The W League Women clash on 15 November 2026 sees Toyota Antelopes W, the model favourite, facing Chanson V-Magic W at home, with the Antelopes expected to win 65-70 and a 65% chance of victory. Chanson V-Magic W enter the game with a 4-1 record, averaging 68.6 points scored and 62.8 allowed, while the Antelopes also sit at 4-1, averaging 76.8 points scored and 64.8 allowed, and hold the league's second position. At home, Chanson has gone 3-0, scoring 73.7 points per game and conceding 65.3, whereas on the road the Antelopes are 2-1, scoring 83.3 and allowing 73.0. Their last five games mirror each other, each team winning four and losing one. The teams have met ten times, with the Antelopes winning six; the most recent encounter on 14 November saw Chanson defeat Toyota 70-56. The model projects a total of 134.9 points, with a 5% chance of overtime, and the home team's line is 65-70, giving a 35% probability of covering.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 68.6 | 62.8 | 131.4 | +5.8 | 80% |
| Season at home (3) | 73.7 | 65.3 | 139.0 | +8.3 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 61.0 | 59.0 | 120.0 | +2.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.6 | 71.2 | 141.8 | -0.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.6 | 62.8 | 131.4 | +5.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 62.9 | 69.2 | 132.1 | -6.3 | 28% |
| vs Similar (2) | 75.5 | 70.0 | 145.5 | +5.5 | 100% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 70.7 | 68.2 | 138.9 | +2.5 | 70% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 76.8 | 64.8 | 141.6 | +12.0 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 67.0 | 52.5 | 119.5 | +14.5 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 83.3 | 73.0 | 156.3 | +10.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.4 | 62.8 | 132.2 | +6.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.8 | 64.8 | 141.6 | +12.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (8) | 60.5 | 62.0 | 122.5 | -1.5 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 67.0 | 54.9 | 121.9 | +12.1 | 82% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.8 | 35.1 | 68.9 | -1.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 35.0 | 33.4 | 68.4 | +1.6 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 32.3 | 37.3 | 69.6 | -5.0 | 23% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.0 | 38.8 | 73.8 | -3.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.4 | 35.6 | 71.0 | -0.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 31.8 | 34.3 | 66.1 | -2.4 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 36.0 | 43.0 | 79.0 | -7.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 37.0 | 35.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 | 60% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (28) | 36.5 | 31.1 | 67.7 | +5.4 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.9 | 28.2 | 66.1 | +9.6 | 88% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 34.8 | 35.0 | 69.8 | -0.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.1 | 33.2 | 71.3 | +4.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 33.0 | 75.2 | +9.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (8) | 32.6 | 31.5 | 64.1 | +1.1 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (20) | 38.1 | 31.0 | 69.1 | +7.1 | 80% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 27.0 | 11.0 | 40.7% | - | 22.0 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 35.5 | 9.0 | 25.4% | - | 27.0 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 7.5 | 6.5 | 86.7% | - | 6.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | Chanson V-Magic W v Toyota Antelopes W | 70-56 |
| 28/12/25 | Toyota Antelopes W v Chanson V-Magic W | 72-73 |
| 27/12/25 | Toyota Antelopes W v Chanson V-Magic W | 63-48 |
| 09/11/25 | Chanson V-Magic W v Toyota Antelopes W | 60-67 |
| 08/11/25 | Chanson V-Magic W v Toyota Antelopes W | 58-68 |
| 24/02/25 | Toyota Antelopes W v Chanson V-Magic W | 77-45 |
| 23/02/25 | Toyota Antelopes W v Chanson V-Magic W | 72-77 |
| 10/11/24 | Chanson V-Magic W v Toyota Antelopes W | 55-61 |
| 09/11/24 | Chanson V-Magic W v Toyota Antelopes W | 88-92 OT |
| 31/03/24 | Toyota Antelopes W v Chanson V-Magic W | 82-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Toyota Antelopes W | 70-56 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Hitachi Cougars W | 76-67 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Hitachi Cougars W | 75-73 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Eneos Sunflowers W | 60-63 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Eneos Sunflowers W | 62-55 |
| 08/02/26 | A | Haneda Vickies W | 70-94 |
| 07/02/26 | A | Haneda Vickies W | 81-73 |
| 01/02/26 | A | Sunshine Rabbits W | 63-82 |
| 31/01/26 | A | Sunshine Rabbits W | 79-86 OT |
| 25/01/26 | H | Denso Iris W | 70-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Chanson V-Magic W | 56-70 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Aisin Wings W | 98-78 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Aisin Wings W | 96-71 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Sunshine Rabbits W | 57-51 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Sunshine Rabbits W | 77-54 |
| 12/04/26 | A | Denso Iris W | 51-70 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Denso Iris W | 59-69 |
| 05/04/26 | A | Denso Iris W | 57-41 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Denso Iris W | 66-75 |
| 30/03/26 | H | Sunshine Rabbits W | 77-49 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 68.6 | 73.7 | 61.0 |
| Allowed / game | 62.8 | 65.3 | 59.0 |
| Point differential | +5.8 | +8.3 | +2.0 |
| Avg total | 131.4 | 139.0 | 120.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 80% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 76.8 | 67.0 | 83.3 |
| Allowed / game | 64.8 | 52.5 | 73.0 |
| Point differential | +12.0 | +14.5 | +10.3 |
| Avg total | 141.6 | 119.5 | 156.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 76.2 | 64.2 | +12.0 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 76.8 | 64.8 | +12.0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 68.6 | 62.8 | +5.8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.3 | 62.0 | +5.3 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 74.0 | 68.4 | +5.6 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 57.0 | 63.4 | -6.4 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.8 | 71.6 | -12.8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 68.2 | 87.0 | -18.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 13 | 24 | 8 | 52 | |
| 21 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 66 |
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