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Chattanooga Mocs vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-83 (OT)
31-30 37-38 11-15
Position#202
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Belmont 🏆
USA
Position#79
Record6-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chattanooga Mocs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland City
#589
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H11/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Covenant
#549
W
108-55
108
55
+53
H19/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A01/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A03/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#620
W
97-47
97
47
+50
H10/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-19
46-30
33-33
25-37
61-14
47-41
24-27
42-45
30-34
39-32
34-45
47-29
38-39
44-32
44-21
44-55
43-13
54-34
47-40
35-33
147.7Avg total
82.4Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.067.1149.1+14.973%
Season at home (6)86.860.8147.7+26.083%
Season away (5)76.274.6150.8+1.660%
Last 10 (10)82.465.3147.7+17.180%
Last 5 (5)86.068.2154.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.085.0163.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.065.2137.2+6.880%
vs Weaker (17)73.967.9141.9+6.071%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H18/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
83-53
83
53
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
L
75-85 OT
75
85
-10
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
37-52
34-37
41-40
31-44
50-45
30-26
36-36
47-34
49-39
31-29
37-37
33-27
43-37
31-30
46-57
46-26
37-27
30-30
40-40
151.6Avg total
77.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.574.0150.5+2.555%
Season at home (6)80.272.2152.3+8.067%
Season away (5)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 10 (10)77.174.5151.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)75.871.0146.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.082.3141.3-23.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.770.9141.6-0.244%
vs Weaker (17)81.865.6147.5+16.294%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.6+11.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.6+11.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
Chattanooga MocsBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland City
#589
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H11/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A16/11
NCAA
Covenant
#549
W
61-14
61
14
+47
H19/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#620
W
43-13
43
13
+30
H10/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
40.1Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.229.363.6+4.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.725.259.9+9.456%-
Last 30 away (14)33.734.067.7-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.128.568.6+11.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.231.672.8+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.042.073.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.529.061.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (17)34.230.464.5+3.853%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#22
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H18/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#511
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H10/12
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.932.468.3+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.131.467.5+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)35.733.569.2+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)35.032.067.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.462.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.740.069.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.134.266.3-2.133%-
vs Weaker (17)38.929.868.6+9.188%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chattanooga Mocs wins
1
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
15/12/21Belmont v Chattanooga Mocs76-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/22AMiddle Tenn. St.82-73
10/12/22HJohnson Royals97-47
07/12/22HWisc. Milwaukee88-76
03/12/22AGardner Webb82-71
01/12/22ATennessee Tech81-74
27/11/22HMurray State69-66
23/11/22HLipscomb66-72
19/11/22HCovenant108-55
16/11/22AOle Miss58-70
11/11/22HOakland City93-49
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HMiddle Tenn. St.75-85 OT
07/12/22HTrevecca Nazarene83-53
04/12/22AIllinois State77-87
02/12/22HValparaiso76-64
27/11/22AGeorgia State68-66
21/11/22HHoward96-73
19/11/22AGeorge Mason66-62
18/11/22HTarleton81-89
15/11/22ALipscomb75-77
12/11/22AFurman74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game82.086.876.2
Allowed / game67.160.874.6
Point differential+14.9+26.0+1.6
Avg total149.1147.7150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game76.580.272.0
Allowed / game74.072.276.2
Point differential+2.5+8.0-4.2
Avg total150.5152.3148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs118373%82.067.1+14.9
2 Furman128467%80.772.4+8.2
3 Wofford127558%77.367.6+9.8
4 Samford126650%81.070.2+10.8
5 Mercer126650%76.868.0+8.8
6 Western Carolina126650%76.070.6+5.4
7 NC Greensboro115645%66.367.2-0.9
8 Citadel115645%70.673.8-3.2
9 VMI125742%76.874.2+2.7
10 East Tennessee St124833%71.268.7+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State129375%83.572.6+10.9
2 Drake118373%73.067.7+5.3
3 Southern Illinois128467%68.861.5+7.3
4 Bradley117464%67.960.7+7.2
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%69.865.3+4.5
6 Murray State117464%72.568.5+3.9
7 Belmont116555%76.574.0+2.5
8 Illinois State125742%68.070.9-2.9
9 Northern Iowa114736%70.966.6+4.3
10 Valparaiso114736%69.575.5-6.1
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Chattanooga Mocs31371179
Belmont30381583
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