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Centauros vs Diablos Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Postponed
Position#15
Record6-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#17
Record4-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game84.6
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Lara Figueroa
Other2024
Meetings · Centauros v Diablos
11 Jul 2024
CENT v DIAB
upcoming
09 May 2024
CENT72
DIAB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Centauros win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Diablos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentaurosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCentauros
Date
Competition
Guaiqueries
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
48avg 64
H06/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 64
H11/06
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 64
A13/06
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
59avg 64
A18/06
Superliga
Marinos
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
60avg 64
A20/06
Superliga
Panteras
#14
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 64
H22/06
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
L
84-97
84
97
-13
79avg 64
A25/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
68-106
68
106
-38
56avg 64
A27/06
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
56avg 64
H30/06
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#5
L
94-97
94
97
-3
no box
A02/07
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
23-22
14-19
17-19
27-26
20-24
19-23
17-16
8-22
25-21
17-15
23-24
18-19
20-18
18-20
18-25
15-24
13-15
19-11
23-13
25-19
8-16
24-17
15-17
30-26
14-25
24-20
16-26
19-30
16-19
18-31
15-26
18-29
18-27
14-25
24-20
–
–
–
–
162.4Avg total
75.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.382.0158.2-5.726%
Season at home (10)76.080.6156.6-4.630%
Season away (13)76.583.0159.5-6.523%
Last 10 (10)75.686.8162.4-11.220%
Last 5 (5)78.494.0172.4-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.083.8159.8-7.825%
vs Similar (7)73.376.3149.6-3.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.068.3145.3+8.767%
This opponent (Diablos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DiablosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDiablos
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
94-100
94
100
-6
81avg 59
H02/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
63-77
63
77
-14
50avg 59
A09/06
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 59
A11/06
Superliga
Marinos
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
67avg 59
A15/06
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
71-102
71
102
-31
40avg 59
A22/06
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
W
77-69
77
69
+8
75avg 59
A27/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
84-96
84
96
-12
72avg 59
A29/06
Superliga
Panteras
#14
L
71-74
71
74
-3
54avg 59
A03/07
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
50avg 59
A04/07
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#2
L
66-93
66
93
-27
50avg 59
A08/07
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
27-20
26-25
22-26
15-19
19-23
19-17
10-18
22-20
15-23
21-19
19-27
21-21
22-22
20-24
18-19
20-24
9-23
14-32
28-23
23-26
21-7
12-18
21-18
17-35
18-14
23-22
26-25
15-24
22-12
21-23
13-15
12-19
25-24
16-20
18-26
15-17
26-25
11-32
14-19
163.0Avg total
75.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.184.6158.7-10.517%
Season at home (7)80.686.0166.6-5.443%
Season away (16)71.283.9155.2-12.76%
Last 10 (10)75.587.5163.0-12.010%
Last 5 (5)73.884.2158.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)72.984.7157.6-11.915%
vs Similar (3)80.374.0154.3+6.3100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Centauros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
CentaurosDiablos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentaurosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guaiqueries
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H06/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/06
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A13/06
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/06
Superliga
Marinos
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A20/06
Superliga
Panteras
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H22/06
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A25/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A27/06
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H30/06
Superliga
81.2Avg total
36.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.841.677.3-5.828%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.141.078.1-3.931%-
Last 30 away (16)34.742.176.8-7.425%-
Last 10 (9)36.344.981.2-8.611%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.081.2-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.742.979.7-6.232%-
vs Similar (7)33.638.772.3-5.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.739.774.3-5.033%-
This opponent (Diablos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DiablosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H02/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A09/06
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/06
Superliga
Marinos
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A15/06
Superliga
Cocodrilos
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/06
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#12
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A27/06
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A29/06
Superliga
Panteras
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/07
Superliga
Piratas de La Guaira
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/07
Superliga
Guaiqueries
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/07
Superliga
81.0Avg total
38.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.978.5-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.240.380.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)35.841.377.1-5.422%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.781.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.679.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.940.977.7-4.030%-
vs Similar (3)44.041.085.0+3.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Centauros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centaurostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Centauros: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.715.0
54.2%
50.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.5
29.2%
32.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.916.4
71.6%
68.8%16.4
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diablostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diablos: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.617.4
40.8%
50.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.2
29.7%
32.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
68.8%14.9
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Centauros
LLLLWWLLLL
Diablos
LLLLWLLLLL
#15
League position
#17
-17.2
Net rating
-16.3
97.9
Offensive rating
93.3
115.1
Defensive rating
109.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
42.3%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.2%
3-point %
29.7%
53.2%
Assist %
50.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 93.3Defence115.1 · 109.7Shooting48.9% · 42.3%3-point %29.2% · 29.7%Ball care19.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds21.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Centauros   ■ Diablos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Centauros wins
1
Diablos wins
DateGameScore
23/05/24Diablos v Centauros84-83
09/05/24Centauros v Diablos72-67
18/05/21Diablos v Centauros78-79
Centauroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/24APiratas de La Guaira94-97
30/06/24HCocodrilos74-101
27/06/24AHeroes de Falcon68-106
25/06/24AGaiteros del Zulia84-97
22/06/24HPanteras72-69
20/06/24AMarinos70-63
18/06/24AGuaiqueries74-82
13/06/24APiratas de La Guaira73-82
11/06/24HHeroes de Falcon83-89
06/06/24HGuaiqueries64-82
Diabloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/24AGuaiqueries66-93
04/07/24APiratas de La Guaira71-89
03/07/24APanteras71-74
29/06/24AHeroes de Falcon84-96
27/06/24AGaiteros del Zulia77-69
22/06/24ACocodrilos71-102
15/06/24AMarinos81-86
11/06/24AGaiteros del Zulia77-89
09/06/24AHeroes de Falcon63-77
02/06/24HHeroes de Falcon94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Centauros
Superliga 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL26%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %26%30%23%
Points / game76.376.076.5
Allowed / game82.080.683.0
Point differential-5.7-4.6-6.5
Avg total158.2156.6159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)43% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Diablos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWWLWL43%
AwayWLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23716
Win %17%43%6%
Points / game74.180.671.2
Allowed / game84.686.083.9
Point differential-10.5-5.4-12.7
Avg total158.7166.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2321291%87.376.5+10.7
2 Cocodrilos2318578%80.574.0+6.4
3 Guaiqueries2417771%76.871.3+5.5
4 Trotamundos2215768%84.079.6+4.4
5 Marinos2416867%77.771.2+6.5
6 Piratas de La Guaira2314961%74.971.1+3.8
7 Pioneros23131057%80.378.8+1.5
8 Broncos23131057%84.983.8+1.1
9 Spartans22121055%84.379.7+4.6
10 Heroes de Falcon24131154%75.773.8+2.0
11 Brillantes23121152%79.475.9+3.5
12 Gaiteros del Zulia22101245%74.778.8-4.1
13 Frontinos2481633%72.981.2-8.3
14 Panteras2471729%71.275.7-4.5
15 Centauros2361726%76.382.0-5.7
16 Llaneros2251723%76.582.3-5.8
17 Diablos2341917%74.184.6-10.5
18 Toros de Aragua2231914%76.788.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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