Alba Berlin vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Oct 2018

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 88-68

19-19 31-15 14-17 24-17

Position#2

Record-

FormLWLWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Alba Berlin 🏆

Bayreuth

Position#15

Record-

FormLLWLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

German Cup

Other2018-19

Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayreuth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bayreuth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba Berlin Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

102-87

102

+15

H21/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

100-74

100

+26

A24/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

91-88

H27/05

BBL

Bayern

106-95 OT

106

+11

A03/06

BBL

Bayern

69-96

-27

H07/06

BBL

Bayern

66-72

-6

A10/06

BBL

Bayern

72-68

H13/06

BBL

Bayern

85-106

106

-21

A16/06

BBL

Jena

#18

112-55

112

+57

H29/09

BBL

Tofas

#12

107-91

107

+16

H02/10

Eurocup

27-23

30-23

22-28

23-13

28-8

14-29

30-12

28-25

27-23

15-20

25-14

24-31

20-21

26-17

18-24

23-25

9-26

20-18

23-26

17-26

16-25

13-21

19-15

18-11

12-14

17-20

22-19

21-15

19-32

20-26

22-28

24-20

22-16

30-15

33-9

27-15

30-19

25-35

19-21

33-16

174.2Avg total

91.0Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	91.0	83.2	174.2	+7.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	78.4	166.8	+10.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	87.8	84.4	172.2	+3.4	70%
vs Weaker (20)	97.0	78.8	175.8	+18.2	85%

Bayreuth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bremerhaven

#16

84-74

+10

H22/04

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#14

93-80

+13

A27/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

70-73

-3

H29/04

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

68-82

-14

A01/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

85-104

104

-19

A10/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

74-79

-5

H12/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

70-95

-25

A15/05

BBL

Vechta

83-67

+16

A28/09

BBL

Torun

#37

73-73

A01/10

Champions League

Torun

#37

86-73

+13

H04/10

Champions League

20-13

26-19

17-20

21-22

29-17

25-20

19-28

20-15

19-20

21-23

17-16

13-14

16-24

12-22

15-22

25-14

19-34

24-19

24-28

18-23

25-15

16-25

17-20

16-19

19-21

22-21

9-26

20-27

19-12

24-13

25-22

15-20

20-18

14-16

17-21

22-18

23-20

17-21

22-16

24-16

158.6Avg total

78.6Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	78.6	80.0	158.6	-1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	77.4	154.6	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.9	87.1	165.0	-9.2	22%
vs Similar (14)	82.8	81.4	164.1	+1.4	50%
vs Weaker (7)	86.3	77.4	163.7	+8.9	86%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alba BerlinBayreuth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	21.3	44.5	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.2	44.1	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (20)	25.1	20.9	46.0	+4.3	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.4	40.9	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.7	40.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	21.4	40.7	-2.2	22%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.4	19.1	37.6	-0.7	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.8	43.5	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	20.8	45.4	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.9	20.7	44.5	+3.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.2	40.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.9	39.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.1	20.4	41.6	+0.7	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.7	18.0	43.7	+7.7	100%	-

Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

57-46

+11

H21/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

42-37

A24/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

42-43

-1

H27/05

BBL

Bayern

46-38

A03/06

BBL

Bayern

29-44

-15

H07/06

BBL

Bayern

29-46

-17

A10/06

BBL

Bayern

29-34

-5

H13/06

BBL

Bayern

39-58

-19

A16/06

BBL

Jena

#18

52-31

+21

H29/09

BBL

Tofas

#12

55-54

H02/10

Eurocup

85.1Avg total

42.0Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	42.0	88.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.4	41.1	89.5	+7.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	43.1	86.4	+0.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	43.1	85.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.6	85.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	49.0	41.5	90.5	+7.5	85%	-

BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bremerhaven

#16

46-32

+14

H22/04

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#14

54-37

+17

A27/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

40-43

-3

H29/04

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

28-46

-18

A01/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

43-53

-10

A10/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

41-40

H12/05

BBL

Ludwigsburg

41-42

-1

A15/05

BBL

Vechta

43-25

+18

A28/09

BBL

Torun

#37

34-34

A01/10

Champions League

Torun

#37

40-41

-1

H04/10

Champions League

80.3Avg total

41.0Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	39.8	80.7	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	38.3	80.3	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	41.1	81.1	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	39.3	80.3	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.4	76.2	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.3	41.9	82.2	-1.6	22%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.7	39.7	79.4	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.1	37.1	81.3	+7.0	86%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	19.6	43.1	+3.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.1	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.9	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	19.5	44.4	+5.5	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.8	19.3	45.1	+6.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	19.6	43.7	+4.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.7	43.5	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	15.4	40.0	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	23.1	20.3	43.4	+2.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (20)	25.9	19.1	45.0	+6.8	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.9	43.1	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.9	11%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.3	20.9	42.1	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.3	18.6	41.9	+4.7	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	38.0	85.0	+9.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	36.8	83.4	+9.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.5	39.3	86.8	+8.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	39.3	86.4	+7.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	33.8	81.4	+13.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	45.9	40.6	86.5	+5.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (20)	47.6	36.6	84.2	+11.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	42.4	83.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	39.2	80.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.0	45.2	86.2	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	40.7	78.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.6	45.2	82.8	-7.7	11%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.1	41.6	84.7	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.1	40.3	82.4	+1.9	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 107.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game

43%

37%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	28.0	60.9%	51.2%	56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	12.0	52.2%	34.0%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	15.0	88.2%	72.2%	15.0

They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	16.0	53.3%	51.2%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	14.0	63.6%	34.0%	42.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.0	71.4%	72.2%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	16.0	53.3%	51.2%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	14.0	63.6%	34.0%	42.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.0	71.4%	72.2%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alba Berlin wins

Bayreuth wins

Date	Game	Score
03/03/18	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	100-68
11/11/17	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	83-76
24/03/17	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	77-76
28/10/16	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	98-96
22/04/16	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	78-82
04/10/15	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	97-77
31/01/15	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	91-60
04/10/14	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	58-68
01/02/14	Alba Berlin v Bayreuth	83-73
23/11/13	Bayreuth v Alba Berlin	59-81

Alba Berlinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/10/18	H	Tofas	107-91
29/09/18	H	Jena	112-55
16/06/18	A	Bayern	85-106
13/06/18	H	Bayern	72-68
10/06/18	A	Bayern	66-72
07/06/18	H	Bayern	69-96
03/06/18	A	Bayern	106-95 OT
27/05/18	H	Ludwigsburg	91-88
24/05/18	A	Ludwigsburg	100-74
21/05/18	H	Ludwigsburg	102-87

Bayreuthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/10/18	H	Torun	86-73
01/10/18	A	Torun	73-73
28/09/18	A	Vechta	83-67
15/05/18	A	Ludwigsburg	70-95
12/05/18	H	Ludwigsburg	74-79
10/05/18	A	Ludwigsburg	85-104
01/05/18	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	68-82
29/04/18	H	Ludwigsburg	70-73
27/04/18	A	Mitteldeutscher	93-80
22/04/18	H	Bremerhaven	84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin

German Cup 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Bayreuth

German Cup 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bonn	1	1	0	100%	89.0	69.0	+20.0
2	Bamberg	1	1	0	100%	92.0	74.0	+18.0
3	Gottingen	1	1	0	100%	72.0	67.0	+5.0
4	Frankfurt	1	1	0	100%	78.0	74.0	+4.0
5	Ulm	1	0	1	0%	74.0	78.0	-4.0
6	Ludwigsburg	1	0	1	0%	67.0	72.0	-5.0
7	s.Oliver Wurzburg	1	0	1	0%	74.0	92.0	-18.0
8	Bremerhaven	1	0	1	0%	69.0	89.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alba Berlin	19	31	14	24	88
Bayreuth	19	15	17	17	68

← all games of the day

Alba Berlin vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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