PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Charleroi W vs Donza W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 55-88
17-16 10-26 12-24 16-22
Position#11
Record2-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Donza W 🏆
Belgium
Position#5
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game70.7
BelgiumTop Division Women· Complexe Sportif II - Garenne
Women2025-26
Meetings · Charleroi W v Donza W
21 Feb 2026
CHAR55
DONZ88
21 Sep 2024
CHAR88
DONZ84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charleroi W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charleroi WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#4
L
58-100
58
100
-42
36avg 51
H04/12
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
43-76
43
76
-33
29avg 51
A13/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
73-60
73
60
+13
59avg 51
A20/12
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
L
60-73
60
73
-13
50avg 51
H10/01
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
50-101
50
101
-51
no box
H17/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
54-99
54
99
-45
42avg 51
H22/01
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
52avg 51
H24/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 51
A31/01
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
57-60
57
60
-3
44avg 51
H12/02
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
48-102
48
102
-54
31avg 51
A15/02
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
20-22
8-32
11-23
7-17
9-20
14-13
13-26
22-14
9-14
16-11
26-21
21-14
17-21
11-15
11-23
10-23
14-29
16-23
10-26
12-20
15-24
15-31
12-24
22-23
17-17
19-25
16-23
27-13
15-20
17-13
18-29
11-12
11-13
20-11
15-24
17-22
4-28
13-21
14-31
142.8Avg total
59.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)59.883.7143.5-23.811%
Season at home (9)59.486.3145.8-26.90%
Season away (9)60.281.0141.2-20.822%
Last 10 (10)59.483.4142.8-24.020%
Last 5 (5)62.084.8146.8-22.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)61.287.5148.8-26.34%
vs Similar (2)69.569.0138.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (4)80.863.8144.5+17.075%
This opponent (Donza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#11
W
84-68
84
68
+16
75avg 61
H22/11
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
65-57
65
57
+8
47avg 61
A29/11
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
58avg 61
H13/12
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
34avg 61
H20/12
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
68-53
68
53
+15
60avg 61
H10/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
A17/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
54-82
54
82
-28
36avg 61
H24/01
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
67avg 61
A31/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
90-55
90
55
+35
80avg 61
H08/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 61
H14/02
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
26-12
20-14
16-23
17-16
17-17
20-18
11-6
21-16
20-21
17-23
21-30
16-26
17-23
6-20
9-11
15-13
19-14
16-17
18-9
19-15
17-15
19-13
15-20
10-25
14-19
13-25
17-13
19-13
22-15
18-18
20-23
23-16
24-11
19-16
24-12
17-26
17-12
22-22
18-12
140.0Avg total
71.1Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.170.7144.8+3.465%
Season at home (9)73.169.1142.2+4.067%
Season away (8)75.272.5147.8+2.862%
Last 10 (10)71.168.9140.0+2.270%
Last 5 (5)73.468.2141.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.089.4155.4-23.48%
vs Similar (6)77.272.3149.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.757.2135.9+21.5100%
This opponent (Charleroi W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -10.4-10.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -10.4-10.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Charleroi WDonza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charleroi WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk W
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H04/12
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A13/12
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A20/12
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H17/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H22/01
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/01
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H12/02
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A15/02
Top Division Women
68.8Avg total
29.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.642.073.6-10.417%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.640.274.8-5.614%-
Last 30 away (16)29.043.672.6-14.619%-
Last 10 (10)29.938.968.8-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.238.468.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.344.574.8-14.28%-
vs Similar (2)32.535.568.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (4)38.830.569.2+8.275%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleroi W
#11
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H22/11
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A29/11
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/12
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H20/12
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H10/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A17/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H24/01
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A31/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H08/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/02
Top Division Women
71.6Avg total
37.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.236.572.7-0.248%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.334.371.7+3.053%-
Last 30 away (14)35.138.873.9-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.471.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.469.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.746.579.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (5)39.431.470.8+8.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.026.965.9+12.191%-
This opponent (Charleroi W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charleroi Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charleroi W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.515.0
40.0%
46.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.95.5
24.0%
28.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
68.5%14.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.8
49.7%
46.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.95.4
24.7%
28.7%16.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.9
70.8%
68.5%11.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charleroi W
LLWLLLLWLL
Donza W
WWWLWWLLWW
#11
League position
#5
-24.0
Net rating
+7.4
70.6
Offensive rating
88.4
94.6
Defensive rating
81.0
38.5%
Effective FG%
45.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
22.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
24.0%
3-point %
24.7%
51.7%
Assist %
43.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence70.6 · 88.4Defence94.6 · 81.0Shooting38.5% · 45.4%3-point %24.0% · 24.7%Ball care22.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds19.6% · 26.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Charleroi W   ■ Donza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Charleroi W wins
2
Donza W wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Donza W v Charleroi W84-68
18/01/25Donza W v Charleroi W74-67
21/09/24Charleroi W v Donza W88-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26ANamur W48-102
12/02/26HSpirou Basket W57-60
31/01/26AWaregem W77-75
24/01/26HPhantoms W74-88
22/01/26HNamur W54-99
17/01/26HMechelen W50-101
10/01/26HJeugd Gentson W60-73
20/12/25ALummen W73-60
13/12/25ABraine W43-76
04/12/25HKortrijk W58-100
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HKortrijk W74-72
08/02/26HLummen W90-55
31/01/26ALiege W79-69
24/01/26HNamur W54-82
17/01/26AWaregem W70-63
10/01/26HSpirou Basket W68-53
20/12/25HBraine W48-80
13/12/25HPhantoms W79-90
29/11/25AJeugd Gentson W65-57
22/11/25HCharleroi W84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charleroi W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %11%0%22%
Points / game59.859.460.2
Allowed / game83.786.381.0
Point differential-23.8-26.9-20.8
Avg total143.5145.8141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donza W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game74.173.175.2
Allowed / game70.769.172.5
Point differential+3.4+4.0+2.8
Avg total144.8142.2147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W17170100%87.953.1+34.8
2 Braine W1817194%83.448.7+34.8
3 Namur W1814478%81.057.4+23.6
4 Donza W1711665%74.170.7+3.4
5 Kortrijk W1811761%75.669.9+5.7
6 Phantoms W189950%73.074.8-1.8
7 Liege W1881044%68.468.2+0.2
8 Jeugd Gentson W1871139%62.669.1-6.5
9 Spirou Basket W1861233%57.770.6-12.9
10 Waregem W1851328%58.971.1-12.1
11 Charleroi W1821611%59.883.7-23.8
12 Lummen W180180%49.792.8-43.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charleroi W1710121655
Donza W1626242288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.