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Cerrado vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 102-112 (OT)
21-20 25-20 30-30 21-27 5-15
Position#17
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.3
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cerrado v Minas
19 Jan 2024
CERR71
MINA84
17 Nov 2022
CERR102
MINA112
07 Dec 2021
CERR74
MINA90
26 Jan 2021
CERR80
MINA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H02/04
NBB
Brasilia
#17
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A13/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A15/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A15/10
NBB
Cearense
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A03/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-21
18-19
19-22
28-26
19-20
13-22
19-11
17-16
25-21
15-15
20-23
16-18
13-17
23-17
13-23
27-32
16-24
16-19
20-15
24-24
27-12
14-22
21-22
15-17
18-23
23-24
34-26
18-12
15-23
26-30
10-15
16-23
30-28
14-22
21-19
9-31
22-20
15-15
21-16
161.8Avg total
77.9Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.286.5165.7-7.317%
Season at home (2)81.087.5168.5-6.50%
Season away (4)78.286.0164.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)77.983.9161.8-6.020%
Last 5 (5)79.285.8165.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.384.0159.3-8.716%
vs Similar (11)81.583.1164.5-1.645%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#5
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A12/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H15/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H17/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H15/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A18/10
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A21/10
NBB
Franca
#1
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
H24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
16-10
19-18
25-20
12-22
14-17
18-16
23-21
20-14
18-16
11-20
14-27
25-19
13-28
14-20
28-24
17-18
17-24
22-20
17-23
24-17
12-23
16-17
20-24
19-10
15-23
32-25
16-14
20-20
28-22
17-21
16-18
19-19
15-24
28-13
25-25
25-20
17-20
17-18
22-17
156.7Avg total
77.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.281.3162.5-0.250%
Season at home (4)83.283.8167.0-0.550%
Season away (2)77.076.5153.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.279.5156.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)82.880.6163.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.686.2165.8-6.722%
vs Similar (10)73.776.2149.9-2.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.279.5165.6+6.791%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
CerradoMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/04
NBB
Brasilia
#17
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A15/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A15/10
NBB
Cearense
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A05/11
NBB
82.0Avg total
39.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.777.0-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.637.475.0+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)36.941.878.8-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.682.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.842.778.6-6.916%-
vs Similar (11)39.734.574.3+5.282%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H07/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H15/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/10
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A21/10
NBB
Franca
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/11
NBB
74.2Avg total
36.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.777.6-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.839.278.9+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)35.540.475.8-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.174.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.678.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.842.680.3-4.833%-
vs Similar (10)35.037.772.7-2.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.639.279.8+1.564%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
4
Minas wins
DateGameScore
09/03/22Minas v Cerrado74-66
07/12/21Cerrado v Minas74-90
26/01/21Cerrado v Minas80-93
06/12/20Minas v Cerrado97-77
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22ACaxias do Sul67-82
03/11/22AUniao Corinthians81-92
28/10/22HBauru69-80
22/10/22HPinheiros93-95 OT
17/10/22ACearense86-80
15/10/22AUnifacisa79-90
15/04/22AUnifacisa65-75
13/04/22ACearense77-75
08/04/22HBrasilia86-90 OT
02/04/22HPaulistano76-80
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22HUniao Corinthians81-75
28/10/22HCaxias do Sul87-81
24/10/22HFranca92-94 OT
21/10/22ABauru82-72
18/10/22APinheiros72-81
15/10/22HFlamengo73-85
17/05/22HFlamengo80-91
15/05/22HFlamengo63-77
12/05/22AFlamengo67-76
07/05/22HUnifacisa75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game79.281.078.2
Allowed / game86.587.586.0
Point differential-7.3-6.5-7.8
Avg total165.7168.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%50%0%
Minas
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.283.277.0
Allowed / game81.383.876.5
Point differential-0.2-0.5+0.5
Avg total162.5167.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca660100%88.575.7+12.8
2 Flamengo76186%82.966.7+16.1
3 Sao Paulo65183%83.776.7+7.0
4 Bauru64267%81.275.3+5.8
5 Pinheiros64267%76.774.2+2.5
6 Caxias do Sul53260%78.074.6+3.4
7 Corinthians Paulista63350%77.576.0+1.5
8 Minas63350%81.281.3-0.2
9 Sao Jose63350%74.575.8-1.3
10 Unifacisa63350%73.279.8-6.7
11 Paulistano73443%70.771.1-0.4
12 Brasilia62433%71.776.8-5.2
13 Rio Claro72529%77.184.3-7.1
14 Uniao Corinthians41325%76.076.0+0.0
15 Cerrado61517%79.286.5-7.3
16 Cearense61517%67.276.5-9.3
17 Pato61517%69.281.7-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cerrado212530215102
Minas2020302715112
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