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Chalon/Saone vs Saint Quentin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 95-82
Projected total 176.9
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game83.8
Vs
84%
16%
■ CSA 84%■ SQU 16%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game93.2
FranceLNBRound 9· Le Colisee
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Chalon/Saone v Saint Quentin
21 Nov 2026
CSA v SQU
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
CSA84
SQU82
07 Dec 2024
CSA91
SQU63
04 May 2024
CSA97
SQU90
11 Apr 2023
CSA68
SQU64
20 Nov 2021
CSA67
SQU77
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Chalon/Saone host Saint Quentin in the LNB Elite. Pythia makes Chalon/Saone the favourite at 84% and projects 95-82, about 177 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Chalon/Saone are 5-3 this season (93.6 scored, 83.8 allowed a game), form LLLWW; Saint Quentin are 2-7 this season (86.0 scored, 93.2 allowed a game), form LLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chalon/Saone win
84.0%fair 1.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Saint Quentin win
16.0%fair 6.25
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chalon/SaoneFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChalon/Saone
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#5
L
65-74
65
74
-9
58avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 84
A17/10
LNB
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
W
109-77
109
77
+32
110avg 84
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
106-79
106
79
+27
105avg 84
H24/10
LNB
Bashkimi
#40
W
94-66
94
66
+28
94avg 84
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paris
#1
L
112-116 OT
112
116
-4
no box
A01/11
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
A07/11
LNB
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Boulazac
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-22
10-17
17-18
25-23
16-27
27-16
18-11
31-26
26-19
28-19
24-13
28-13
22-26
31-22
25-18
34-18
22-18
23-7
15-23
26-21
32-36
23-24
23-23
20-9
13-25
16-23
19-17
16-22
19-32
23-20
23-19
23-19
21-14
19-21
31-19
20-20
24-20
26-18
27-16
171.5Avg total
91.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.683.8177.4+9.962%
Season at home (4)98.273.5171.8+24.8100%
Season away (4)89.094.0183.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)91.280.3171.5+10.960%
Last 5 (5)90.486.0176.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.390.7178.0-3.333%
vs Similar (12)87.993.2181.2-5.325%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.672.2163.8+19.487%
This opponent (Saint Quentin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saint QuentinFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuentin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
54avg 75
A31/05
Pro B
JL Bourg
#13
W
106-103 OT
106
103
+3
97avg 75
H26/09
LNB
Limoges
#12
L
75-92
75
92
-17
69avg 75
A03/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
81avg 75
H11/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
89-102
89
102
-13
84avg 75
A17/10
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 75
H23/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
94-98
94
98
-4
92avg 75
H27/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
99-94
99
94
+5
96avg 75
H01/11
LNB
Roanne
#7
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A07/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
20-20
20-22
10-15
21-26
26-28
17-23
30-17
20-19
16-25
15-28
24-20
33-24
18-25
16-25
20-24
34-30
16-31
22-14
17-27
21-25
15-24
27-22
18-20
33-24
19-23
21-26
21-25
18-18
27-21
24-29
30-26
23-16
14-23
19-16
12-25
12-21
20-14
20-31
23-15
176.2Avg total
84.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.093.2179.2-7.222%
Season at home (6)90.394.2184.5-3.833%
Season away (3)77.391.3168.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)84.791.5176.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)83.488.8172.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)84.289.9174.2-5.726%
vs Similar (9)83.390.9174.2-7.622%
vs Weaker (2)102.576.5179.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Chalon/Saone) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1351%1402%1454%1506%1558%16010%16511%17012%17512%18010%1858%1906%1954%2002%2051%2101%2150%220
1%1352%1456%15510%16512%17510%1856%1952%2051%215
Pythia expects about 177 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%).
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
73.4%
Under 166.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
62.5%
Under 171.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
50.4%
Under 176.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Chalon/Saone total 83.5
Over 83.5
85.3%
Under 83.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chalon/Saone total 87.5
Over 87.5
75.0%
Under 87.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chalon/Saone total 91.5
Over 91.5
61.6%
Under 91.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Quentin total 80
Over 80
58.8%
Under 80
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Quentin total 84
Over 84
42.5%
Under 84
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Quentin total 88
Over 88
27.8%
Under 88
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-211%-181%-152%-123%-94%-65%-34%+08%+39%+69%+99%+129%+158%+187%+216%+245%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+42
1%-182%-124%-64%+09%+69%+128%+186%+243%+301%+361%+42
Margin from Chalon/Saone's side (positive = Chalon/Saone win). Pythia's expected margin is +12.2; Chalon/Saone win by 1+ in 79% of simulations.
Spread Chalon/Saone -3
CSA -3
79.1%
SQU +3
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
CSA
No market prices yet.
SQU
No market prices yet.
Spread Chalon/Saone 0
CSA 0
84.0%
SQU 0
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
CSA
No market prices yet.
SQU
No market prices yet.
Spread Chalon/Saone +3
CSA +3
88.6%
SQU -3
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
CSA
No market prices yet.
SQU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
Chalon/SaoneSaint Quentin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chalon/SaoneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cholet
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A17/10
LNB
Valmiera Glass Via
#26
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strasbourg
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H24/10
LNB
Bashkimi
#40
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paris
#1
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A01/11
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#27
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A07/11
LNB
Manchester Basketball
#42
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Boulazac
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/11
LNB
88.3Avg total
45.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.985.7+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.237.381.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.446.589.9-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.788.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.686.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.042.083.0-1.033%-
vs Similar (12)43.846.590.3-2.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.338.282.5+6.173%-
This opponent (Saint Quentin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saint QuentinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/05
Pro B
JL Bourg
#13
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H26/09
LNB
Limoges
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A03/10
LNB
Le Mans
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H11/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/10
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H23/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H27/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/11
LNB
Roanne
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/11
LNB
88.5Avg total
42.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.144.086.1-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)41.144.485.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.688.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.343.886.1-1.542%-
vs Similar (9)39.444.884.2-5.311%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Chalon/Saone) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chalon/Saonetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chalon/Saone: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
55.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
74.2%16.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saint Quentintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saint Quentin: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.9
49.6%
55.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.1
36.8%
34.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
74.2%17.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chalon/Saone
WWLLLWWWWL
Saint Quentin
LLWLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#15
+11.7
Net rating
-5.8
97.2
Offensive rating
95.1
85.5
Defensive rating
101.0
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.9%
3-point %
36.8%
71.7%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 95.1Defence85.5 · 101.0Shooting54.2% · 52.0%3-point %31.9% · 36.8%Ball care16.8% · 15.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Chalon/Saone   ■ Saint Quentin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Chalon/Saone wins
4
Saint Quentin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBoulazac97-74
10/11/26AManchester Basketball94-73
07/11/26ANanterre81-93
04/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo68-74
01/11/26AParis112-116 OT
28/10/26ABashkimi94-66
24/10/26HStrasbourg106-79
20/10/26HValmiera Glass Via109-77
17/10/26ACholet86-77
14/10/26AKorfez Basket65-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCholet75-81
07/11/26ARoanne68-80
01/11/26HLyon-Villeurbanne99-94
27/10/26HStrasbourg94-98
23/10/26HDijon81-91
17/10/26APau-Orthez89-102
11/10/26HLe Mans87-98
03/10/26ALimoges75-92
26/09/26HJL Bourg106-103 OT
31/05/26APoitiers73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chalon/Saone
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game93.698.289.0
Allowed / game83.873.594.0
Point differential+9.9+24.8-5.0
Avg total177.4171.8183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Saint Quentin
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%33%0%
Points / game86.090.377.3
Allowed / game93.294.291.3
Point differential-7.2-3.8-14.0
Avg total179.2184.5168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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