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Belmont vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-64
33-27 43-37
Position#79
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.0
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#306
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Belmont v Valparaiso
13 Jan 2026
BELM78
VALP74
14 Jan 2025
BELM71
VALP64
07 Mar 2024
BELM86
VALP61
02 Dec 2023
BELM77
VALP68
01 Dec 2022
BELM76
VALP64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#241
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A15/03
NIT
Ohio
#133
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H08/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H18/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
46-31
0-0
41-36
0-0
21-30
0-0
30-23
0-0
38-39
0-0
33-43
0-0
41-34
0-0
29-35
0-0
37-37
0-0
37-52
0-0
34-37
0-0
41-40
0-0
31-44
0-0
50-45
0-0
30-26
0-0
36-36
0-0
47-34
0-0
49-39
0-0
31-29
0-0
37-37
146.6Avg total
73.9Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.775.0150.7+0.757%
Season at home (3)82.377.0159.3+5.367%
Season away (4)70.873.5144.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)73.972.7146.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.273.4150.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.082.3141.3-23.30%
vs Similar (10)70.168.0138.1+2.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.864.9148.7+18.9100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#164
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
49-79
49
79
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
13-34
42-45
43-32
38-27
28-35
30-32
26-52
44-33
40-36
41-29
24-49
50-38
29-26
39-38
22-52
27-27
23-23
27-38
36-37
38-37
139.2Avg total
66.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.674.3141.9-6.743%
Season at home (4)70.067.2137.2+2.875%
Season away (3)64.383.7148.0-19.30%
Last 10 (10)66.772.5139.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)64.474.0138.4-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.575.2137.7-12.78%
vs Similar (12)71.974.6146.5-2.750%
vs Weaker (5)76.461.0137.4+15.4100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -9.2-9.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.2+3.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -9.2-9.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.2+3.2
BelmontValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#241
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/03
NIT
Ohio
#133
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H18/11
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A27/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.170.1+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.632.571.1+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)35.433.669.0+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.169.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.068.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.740.069.7-10.30%-
vs Similar (10)32.433.365.7-0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.530.470.9+10.187%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#164
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
28.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.134.565.6-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.031.564.5+1.544%-
Last 30 away (12)28.338.967.2-10.625%-
Last 10 (10)28.437.666.0-9.230%-
Last 5 (5)26.837.464.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.235.762.9-8.417%-
vs Similar (12)30.836.367.2-5.533%-
vs Weaker (5)38.829.868.6+9.080%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belmont wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22AGeorgia State68-66
21/11/22HHoward96-73
19/11/22AGeorge Mason66-62
18/11/22HTarleton81-89
15/11/22ALipscomb75-77
12/11/22AFurman74-89
08/11/22HOhio70-69
15/03/22AVanderbilt71-82
05/03/22HMorehead State51-53
26/02/22HTennessee State87-67
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22HJames Madison81-79 OT
25/11/22HSouth Dakota St.50-61
23/11/22ASamford49-79
20/11/22HIncarnate Word68-64
17/11/22AChicago State74-87
13/11/22HWestern Michigan81-65
08/11/22AToledo70-85
05/03/22AMissouri State58-67
04/03/22HEvansville81-59
27/02/22ABradley55-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game75.782.370.8
Allowed / game75.077.073.5
Point differential+0.7+5.3-2.8
Avg total150.7159.3144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game67.670.064.3
Allowed / game74.367.283.7
Point differential-6.7+2.8-19.3
Avg total141.9137.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State87188%83.669.9+13.8
2 Drake76186%74.464.4+10.0
3 Southern Illinois75271%65.458.3+7.1
4 Bradley85362%72.062.2+9.8
5 Illinois (Chi.)85362%71.565.5+6.0
6 Belmont74357%75.775.0+0.7
7 Murray State63350%76.370.5+5.8
8 Valparaiso73443%67.674.3-6.7
9 Northern Iowa62433%72.067.5+4.5
10 Illinois State72529%61.367.0-5.7
11 Evansville92722%59.769.9-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont334376
Valparaiso273764
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