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Chemnitz vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-68
20-18 17-22 16-24 20-4
Position#12
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#19
Record1-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game89.9
EuropeEurocupRound 10· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panionios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 76
A26/10
BBL
Ulm
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
86avg 76
H29/10
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 76
H01/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 76
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
69avg 76
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
71-84
71
84
-13
57avg 76
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
105-94
105
94
+11
101avg 76
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 76
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
63-87
63
87
-24
49avg 76
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
81avg 76
A06/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
31-18
9-28
23-24
26-20
22-15
12-27
29-16
20-24
27-20
23-16
23-15
18-16
23-20
24-22
17-27
24-8
17-28
16-20
15-29
19-21
20-16
17-19
15-28
19-20
34-17
23-26
29-31
28-19
20-25
24-23
13-22
14-20
24-25
10-20
15-22
21-20
17-22
15-17
20-14
168.3Avg total
82.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.982.8164.7-0.933%
Season at home (5)75.276.8152.0-1.640%
Season away (4)90.290.2180.5+0.025%
Last 10 (10)82.485.9168.3-3.530%
Last 5 (5)81.288.0169.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.992.3174.2-10.411%
vs Similar (13)90.589.6180.2+0.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.377.9161.1+5.457%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 70
H28/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
70avg 70
A01/11
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#4
L
67-95
67
95
-28
52avg 70
A04/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 70
H08/11
Basket League
London Lions
#17
L
72-97
72
97
-25
62avg 70
A12/11
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
77avg 70
A15/11
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#16
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 70
H19/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
no box
H22/11
Basket League
Besiktas
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
77avg 70
A05/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
66-110
66
110
-44
56avg 70
A07/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
23-18
30-28
15-28
23-23
19-11
23-21
11-23
23-24
14-20
9-32
21-19
19-20
17-23
25-18
19-31
18-24
17-31
13-24
24-18
14-25
26-17
19-16
18-28
12-16
19-19
21-20
20-24
26-29
25-17
19-13
14-25
20-27
26-28
24-18
13-28
21-30
13-23
12-34
20-23
172.1Avg total
78.7Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.189.9166.0-13.811%
Season at home (4)76.080.5156.5-4.525%
Season away (5)76.297.4173.6-21.20%
Last 10 (10)78.793.4172.1-14.710%
Last 5 (5)81.096.2177.2-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.791.5164.2-18.85%
vs Similar (10)85.987.6173.5-1.740%
vs Weaker (1)86.080.0166.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -7.2-7.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -7.2-7.2
ChemnitzPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A26/10
BBL
Ulm
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/10
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H01/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Jena
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/11
BBL
Buducnost
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H23/11
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/12
BBL
84.3Avg total
44.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.786.3+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.741.885.5+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.543.587.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.084.3+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.084.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.045.785.7-5.744%-
vs Similar (13)46.144.290.3+1.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.137.381.4+6.986%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/11
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A04/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/11
Basket League
London Lions
#17
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A12/11
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/11
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#16
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H19/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H22/11
Basket League
Besiktas
#2
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A05/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A07/12
Basket League
83.6Avg total
39.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.482.0-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.440.379.7-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)37.946.484.3-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.283.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.286.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.645.381.8-8.716%-
vs Similar (10)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
vs Weaker (1)41.043.084.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.917.3
56.0%
54.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.5
31.0%
34.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
75.2%15.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.5
49.1%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.0
33.5%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.413.1
79.9%
75.2%13.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWLLLWWL
Panionios
LLWLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#19
-4.8
Net rating
-22.5
106.0
Offensive rating
97.9
110.8
Defensive rating
120.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.0%
3-point %
33.5%
69.1%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 97.9Defence110.8 · 120.4Shooting51.0% · 49.5%3-point %31.0% · 33.5%Ball care20.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 21.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Panionios
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
1
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
01/10/25Panionios v Chemnitz89-86 OT
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ABonn82-86 OT
04/12/25HTurk Telekom63-87
23/11/25HAlba Berlin85-89
18/11/25ATrento105-94
12/11/25HBuducnost71-84
08/11/25AJena72-85
04/11/25AJL Bourg82-85
01/11/25HBasketball Braunschweig93-75
29/10/25HUlm89-78
26/10/25ABamberg82-96
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25APanathinaikos66-110
05/12/25ABesiktas83-101
22/11/25HAS Karditsas107-105 OT
19/11/25HLietkabelis72-79
15/11/25AMykonos77-86
12/11/25ALondon Lions72-97
08/11/25HMaroussi80-92
04/11/25ATurk Telekom67-95
01/11/25AKolossos Rhodes76-78
28/10/25HTrento87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game81.975.290.2
Allowed / game82.876.890.2
Point differential-0.9-1.6+0.0
Avg total164.7152.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Panionios
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game76.176.076.2
Allowed / game89.980.597.4
Point differential-13.8-4.5-21.2
Avg total166.0156.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg98189%80.869.6+11.2
2 Besiktas108280%92.682.2+10.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija97278%89.977.4+12.4
4 Hapoel Jerusalem97278%96.284.4+11.8
5 Turk Telekom96367%87.476.7+10.8
6 Buducnost96367%87.078.7+8.3
7 Bahcesehir Kol.96367%90.484.1+6.3
8 Cluj-Napoca95456%96.993.3+3.6
9 Manresa94544%84.785.7-1.0
10 Venezia94544%85.386.8-1.4
11 London Lions94544%76.678.2-1.7
12 Neptunas94544%91.993.9-2.0
13 Aris94544%82.186.1-4.0
14 Slask Wroclaw94544%83.989.7-5.8
15 Trento94544%81.388.0-6.7
16 Ulm94544%87.095.1-8.1
17 Chemnitz93633%81.982.8-0.9
18 Lietkabelis102820%77.587.2-9.7
19 Panionios91811%76.189.9-13.8
20 Hamburg9090%76.896.7-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2017162073
Panionios182224468
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