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Chanson V-Magic W vs Toyota Antelopes W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 05:00
Projected 65-70
Projected total 134.9
Final 52-66
7-21 13-20 24-11 8-14
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game62.8
Vs
35%
65%
■ CHAN 35%■ TOYO 65%
Pythia win probability
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game64.8
JapanW League Women
Women2026-27
Meetings · Chanson V-Magic W v Toyota Antelopes W
15 Nov 2026
CHAN52
TOYO66
14 Nov 2026
CHAN70
TOYO56
09 Nov 2025
CHAN60
TOYO67
08 Nov 2025
CHAN58
TOYO68
10 Nov 2024
CHAN55
TOYO61
09 Nov 2024
CHAN88
TOYO92
10 Mar 2024
CHAN61
TOYO84
09 Mar 2024
CHAN77
TOYO75
15 Jan 2023
CHAN59
TOYO81
14 Jan 2023
CHAN65
TOYO71
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The W League Women clash on 15 November 2026 sees Toyota Antelopes W, the model favourite, facing Chanson V-Magic W at home, with the Antelopes expected to win 65-70 and a 65% chance of victory. Chanson V-Magic W enter the game with a 4-1 record, averaging 68.6 points scored and 62.8 allowed, while the Antelopes also sit at 4-1, averaging 76.8 points scored and 64.8 allowed, and hold the league's second position. At home, Chanson has gone 3-0, scoring 73.7 points per game and conceding 65.3, whereas on the road the Antelopes are 2-1, scoring 83.3 and allowing 73.0. Their last five games mirror each other, each team winning four and losing one. The teams have met ten times, with the Antelopes winning six; the most recent encounter on 14 November saw Chanson defeat Toyota 70-56. The model projects a total of 134.9 points, with a 5% chance of overtime, and the home team's line is 65-70, giving a 35% probability of covering.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chanson V-Magic W winLost
34.9%fair 2.86
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyota Antelopes W winWon
65.1%fair 1.54
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chanson V-Magic WJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denso Iris W
#2
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H25/01
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#4
L
79-86 OT
79
86
-7
A31/01
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A01/02
W League Women
Haneda Vickies W
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A07/02
W League Women
Haneda Vickies W
#9
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A08/02
W League Women
Eneos Sunflowers W
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A31/10
W League Women
Eneos Sunflowers W
#6
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A01/11
W League Women
Hitachi Cougars W
#5
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H07/11
W League Women
Hitachi Cougars W
#5
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H08/11
W League Women
Toyota Antelopes W
#1
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H14/11
W League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-15
10-12
21-19
13-27
13-18
27-11
21-18
22-24
13-24
13-25
15-9
20-13
18-21
19-20
24-19
20-28
15-23
16-24
19-19
14-17
25-15
10-9
13-14
13-11
16-26
25-17
6-9
21-26
17-23
14-8
23-16
22-18
12-19
16-15
26-15
24-12
13-11
13-25
20-8
141.8Avg total
70.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.662.8131.4+5.880%
Season at home (3)73.765.3139.0+8.3100%
Season away (2)61.059.0120.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)70.671.2141.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)68.662.8131.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)62.969.2132.1-6.328%
vs Similar (2)75.570.0145.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (10)70.768.2138.9+2.570%
This opponent (Toyota Antelopes W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toyota Antelopes WJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Rabbits W
#4
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H30/03
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A04/04
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A05/04
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A11/04
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A12/04
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#7
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H31/10
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H01/11
W League Women
Aisin Wings W
#8
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A07/11
W League Women
Aisin Wings W
#8
W
98-78
98
78
+20
A08/11
W League Women
Chanson V-Magic W
#4
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A14/11
W League Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
25-14
14-8
19-16
19-22
5-17
17-17
25-19
17-14
16-11
14-6
10-10
13-14
23-26
10-6
13-23
13-18
20-20
16-12
2-20
22-18
20-10
17-15
18-11
19-2
19-17
11-13
8-19
24-17
26-20
23-14
23-20
28-24
30-20
22-16
18-18
12-24
11-13
25-13
8-20
132.2Avg total
69.4Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.864.8141.6+12.080%
Season at home (2)67.052.5119.5+14.5100%
Season away (3)83.373.0156.3+10.367%
Last 10 (10)69.462.8132.2+6.660%
Last 5 (5)76.864.8141.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)60.562.0122.5-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)67.054.9121.9+12.182%
This opponent (Chanson V-Magic W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 127.5Actual: Under 127.5
Over 127.5
67.0%
Under 127.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 132.5Actual: Under 132.5
Over 132.5
55.3%
Under 132.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 137.5Actual: Under 137.5
Over 137.5
43.2%
Under 137.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Chanson V-Magic W total 63.5Actual: Chanson V-Magic W under 63.5
Over 63.5
56.5%
Under 63.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chanson V-Magic W total 67.5Actual: Chanson V-Magic W under 67.5
Over 67.5
41.1%
Under 67.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chanson V-Magic W total 71.5Actual: Chanson V-Magic W under 71.5
Over 71.5
27.1%
Under 71.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toyota Antelopes W total 61.5Actual: Toyota Antelopes W over 61.5
Over 61.5
78.9%
Under 61.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toyota Antelopes W total 65.5Actual: Toyota Antelopes W over 65.5
Over 65.5
65.9%
Under 65.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toyota Antelopes W total 69.5Actual: Toyota Antelopes W under 69.5
Over 69.5
50.6%
Under 69.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Chanson V-Magic W -3Actual: Toyota Antelopes W +3
CHAN -3
26.7%
TOYO +3
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
CHAN
No market prices yet.
TOYO
No market prices yet.
Spread Chanson V-Magic W 0Actual: Toyota Antelopes W 0
CHAN 0
34.9%
TOYO 0
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
CHAN
No market prices yet.
TOYO
No market prices yet.
Spread Chanson V-Magic W +3Actual: Toyota Antelopes W -3
CHAN +3
43.4%
TOYO -3
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
CHAN
No market prices yet.
TOYO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
Chanson V-Magic WToyota Antelopes W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chanson V-Magic WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denso Iris W
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#4
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A31/01
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A01/02
W League Women
Haneda Vickies W
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A07/02
W League Women
Haneda Vickies W
#9
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A08/02
W League Women
Eneos Sunflowers W
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A31/10
W League Women
Eneos Sunflowers W
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/11
W League Women
Hitachi Cougars W
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H07/11
W League Women
Hitachi Cougars W
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/11
W League Women
Toyota Antelopes W
#1
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H14/11
W League Women
73.8Avg total
35.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.835.168.9-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.033.468.4+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)32.337.369.6-5.023%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.873.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.671.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.834.366.1-2.433%-
vs Similar (2)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (10)37.035.072.0+2.060%-
This opponent (Toyota Antelopes W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toyota Antelopes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Rabbits W
#4
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H30/03
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A04/04
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A05/04
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/04
W League Women
Denso Iris W
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/04
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H31/10
W League Women
Sunshine Rabbits W
#7
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H01/11
W League Women
Aisin Wings W
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A07/11
W League Women
Aisin Wings W
#8
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A08/11
W League Women
Chanson V-Magic W
#4
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A14/11
W League Women
71.3Avg total
38.1Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.531.167.7+5.471%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.928.266.1+9.688%-
Last 30 away (12)34.835.069.8-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.271.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.075.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)32.631.564.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.131.069.1+7.180%-
This opponent (Chanson V-Magic W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chanson V-Magic Wtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Toyota Antelopes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyota Antelopes W: 55.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.5 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.011.0
40.7%
-22.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.59.0
25.4%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws7.56.5
86.7%
-6.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HToyota Antelopes W70-56
08/11/26HHitachi Cougars W76-67
07/11/26HHitachi Cougars W75-73
01/11/26AEneos Sunflowers W60-63
31/10/26AEneos Sunflowers W62-55
08/02/26AHaneda Vickies W70-94
07/02/26AHaneda Vickies W81-73
01/02/26ASunshine Rabbits W63-82
31/01/26ASunshine Rabbits W79-86 OT
25/01/26HDenso Iris W70-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChanson V-Magic W56-70
08/11/26AAisin Wings W98-78
07/11/26AAisin Wings W96-71
01/11/26HSunshine Rabbits W57-51
31/10/26HSunshine Rabbits W77-54
12/04/26ADenso Iris W51-70
11/04/26ADenso Iris W59-69
05/04/26ADenso Iris W57-41
04/04/26ADenso Iris W66-75
30/03/26HSunshine Rabbits W77-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chanson V-Magic W
W League Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game68.673.761.0
Allowed / game62.865.359.0
Point differential+5.8+8.3+2.0
Avg total131.4139.0120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toyota Antelopes W
W League Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game76.867.083.3
Allowed / game64.852.573.0
Point differential+12.0+14.5+10.3
Avg total141.6119.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fujitsu W54180%76.264.2+12.0
2 Toyota Antelopes W54180%76.864.8+12.0
3 Chanson V-Magic W54180%68.662.8+5.8
4 Denso Iris W64267%67.362.0+5.3
5 Hitachi Cougars W53260%74.068.4+5.6
6 Sunshine Rabbits W51420%57.063.4-6.4
7 Eneos Sunflowers W51420%58.871.6-12.8
8 Aisin Wings W6060%68.287.0-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chanson V-Magic W71324852
Toyota Antelopes W2120111466
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