Central Arkansas will host Oral Roberts on 2 November 2026 in a NCAA contest that the Pythia model predicts will be low-scoring, with both sides expected to hold the ball and defend tightly, limiting the total to 148.8 points. Central Arkansas, the model's favourite, carries a 73% chance of winning while Oral Roberts has a 27% chance, and the projected score is 78-71. The home team's spread line is -9.0, with a 43% probability of covering, and the over-under line is 155.0 with a 34% probability of the over. The teams have split their two meetings, the most recent being Oral Roberts' 111-78 win on 10 December 2022. Central Arkansas has won four of its last five games, including a 93-98 loss to Queens Royals at home on 8 March 2026 and a 73-63 victory over Florida Gulf Coast on 7 March 2026, while Oral Roberts also won four of its last five, with a 65-76 loss to North Dakota St away on 5 March 2026 and a 94-70 win over UMKC on 28 February 2026. The model estimates a 4% chance of overtime, and the game will likely finish within the projected 148.8 points.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Central Arkansas winWon
73.1%fair 1.37
Best odds1.25
Implied77.7%
Edge-4.6pp
Oral Roberts winLost
26.9%fair 3.72
Best odds4.32
Implied22.3%
Edge+4.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150Actual: Under 150
Over 150
46.4%
@ 1.47-17.1pp
Under 150
53.6%
@ 2.55+17.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.55
Over/Under 155 · main lineActual: Under 155
Over 155
34.4%
@ 1.91-15.3pp
Under 155
65.6%
@ 1.89+15.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Marathon Be
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.80
Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160
Over 160
24.0%
@ 2.55-12.6pp
Under 160
76.0%
@ 1.47+12.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
Central Arkansas total 77.5Actual: Central Arkansas over 77.5
Over 77.5
51.5%
@ 1.37-14.6pp
Under 77.5
48.5%
@ 2.67+14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Under
Betano
2.67
Central Arkansas total 81.5 · main lineActual: Central Arkansas over 81.5
Over 81.5
35.9%
@ 1.89-14.1pp
Under 81.5
64.1%
@ 1.93+14.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.93
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.85
Central Arkansas total 85.5Actual: Central Arkansas under 85.5
Over 85.5
22.4%
@ 2.45-14.6pp
Under 85.5
77.6%
@ 1.44+14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.44
Oral Roberts total 69Actual: Oral Roberts under 69
Over 69
57.1%
Under 69
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oral Roberts total 73 · main lineActual: Oral Roberts under 73
Over 73
41.1%
@ 1.85-8.9pp
Under 73
58.9%
@ 1.85+8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Oral Roberts total 77Actual: Oral Roberts under 77
Over 77
26.7%
Under 77
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Central Arkansas -12Actual: Central Arkansas -12
CENT -12
32.1%
@ 2.50-5.4pp
ORAL +12
67.9%
@ 1.50+5.4pp
Best 5 market prices
CENT
Bet365
2.50
ORAL
Bet365
1.50
Spread Central Arkansas -9 · main lineActual: Central Arkansas -9
CENT -9
42.7%
@ 1.96-6.3pp
ORAL +9
57.3%
@ 1.88+6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
CENT
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Be
1.88
ORAL
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Spread Central Arkansas -6Actual: Central Arkansas -6
CENT -6
54.3%
@ 1.57-4.6pp
ORAL +6
45.7%
@ 2.25+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CENT
Bet365
1.57
ORAL
Bet365
2.25
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Central ArkansasOral Roberts
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Oral Roberts) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oral RobertsLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#254
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A31/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A08/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H15/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H27/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/03
NCAA
UMKC
#368
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H05/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/03
NCAA
81.5Avg total
40.7Scored
40.8Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)
38.6
39.6
78.2
-1.0
37%
50%
Last 30 at home (15)
39.0
38.3
77.3
+0.7
47%
40%
Last 30 away (15)
38.2
40.9
79.1
-2.7
27%
60%
Last 10 (10)
40.7
40.8
81.5
-0.1
50%
70%
Last 5 (5)
42.6
39.8
82.4
+2.8
60%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)
38.2
41.2
79.3
-3.0
22%
50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)
34.6
38.0
72.6
-3.4
43%
29%
vs Weaker (5)
45.8
36.0
81.8
+9.8
80%
80%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Central Arkansas win
CENT win
no forecast
@ 1.45
ORAL win
no forecast
@ 2.77
2nd half Spread Central Arkansas -3.5 · main lineActual: Central Arkansas -3.5
CENT -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
ORAL +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Central Arkansas (regulation)
CENT
no forecast
@ 1.50
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
ORAL
no forecast
@ 2.80
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Central Arkansas under 83.5
71.2%
1.62
Betano
1.62
-
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Lost
Central Arkansas under 84.5
74.5%
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Lost
Central Arkansas under 85.5
77.6%
1.44
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Won
Under 157
70.0%
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.66
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Central Arkansas under 86.5
80.4%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Under 157.5
70.6%
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Under 158
72.1%
1.58
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Won
Under 158.5
72.7%
1.56
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
Under 159
74.1%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Under 159.5
74.6%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+12.7pp
Won
Under 160
76.0%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+12.6pp
Won
Under 160.5
76.5%
1.44
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
Under 161
77.9%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Under 161.5
78.3%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+11.6pp
Won
Under 162.5
80.0%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Under 162
79.6%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Won
Central Arkansas under 91.5
91.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Under 164.5
83.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 76.5
71.0%
1.44
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 77.5
74.1%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 78.5
77.1%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Under 169.5
89.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Oral Roberts +13.5
72.0%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Lost
Oral Roberts +14.5
74.9%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Lost
Oral Roberts +15.5
77.6%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Lost
Oral Roberts +16.5
80.1%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Lost
Oral Roberts +13
71.1%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Lost
Oral Roberts +15
76.9%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Lost
Under 174.5
93.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Oral Roberts +16
79.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Lost
Oral Roberts +14
74.1%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Lost
Overtime: no
95.6%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 83.5
88.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Oral Roberts +18.5
84.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Lost
Oral Roberts +23.5
92.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Lost
Central Arkansas +11.5
93.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Central Arkansas over 62.5
93.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 56.5
92.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Lost
Central Arkansas +6.5
87.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Central Arkansas over 64.5
90.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Central Arkansas (regulation)
70.6%
1.26
1xBet
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.26
Betano
1.25
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 58.5
88.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Lost
Central Arkansas -1.5
70.7%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Won
Central Arkansas -1
72.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Central Arkansas over 66.5
86.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-3.3pp
Won
Central Arkansas +1.5
75.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 60.5
84.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Lost
Central Arkansas win
73.1%
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-4.6pp
Won
Over 129.5
87.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.9pp
Won
Central Arkansas over 68.5
82.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 62.5
79.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.3pp
Lost
Oral Roberts over 63.5
76.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-6.8pp
Lost
Oral Roberts over 64.5
73.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-7.4pp
Lost
Central Arkansas over 70.5
76.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.8pp
Won
Over 134.5
80.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-9.1pp
Won
Central Arkansas over 71.5
73.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-9.4pp
Won
Central Arkansas over 72.5
70.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-10.2pp
Won
Over 139.5
71.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-14.0pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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