15-23
18-23
17-24
20-16
19-14
17-11
22-27
19-23
17-33
11-25
13-24
22-19
20-19
18-10
17-22
22-12
18-11
16-16
22-22
21-12
28-27
18-15
18-18
16-22
14-12
17-5
20-16
26-23
15-16
21-19
13-22
25-16
27-14
15-21
147.6Avg total
73.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.868.2146.0+9.6100%
Season at home (3)72.763.7136.3+9.0100%
Season away (2)85.575.0160.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.574.1147.6-0.670%
Last 5 (5)77.868.2146.0+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.282.8157.0-8.728%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.774.9148.6-1.143%
vs Weaker (5)77.868.2146.0+9.6100%
This opponent (CB Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149.5Actual: Over 149.5
Over 149.5
55.5%
Under 149.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154.5 · main lineActual: Over 154.5
Over 154.5
43.4%
@ 1.85-6.4pp
Under 154.5
56.6%
@ 1.85+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5
Over 159.5
32.0%
Under 159.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

CB Zaragoza total 77.5Actual: CB Zaragoza under 77.5
Over 77.5
59.4%
@ 1.45-0.6pp
Under 77.5
40.6%
@ 2.17+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.17
CB Zaragoza total 81.5 · main lineActual: CB Zaragoza under 81.5
Over 81.5
43.6%
@ 1.87-5.2pp
Under 81.5
56.4%
@ 1.83+5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.61
CB Zaragoza total 85.5Actual: CB Zaragoza under 85.5
Over 85.5
28.8%
@ 2.66-4.4pp
Under 85.5
71.2%
@ 1.32+4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.66
Under
1xBet
1.32
Benicarlo total 69.5Actual: Benicarlo over 69.5
Over 69.5
59.7%
@ 1.36-4.8pp
Under 69.5
40.3%
@ 2.47+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.47
Benicarlo total 73.5 · main lineActual: Benicarlo over 73.5
Over 73.5
44.2%
@ 1.83-6.7pp
Under 73.5
55.8%
@ 1.88+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.83
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.69
Under
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Benicarlo total 77.5Actual: Benicarlo over 77.5
Over 77.5
29.8%
@ 2.33-7.8pp
Under 77.5
70.2%
@ 1.40+7.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.33
Under
1xBet
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CB Zaragoza -6.5Actual: Benicarlo +6.5
CB Z -6.5
54.9%
@ 1.85+4.9pp
BENI +6.5
45.1%
@ 1.86-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
CB Z
SBO
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
BENI
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Spread CB Zaragoza -3.5 · main lineActual: Benicarlo +3.5
CB Z -3.5
66.1%
@ 1.83+10.3pp
BENI +3.5
33.9%
@ 2.30-10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
CB Z
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.44
BENI
1xBet
2.30
Bet365
1.83
Spread CB Zaragoza -0.5Actual: Benicarlo +0.5
CB Z -0.5
75.3%
BENI +0.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
CB Z
No market prices yet.
BENI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
CB ZaragozaBenicarlo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CB ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H26/04
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A03/05
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#26
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H04/10
Segunda FEB
Castello
#24
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A11/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#22
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H18/10
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A25/10
Segunda FEB
Prat Joventut
#7
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/11
Segunda FEB
72.9Avg total
39.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)40.537.177.7+3.463%57%
Last 30 at home (15)39.734.374.0+5.367%47%
Last 30 away (15)41.439.981.3+1.560%67%
Last 10 (10)39.733.272.9+6.590%40%
Last 5 (5)42.632.274.8+10.4100%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.938.775.6-1.844%56%
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.937.474.3-0.629%57%
vs Weaker (14)44.736.080.7+8.793%57%
This opponent (Benicarlo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenicarloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Molina Basket
#22
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/03
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A12/04
Segunda FEB
CB Zaragoza
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#17
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A18/10
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#28
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A31/10
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/11
Segunda FEB
76.7Avg total
38.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 76.5
Last 30 (30)37.539.677.1-2.133%47%
Last 30 at home (15)38.438.576.9-0.140%40%
Last 30 away (15)36.540.777.2-4.127%53%
Last 10 (10)38.038.776.7-0.730%50%
Last 5 (5)40.037.077.0+3.060%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.241.881.0-2.728%67%
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.335.767.0-4.429%0%
vs Weaker (5)40.037.077.0+3.060%40%
This opponent (CB Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Benicarlo win
CB Z win
no forecast
@ 1.45
BENI win
no forecast
@ 2.67
1st half Spread CB Zaragoza -3.5 · main lineActual: Benicarlo +3.5
CB Z -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
BENI +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
CB Zaragoza 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: CB Zaragoza under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Benicarlo 1st half total 36 · main lineActual: Benicarlo over 36
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half: CB Z + total 76.5
CB Z & over
no forecast
@ 3.00
CB Z & under
no forecast
@ 3.10
1st half: Draw + total 76.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: BENI + total 76.5
BENI & over
no forecast
@ 4.75
BENI & under
no forecast
@ 4.75
1st half Over/Under 75.25Actual: Under 75.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 77.75Actual: Under 77.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread CB Zaragoza -4.5Actual: Benicarlo +4.5
CB Z -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
BENI +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread CB Zaragoza -2.5Actual: Benicarlo +2.5
CB Z -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
BENI +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Spread CB Zaragoza -5.5Actual: Benicarlo +5.5
CB Z -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.06
BENI +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread CB Zaragoza -1.5Actual: Benicarlo +1.5
CB Z -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
BENI +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread CB Zaragoza -6.5Actual: Benicarlo +6.5
CB Z -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
BENI +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.46
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Benicarlo (regulation)
CB Z
no forecast
@ 1.50
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
BENI
no forecast
@ 2.96

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CB Z win + total 154.5
🔒 Pro
BENI win + total 154.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CB Z leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BENI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
CB Zaragoza (regulation)72.9%1.35
1xBet
1.35		----+8.9ppLost
Benicarlo under 78.573.4%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+7.8ppLost
Benicarlo under 77.570.2%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+7.8ppLost
Benicarlo under 79.576.4%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+7.7ppLost
CB Zaragoza win75.3%1.32
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
SBO
1.29		-+5.4ppLost
Overtime: no95.8%1.04
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.03		---+4.9ppWon
CB Zaragoza under 86.574.5%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+4.6ppWon
CB Zaragoza under 85.571.2%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+4.4ppWon
CB Zaragoza over 74.570.4%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+0.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CB Zaragoza wins
2
Benicarlo wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26CB Zaragoza v Benicarlo72-73
04/01/26Benicarlo v CB Zaragoza78-72
CB Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AHuesca80-84
01/11/26HPrat Joventut77-57
25/10/26ALogrono101-97 OT
18/10/26HIraurgi SB92-73
11/10/26ACastello75-65
04/10/26HSol Girones Bisbal93-71
03/05/26ACaja 8775-81
26/04/26HCaja 8759-82
18/04/26HBenicarlo72-73
12/04/26HAlbacete81-77
Benicarlolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HGandia80-73
31/10/26ACartagena82-74
25/10/26HMolina Basket65-57
18/10/26AClavijo89-76
11/10/26HLliria73-61
18/04/26ACB Zaragoza73-72
12/04/26ACastello69-108
05/04/26HCB Getafe73-65
28/03/26AGandia67-82
22/03/26HMolina Basket64-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CB Zaragoza
Segunda FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game86.387.385.3
Allowed / game74.567.082.0
Point differential+11.8+20.3+3.3
Avg total160.8154.3167.3
Over 154.567%67%67%
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Benicarlo
Segunda FEB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.872.785.5
Allowed / game68.263.775.0
Point differential+9.6+9.0+10.5
Avg total146.0136.3160.5
Over 154.540%0%100%
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melilla660100%84.370.0+14.3
2 Benicarlo550100%77.868.2+9.6
3 Caceres76186%85.376.4+8.9
4 Sant Antoni65183%80.063.8+16.2
5 CB Zaragoza65183%86.374.5+11.8
6 CBC Valladolid75271%84.776.1+8.6
7 Prat Joventut75271%80.474.4+6.0
8 Leonesa64267%84.880.7+4.2
9 Huesca74357%86.783.6+3.1
10 Gandia74357%80.679.9+0.7
11 Moron74357%76.976.9+0.0
12 Lliria74357%70.772.6-1.9
13 Algeciras63350%81.780.3+1.3
14 Ponferrada63350%79.381.3-2.0
15 Toledo73443%83.383.3+0.0
16 Cartagena73443%82.484.9-2.4
17 Clavijo73443%72.976.1-3.3
18 Tres Cantos73443%71.779.4-7.7
19 Logrono62433%81.081.2-0.2
20 Spanish Basketball Academy62433%78.078.8-0.8
21 Jaen Paraiso62433%77.780.3-2.7
22 Iraurgi SB62433%77.882.5-4.7
23 CB Getafe72529%74.978.3-3.4
24 Castello72529%74.479.6-5.1
25 Estudiantes B72529%75.081.4-6.4
26 Sol Girones Bisbal72529%72.682.9-10.3
27 Badajoz71614%73.085.1-12.1
28 Molina Basket7070%63.376.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CB Zaragoza1221212175
Benicarlo2517202082
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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