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Chernomorets vs Beroe Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#9
Record4-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#4
Record14-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game79.9
BulgariaNBLRound 22
Other2019-20
Meetings · Chernomorets v Beroe
16 Dec 2023
CHER86
BERO74
22 Apr 2023
CHER96
BERO69
10 Dec 2022
CHER71
BERO78
09 Apr 2022
CHER89
BERO78
24 Mar 2022
CHER98
BERO102
04 Dec 2021
CHER76
BERO58
30 Jan 2021
CHER123
BERO121
18 Mar 2020
CHER v BERO
upcoming
26 Oct 2019
CHER72
BERO122
19 Mar 2016
CHER62
BERO95
31 Oct 2015
CHER61
BERO70
06 Dec 2014
CHER69
BERO101
16 Apr 2014
CHER74
BERO64
01 Feb 2014
CHER78
BERO64
10 Nov 2012
CHER67
BERO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Bultex
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H23/12
NBL
Beroe
#4
L
61-101
61
101
-40
A30/12
NBL
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
52-95
52
95
-43
H04/01
NBL
Yambol
#10
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A11/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/01
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
H23/01
NBL
Academic
#5
L
94-99
94
99
-5
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A06/02
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H29/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A07/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
25-25
25-21
19-15
11-24
11-32
22-19
17-26
16-20
10-29
13-19
13-27
19-12
14-23
19-18
18-20
20-23
23-16
22-20
18-20
16-19
22-22
28-26
23-22
26-33
24-15
25-27
19-24
24-28
15-15
19-24
15-18
20-23
16-26
13-23
28-22
19-19
13-23
14-33
20-23
167.6Avg total
76.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.295.1174.3-15.820%
Season at home (10)82.792.6175.3-9.940%
Season away (10)75.897.6173.4-21.80%
Last 10 (10)76.790.9167.6-14.230%
Last 5 (5)83.496.0179.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.196.9171.0-22.911%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)92.076.0168.0+16.050%
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#9
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H30/12
NBL
Academic
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A04/01
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/01
NBL
Academic Bultex
#6
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H23/01
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A01/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H06/02
Bulgarian Cup
Lukoil Levski
#1
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A08/02
Bulgarian Cup
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A02/03
NBL
Yambol
#10
W
97-86
97
86
+11
A09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
32-11
19-22
26-17
16-26
21-12
21-16
25-17
12-21
20-16
17-20
16-18
15-26
21-23
22-15
17-14
25-21
32-13
22-22
15-19
27-20
18-19
23-21
21-19
28-24
15-15
24-19
18-15
16-27
15-23
12-13
19-18
11-24
20-31
20-16
17-27
26-21
14-22
26-22
31-21
159.6Avg total
81.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.379.9168.2+8.470%
Season at home (9)89.477.1166.6+12.378%
Season away (11)87.582.2169.6+5.364%
Last 10 (10)81.977.7159.6+4.260%
Last 5 (5)80.283.4163.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.484.1158.5-9.825%
vs Similar (5)82.491.2173.6-8.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)95.376.8172.1+18.594%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
ChernomoretsBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Bultex
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/12
NBL
Beroe
#4
L
22-56
22
56
-34
A30/12
NBL
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H04/01
NBL
Yambol
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A11/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/01
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H23/01
NBL
Academic
#5
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/02
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H29/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A07/03
NBL
80.6Avg total
35.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.846.384.1-8.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.843.781.5-5.927%-
Last 30 away (15)37.748.986.7-11.27%-
Last 10 (10)35.944.780.6-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.683.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.047.484.4-10.415%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)47.033.580.5+13.550%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#9
W
56-22
56
22
+34
H30/12
NBL
Academic
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/01
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/01
NBL
Academic Bultex
#6
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H23/01
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A01/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H06/02
Bulgarian Cup
Lukoil Levski
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/02
Bulgarian Cup
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A02/03
NBL
Yambol
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/03
NBL
81.4Avg total
40.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.584.9+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.138.583.6+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.586.2-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.681.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.283.2-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.146.982.0-11.80%-
vs Similar (5)44.244.488.6-0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.338.185.4+9.281%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chernomorets wins
9
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
06/02/20Beroe v Chernomorets85-73
30/12/19Beroe v Chernomorets101-61
26/10/19Chernomorets v Beroe72-122
19/03/16Chernomorets v Beroe62-95
30/12/15Beroe v Chernomorets85-68
31/10/15Chernomorets v Beroe61-70
25/04/15Beroe v Chernomorets104-57
14/02/15Beroe v Chernomorets103-49
06/12/14Chernomorets v Beroe69-101
16/04/14Chernomorets v Beroe74-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ARilski Sportist66-98
29/02/20HBalkan77-94
06/02/20ABeroe73-85
01/02/20AAcademic94-99
23/01/20HCherno More107-104 OT
18/01/20HSpartak Pleven83-79
11/01/20AYambol70-73
04/01/20HLukoil Levski52-95
30/12/19ABeroe61-101
23/12/19HAcademic Bultex84-81
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/20AYambol97-86
02/03/20ALukoil Levski68-98
08/02/20ALukoil Levski62-81
06/02/20HChernomorets85-73
01/02/20ACherno More89-79
23/01/20HAcademic Bultex94-75
18/01/20ARilski Sportist75-78
11/01/20HBalkan65-75
04/01/20AAcademic83-71
30/12/19HChernomorets101-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL20%
HomeWLWWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game79.282.775.8
Allowed / game95.192.697.6
Point differential-15.8-9.9-21.8
Avg total174.3175.3173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Beroe
NBL 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %70%78%64%
Points / game88.389.487.5
Allowed / game79.977.182.2
Point differential+8.4+12.3+5.3
Avg total168.2166.6169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%56%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan2019195%90.776.2+14.4
2 Lukoil Levski1917289%93.469.6+23.8
3 Rilski Sportist2015575%94.880.4+14.4
4 Beroe2014670%88.379.9+8.4
5 Academic2091145%81.090.0-8.9
6 Academic Bultex2081240%80.681.0-0.3
7 Cherno More1971237%82.287.2-5.1
8 Spartak Pleven2041620%81.490.3-8.9
9 Chernomorets2041620%79.295.1-15.8
10 Yambol2021810%74.095.0-21.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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