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Cedevita vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-73
22-21 16-15 18-14 19-23
Position#18
Record0-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game82.0
Cedevita 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game91.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2018
Meetings · Cedevita v Alba Berlin
10 Oct 2018
CED75
ABE73
25 Jan 2017
CED99
ABE83
14 Nov 2014
CED67
ABE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCedevita
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
no box
H24/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
A27/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
81-54
81
54
+27
no box
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A03/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H21/09
ABA Supercup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H22/09
ABA Supercup
Partizan
#4
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H29/09
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
68-82
68
82
-14
93avg 104
A03/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
115avg 104
A06/10
ABA League
Osijek
#5
W
82-59
82
59
+23
no box
H07/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
10-25
18-29
35-21
27-19
23-20
17-20
15-14
22-15
27-12
15-15
17-12
21-18
22-22
21-13
13-15
23-17
20-20
20-30
22-10
16-25
11-20
17-11
24-23
17-28
15-25
26-18
26-16
19-21
14-23
19-19
16-19
23-19
21-18
26-21
25-27
21-22
22-12
22-10
17-15
156.9Avg total
80.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)80.976.0156.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)79.478.4157.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)76.579.2155.7-2.733%
vs Weaker (22)88.067.2155.2+20.791%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
100-74
100
74
+26
no box
A24/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H27/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
106-95 OT
106
95
+11
no box
A03/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
H07/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
no box
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H13/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
no box
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
112-55
112
55
+57
no box
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
107-91
107
91
+16
145avg 145
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H07/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
14-29
30-12
28-25
27-23
15-20
25-14
24-31
20-21
26-17
18-24
23-25
9-26
20-18
23-26
17-26
16-25
13-21
19-15
18-11
12-14
17-20
22-19
21-15
19-32
20-26
22-28
24-20
22-16
30-15
33-9
27-15
30-19
25-35
19-21
33-16
19-19
31-15
14-17
24-17
170.9Avg total
89.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)107.091.0198.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)107.091.0198.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.681.3170.9+8.370%
Last 5 (5)92.877.6170.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)87.884.4172.2+3.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.978.3175.2+18.684%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
CedevitaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H24/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A27/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A03/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H21/09
ABA Supercup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/09
ABA Supercup
Partizan
#4
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H29/09
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A03/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/10
ABA League
Osijek
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/10
Premijer liga
80.0Avg total
39.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.378.8+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.438.282.6+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.934.675.5+6.281%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.280.0-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.678.4-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)27.045.072.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (6)35.539.374.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker (22)45.135.080.1+10.091%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A24/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A03/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/10
German Cup
83.2Avg total
41.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.141.787.9+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.540.689.2+7.976%-
Last 30 away (13)43.043.286.2-0.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.983.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.287.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)49.241.590.6+7.784%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.2
54.0%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.710.8
73.5%
74.9%10.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.028.0
60.9%
51.9%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.012.0
52.2%
36.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.015.0
88.2%
74.9%15.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
WWLLLWWWWL
Alba Berlin
WWWLWLLWWW
#18
League position
#4
-2.3
Net rating
+22.5
110.0
Offensive rating
134.0
112.3
Defensive rating
111.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
66.7%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
71.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
52.2%
53.7%
Assist %
82.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 134.0Defence112.3 · 111.4Shooting54.8% · 66.7%3-point %37.1% · 52.2%Ball care16.5% · 14.0%Off. rebounds26.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Cedevita   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cedevita wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
25/01/17Cedevita v Alba Berlin99-83
18/01/17Alba Berlin v Cedevita93-76
19/12/14Alba Berlin v Cedevita67-70
14/11/14Cedevita v Alba Berlin67-80
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/18HOsijek82-59
06/10/18AZadar95-85
03/10/18ALimoges68-82
29/09/18HPartizan84-87
22/09/18HCrvena zvezda68-79
21/09/18HZadar85-77
03/06/18ACibona77-68
31/05/18HCibona81-54
27/05/18ACibona82-73
24/05/18HCibona87-96
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/18HBayreuth88-68
02/10/18HTofas107-91
29/09/18HJena112-55
16/06/18ABayern85-106
13/06/18HBayern72-68
10/06/18ABayern66-72
07/06/18HBayern69-96
03/06/18ABayern106-95 OT
27/05/18HLudwigsburg91-88
24/05/18ALudwigsburg100-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game107.0107.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total198.0198.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan220100%91.573.5+18.0
2 Alba Berlin110100%107.091.0+16.0
3 Crvena zvezda110100%88.073.0+15.0
4 Valencia220100%78.064.5+13.5
5 Lokomotiv Kuban220100%81.068.5+12.5
6 Monaco110100%80.068.0+12.0
7 Galatasaray110100%84.073.0+11.0
8 Unicaja21150%81.572.0+9.5
9 Zenit Petersburg21150%86.584.5+2.0
10 Tofas21150%93.593.0+0.5
11 Partizan21150%81.082.0-1.0
12 Limoges21150%73.075.0-2.0
13 Rytas21150%76.579.0-2.5
14 Trento21150%71.574.0-2.5
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%68.572.5-4.0
16 Frankfurt21150%76.088.0-12.0
17 Torino1010%85.088.0-3.0
18 Turk Telekom2020%73.581.5-8.0
19 MoraBanc Andorra1010%73.084.0-11.0
20 Brescia1010%68.080.0-12.0
21 Gdynia2020%76.088.0-12.0
22 Cedevita1010%68.082.0-14.0
23 Ulm1010%73.088.0-15.0
24 Mornar Bar1010%74.097.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita2216181975
Alba Berlin2115142373
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