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Chalon/Saone vs Korfez Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 89-78
Projected total 167.5
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game72.7
Vs
80%
20%
■ CSA 80%■ KOR 20%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record5-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game73.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Le Colisee
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Chalon/Saone face Korfez Basket in the FIBA Europe Cup on 17 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Chalon/Saone as the favourite at 80% versus 20% for Korfez Basket, a reflection of their 4-2 season record, 84.8 points per game and 72.7 allowed, compared with Korfez's 5-1 record, 87.3 points per game and 73.7 allowed; the model projects a 89-78 score for a 167.5 total and a 3% chance of overtime. Chalon/Saone have won two of their three home games, averaging 85.3 points and conceding 74.3, while Korfez's road record is 1-1 with 82.5 points scored and 84.5 allowed; the last five games for Chalon/Saone show two wins and three losses, including a 94-73 win over Manchester Basketball and a 68-74 loss to BC Kalev/Cramo, whereas Korfez's recent five feature three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 101-75 victory over BC Kalev/Cramo and a 72-62 win over Bashkimi. In their sole previous meeting, Korfez Basket defeated Chalon/Saone 74-65 on 14 October 2026, a result that adds intrigue to this encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chalon/Saone win
79.5%fair 1.26
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Korfez Basket win
20.5%fair 4.88
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chalon/SaoneLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChalon/Saone
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#5
L
65-74
65
74
-9
58avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 84
A17/10
LNB
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
W
109-77
109
77
+32
110avg 84
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
106-79
106
79
+27
105avg 84
H24/10
LNB
Bashkimi
#40
W
94-66
94
66
+28
94avg 84
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paris
#1
L
112-116 OT
112
116
-4
no box
A01/11
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
A07/11
LNB
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Boulazac
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-22
10-17
17-18
25-23
16-27
27-16
18-11
31-26
26-19
28-19
24-13
28-13
22-26
31-22
25-18
34-18
22-18
23-7
15-23
26-21
32-36
23-24
23-23
20-9
13-25
16-23
19-17
16-22
19-32
23-20
23-19
23-19
21-14
19-21
31-19
20-20
24-20
26-18
27-16
171.5Avg total
91.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.872.7157.5+12.267%
Season at home (3)85.374.3159.7+11.067%
Season away (3)84.371.0155.3+13.367%
Last 10 (10)91.280.3171.5+10.960%
Last 5 (5)90.486.0176.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.390.7178.0-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.993.2181.2-5.325%
vs Weaker (15)91.672.2163.8+19.487%
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korfez BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 80
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
59avg 80
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
112-71
112
71
+41
118avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
64avg 80
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
W
87-85
87
85
+2
81avg 80
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
83-89
83
89
-6
82avg 80
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bashkimi
#40
W
72-62
72
62
+10
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
22-20
17-10
18-17
20-19
15-7
19-15
15-30
25-17
28-23
29-18
30-13
14-24
18-25
30-18
15-26
19-18
21-22
27-21
20-24
28-24
15-21
15-17
25-27
17-9
23-13
13-23
19-17
19-23
17-17
19-24
27-30
30-18
21-22
29-11
21-24
20-14
24-23
26-23
12-21
162.5Avg total
83.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.373.7161.0+13.783%
Season at home (4)89.868.2158.0+21.5100%
Season away (2)82.584.5167.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)83.978.6162.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)84.080.2164.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.288.2169.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.078.8159.8+2.260%
vs Weaker (6)90.578.5169.0+12.067%
This opponent (Chalon/Saone) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1353%1406%1458%15010%15512%16012%16511%17010%1758%1806%1854%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1252%1356%14510%15512%16510%1756%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 168 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
67.9%
Under 160
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
55.7%
Under 165
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
43.1%
Under 170
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Chalon/Saone total 80.5
Over 80.5
79.1%
Under 80.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chalon/Saone total 84.5
Over 84.5
66.9%
Under 84.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chalon/Saone total 88.5
Over 88.5
52.4%
Under 88.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korfez Basket total 76.5
Over 76.5
56.6%
Under 76.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korfez Basket total 80.5
Over 80.5
41.4%
Under 80.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korfez Basket total 84.5
Over 84.5
27.6%
Under 84.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-240%-211%-182%-152%-124%-95%-66%-35%+08%+39%+610%+99%+129%+158%+186%+215%+243%+273%+302%+331%+361%+390%+42
0%-212%-154%-96%-38%+310%+99%+156%+213%+272%+331%+39
Margin from Chalon/Saone's side (positive = Chalon/Saone win). Pythia's expected margin is +10.7; Chalon/Saone win by 1+ in 74% of simulations.
Spread Chalon/Saone -3
CSA -3
74.1%
KOR +3
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
CSA
No market prices yet.
KOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Chalon/Saone 0
CSA 0
79.5%
KOR 0
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
CSA
No market prices yet.
KOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Chalon/Saone +3
CSA +3
84.8%
KOR -3
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
CSA
No market prices yet.
KOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
Chalon/SaoneKorfez Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chalon/SaoneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A17/10
LNB
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H24/10
LNB
Bashkimi
#40
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paris
#1
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A01/11
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A07/11
LNB
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Boulazac
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/11
LNB
88.3Avg total
45.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.985.7+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.237.381.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.446.589.9-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.788.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.686.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.042.083.0-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.846.590.3-2.742%-
vs Weaker (15)44.338.282.5+6.173%-
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korfez BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tofas
#8
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bashkimi
#40
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Turk Telekom
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.0Avg total
41.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)41.839.281.0+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (9)43.436.780.1+6.889%-
Last 30 away (7)39.742.482.1-2.729%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.779.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.879.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.042.881.8-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.037.677.6+2.480%-
vs Weaker (6)45.037.882.8+7.267%-
This opponent (Chalon/Saone) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chalon/Saonetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chalon/Saone: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
53.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
72.8%16.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Korfez Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Korfez Basket: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.818.7
69.8%
72.8%18.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chalon/Saone
WWLLLWWWWL
Korfez Basket
WWLWLWLWLW
#9
League position
#5
+11.7
Net rating
+6.0
97.2
Offensive rating
96.9
85.5
Defensive rating
91.0
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
31.9%
3-point %
33.6%
71.7%
Assist %
67.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 96.9Defence85.5 · 91.0Shooting54.2% · 52.4%3-point %31.9% · 33.6%Ball care16.8% · 15.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Chalon/Saone   ■ Korfez Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chalon/Saone wins
1
Korfez Basket wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Korfez Basket v Chalon/Saone74-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBoulazac97-74
10/11/26AManchester Basketball94-73
07/11/26ANanterre81-93
04/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo68-74
01/11/26AParis112-116 OT
28/10/26ABashkimi94-66
24/10/26HStrasbourg106-79
20/10/26HValmiera Glass Via109-77
17/10/26ACholet86-77
14/10/26AKorfez Basket65-74
Korfez Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGalatasaray82-81
11/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo101-75
07/11/26ATurk Telekom82-94
04/11/26HBashkimi72-62
31/10/26HTrabzonspor83-89
28/10/26AValmiera Glass Via87-85
25/10/26AAnadolu Efes77-93
21/10/26HManchester Basketball112-71
17/10/26HTofas69-71
14/10/26HChalon/Saone74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chalon/Saone
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.885.384.3
Allowed / game72.774.371.0
Point differential+12.2+11.0+13.3
Avg total157.5159.7155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Korfez Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game87.389.882.5
Allowed / game73.768.284.5
Point differential+13.7+21.5-2.0
Avg total161.0158.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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