Cearense vs Macae Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 78-75

14-19 25-23 24-14 15-19

Position#12

Record14-15

FormWLWLL

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game78.3

Cearense 🏆

Macae

Position#13

Record11-17

FormWLWLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game82.0

NBBRound 33

Other2013-14

Meetings · Cearense v Macae

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Macae winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Goiania

#16

102-85

102

+17

H01/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#11

85-69

+16

A06/02

NBB

Pinheiros

73-93

-20

A08/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

92-87 OT

H13/02

NBB

Paulistano

54-77

-23

H15/02

NBB

Minas

#14

81-79

A25/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#17

74-82

-8

A27/02

NBB

Sao Jose

74-64

+10

H08/03

NBB

Limeira

85-99

-14

A13/03

NBB

Bauru

77-83

-6

A15/03

NBB

21-17

25-11

27-29

29-28

20-20

16-23

27-17

22-9

20-22

15-16

20-32

18-23

17-20

20-13

18-18

23-27

7-19

15-22

13-18

19-18

24-16

19-20

11-22

27-21

23-20

13-16

21-28

17-18

13-14

18-11

27-21

16-18

22-18

10-24

26-31

27-26

23-25

13-17

20-22

21-19

161.5Avg total

79.7Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	77.2	78.3	155.5	-1.1	48%
Season at home (14)	79.0	75.8	154.8	+3.2	71%
Season away (15)	75.5	80.6	156.1	-5.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	81.8	161.5	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	81.4	159.6	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	77.0	81.2	158.2	-4.2	42%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	75.4	74.5	149.9	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker (4)	81.8	80.2	162.0	+1.5	50%

This opponent (Macae) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Macae

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palmeiras

#11

101-93

101

H01/02

NBB

Pinheiros

77-80

-3

H03/02

NBB

Paulistano

93-110

110

-17

A06/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

54-73

-19

A08/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#17

85-67

+18

H13/02

NBB

Minas

#14

85-69

+16

H15/02

NBB

Sao Jose

88-96

-8

A25/02

NBB

Bauru

98-94

H06/03

NBB

Limeira

62-76

-14

H08/03

NBB

Flamengo

103-95

103

H15/03

NBB

21-14

28-20

19-18

33-41

25-22

11-22

15-22

26-14

25-21

24-20

25-33

19-36

16-19

18-19

10-17

10-18

29-16

10-25

19-14

27-12

19-15

29-16

19-20

18-18

18-26

23-20

22-19

25-31

24-21

26-24

19-28

29-21

22-14

12-18

18-24

10-20

34-22

22-14

13-25

34-34

169.9Avg total

84.6Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.4	82.0	162.4	-1.6	39%
Season at home (14)	83.8	80.3	164.1	+3.5	64%
Season away (14)	77.0	83.7	160.7	-6.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	85.3	169.9	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	86.0	173.2	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.2	87.9	165.1	-10.6	12%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	82.7	84.0	166.7	-1.3	36%
vs Weaker (6)	79.2	69.5	148.7	+9.7	83%

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearenseMacae

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	15.9	33.3	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.7	17.0	34.7	+0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	18.5	39.2	+2.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	21.2	40.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	18.4	35.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	17.5	34.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.3	35.4	-3.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	17.3	33.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	17.6	32.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.7	20.0	35.7	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.3	17.4	34.6	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.3	19.0	35.3	-2.7	33%	-

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Goiania

#16

46-28

+18

H01/02

NBB

Palmeiras

#11

36-43

-7

A06/02

NBB

Pinheiros

35-38

-3

A08/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

37-33

H13/02

NBB

Paulistano

22-41

-19

H15/02

NBB

Minas

#14

43-36

A25/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#17

36-36

A27/02

NBB

Sao Jose

31-25

H08/03

NBB

Limeira

32-42

-10

A13/03

NBB

Bauru

36-42

-6

A15/03

NBB

71.8Avg total

35.4Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	36.1	71.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.6	33.3	67.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.8	75.5	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	36.4	71.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	36.2	71.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.7	38.2	73.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	35.0	34.4	69.4	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	35.8	73.5	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Macae) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MacaeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palmeiras

#11

49-34

+15

H01/02

NBB

Pinheiros

36-44

-8

H03/02

NBB

Paulistano

49-41

A06/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

34-38

-4

A08/02

NBB

Vila Velha

#17

39-41

-2

H13/02

NBB

Minas

#14

48-31

+17

H15/02

NBB

Sao Jose

41-46

-5

A25/02

NBB

Bauru

50-45

H06/03

NBB

Limeira

34-32

H08/03

NBB

Flamengo

56-36

+20

H15/03

NBB

82.4Avg total

43.6Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	38.8	82.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	38.0	83.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.1	39.6	78.8	-0.5	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.4	39.6	79.0	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.0	35.8	72.8	+1.2	50%	-

This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.1	40.9	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	21.9	41.2	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.9	39.9	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	24.6	41.9	-7.4	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	46%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	20.9	45.9	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	24.5	47.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.8	48.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.9	23.6	44.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	16.0	38.2	+6.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.2	81.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	40.6	82.7	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	41.8	80.7	-2.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	44.5	87.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	45.2	87.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	41.3	43.1	84.4	-1.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.8	39.3	79.1	+0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.5	42.2	82.8	-1.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.6	43.2	84.8	-1.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	41.7	85.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	44.7	83.7	-5.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	46.5	87.5	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	48.0	89.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	48.2	86.4	-10.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.3	44.4	87.7	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.2	33.7	75.8	+8.5	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Macae wins

Date	Game	Score
11/01/14	Macae v Cearense	80-74

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/14	A	Bauru	77-83
13/03/14	A	Limeira	85-99
08/03/14	H	Sao Jose	74-64
27/02/14	A	Vila Velha	74-82
25/02/14	A	Minas	81-79
15/02/14	H	Paulistano	54-77
13/02/14	H	Sorocabana	92-87 OT
08/02/14	A	Pinheiros	73-93
06/02/14	A	Palmeiras	85-69
01/02/14	H	Goiania	102-85

Macaelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/14	H	Flamengo	103-95
08/03/14	H	Limeira	62-76
06/03/14	H	Bauru	98-94
25/02/14	A	Sao Jose	88-96
15/02/14	H	Minas	85-69
13/02/14	H	Vila Velha	85-67
08/02/14	A	Sorocabana	54-73
06/02/14	A	Paulistano	93-110
03/02/14	H	Pinheiros	77-80
01/02/14	H	Palmeiras	101-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	48%
Home	WWWLW	71%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	48%	71%	27%
Points / game	77.2	79.0	75.5
Allowed / game	78.3	75.8	80.6
Point differential	-1.1	+3.2	-5.1
Avg total	155.5	154.8	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	36%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Macae

NBB 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	39%
Home	WWWLW	64%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	39%	64%	14%
Points / game	80.4	83.8	77.0
Allowed / game	82.0	80.3	83.7
Point differential	-1.6	+3.5	-6.7
Avg total	162.4	164.1	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	21%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	60% (5)	0% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	27	22	5	81%	83.9	74.7	+9.2
2	Brasilia	29	21	8	72%	87.1	77.0	+10.1
3	Paulistano	29	21	8	72%	84.1	78.7	+5.4
4	Limeira	28	18	10	64%	77.6	72.8	+4.9
5	Pinheiros	28	18	10	64%	83.4	81.5	+1.9
6	Unitri Universo	27	17	10	63%	84.3	80.7	+3.6
7	Sao Jose	27	16	11	59%	82.3	80.5	+1.8
8	Bauru	28	15	13	54%	82.2	81.9	+0.4
9	Franca	28	14	14	50%	79.9	77.4	+2.5
10	Cearense	29	14	15	48%	77.2	78.3	-1.1
11	Palmeiras	28	12	16	43%	79.1	82.0	-2.9
12	Macae	28	11	17	39%	80.4	82.0	-1.6
13	Mogi	29	11	18	38%	79.8	78.8	+1.0
14	Minas	28	9	19	32%	70.2	75.3	-5.1
15	Goiania	29	8	21	28%	76.2	82.1	-5.9
16	Sorocabana	29	8	21	28%	76.2	85.1	-8.9
17	Vila Velha	27	4	23	15%	70.4	85.8	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cearense	14	25	24	15	78
Macae	19	23	14	19	75

← all games of the day

Cearense vs Macae Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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