Cedevita Olimpija will host San Pablo Burgos on 18 November 2026 in the EuroCup, a clash that pits a team on a 2-5 run against a side that has gone 1-6 so far this season, with Cedevita's recent 4-1 stretch in the last five games showing a brief lift while Burgos has lost all five. Cedevita's seven games have yielded a 2-5 record, 74.9 points scored and 79.0 points allowed per game, placing them 25th, while their home record stands at 1-2 with 67.7 points for and 76.7 against; their last five included victories over Rostock, Borac Mozzart and Tortona. Burgos, meanwhile, has a 1-6 record, 76.9 points for and 85.9 against, 30th in the standings, and a road record of 0-3 with 79.7 points for and 90.0 against; their last five were all defeats, including losses to Le Mans, Valencia and Rostock. In their only prior meeting, Burgos edged Cedevita 85-81 on 30 September. Pythia names Cedevita the favourite with a 56% chance of winning versus 44% for Burgos, projecting an 81-80 score and 160.8 total points; the home line is -4.5 with a 42% probability of covering, and the over line of 158.5 carries a 55% chance, with a 5% overtime probability. The game will end with Cedevita's 81-point performance.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cedevita Olimpija win
55.5%fair 1.80
Best odds1.48
Implied62.9%
Edge-7.4pp
San Pablo Burgos win
44.5%fair 2.25
Best odds2.51
Implied37.1%
Edge+7.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 161 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%). The market's main line is 158.5.
Over/Under 153.5
Over 153.5
66.2%
@ 1.50+4.7pp
Under 153.5
33.8%
@ 2.40-4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Over/Under 158.5 · main line
Over 158.5
54.7%
@ 1.86+4.4pp
Under 158.5
45.3%
@ 1.88-4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
42.8%
@ 2.40+4.3pp
Under 163.5
57.2%
@ 1.50-4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Cedevita Olimpija total 77.5
Over 77.5
63.4%
@ 1.42+0.0pp
Under 77.5
36.6%
@ 2.50-0.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.37
Cedevita Olimpija total 81.5 · main line
Over 81.5
48.9%
@ 1.82-0.8pp
Under 81.5
51.1%
@ 1.80+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.73
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.71
Cedevita Olimpija total 85.5
Over 85.5
34.5%
@ 2.50-1.8pp
Under 85.5
65.5%
@ 1.42+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
San Pablo Burgos total 73
Over 73
73.8%
Under 73
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Pablo Burgos total 77 · main line
Over 77
59.6%
@ 1.71+9.3pp
Under 77
40.4%
@ 1.73-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Under
1xBet
1.73
San Pablo Burgos total 81
Over 81
44.0%
Under 81
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Cedevita Olimpija's side (positive = Cedevita Olimpija win). Pythia's expected margin is +1.7; Cedevita Olimpija win by 1+ in 50% of simulations.
Spread Cedevita Olimpija -7.5
COL -7.5
32.2%
@ 2.27-7.8pp
SPB +7.5
67.8%
@ 1.55+7.8pp
Best 5 market prices
COL
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.24
SPB
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.46
Spread Cedevita Olimpija -4.5 · main line
COL -4.5
42.1%
@ 1.86-8.2pp
SPB +4.5
57.9%
@ 1.88+8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
COL
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.83
SPB
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Spread Cedevita Olimpija -1.5
COL -1.5
52.9%
@ 1.55-6.6pp
SPB +1.5
47.1%
@ 2.27+6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
COL
Betano
1.55
SPB
Betano
2.27
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Cedevita OlimpijaSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winner
COL win
52.7%
@ 1.62-5.4pp
SPB win
47.3%
@ 2.25+5.4pp
2nd half Spread Cedevita Olimpija -1.5 · main line
COL -1.5
46.6%
@ 1.80-5.2pp
SPB +1.5
53.4%
@ 1.93+5.2pp
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main line
Over
57.0%
@ 1.91+8.1pp
Under
43.0%
@ 1.83-8.1pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
COL
50.7%
@ 1.67-4.2pp
Draw
3.8%
@ 17.50-1.4pp
SPB
45.5%
@ 2.30+5.6pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Their opponents take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Their opponents take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Their opponents take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Their opponents take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
WWWWLLLWLL
San Pablo Burgos
LLLLLLWLLL
#25
League position
#30
-2.9
Net rating
-2.6
92.3
Offensive rating
92.6
95.2
Defensive rating
95.2
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
34.6%
49.1%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%
Profile
■ Cedevita Olimpija■ San Pablo Burgos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
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