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Chernomorets vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-96
17-29 27-24 18-22 23-21
Position#23
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game105.0
Chernomorets
vs
Kataja 🏆
Position#39
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup· Boycho Branzov (Burgas)
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
89-70
89
70
+19
no box
H02/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A13/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H18/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
no box
H20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
A27/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A29/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H01/06
NBL
Boras
#18
W
109-105 OT
109
105
+4
58avg 58
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-14
20-13
29-24
20-19
17-17
16-14
22-19
14-21
28-10
20-19
17-23
13-27
28-14
21-21
13-20
18-25
24-12
20-19
22-14
10-15
19-14
18-23
21-16
20-16
19-28
19-23
16-20
14-25
10-16
18-16
22-30
22-23
21-21
18-15
14-24
23-21
19-23
21-17
24-26
163.5Avg total
81.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.0105.0214.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)109.0105.0214.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.981.6163.5+0.360%
Last 5 (5)83.490.4173.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.984.8166.8-2.946%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.078.0166.0+10.083%
vs Weaker (10)92.876.5169.3+16.390%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
93-70
93
70
+23
no box
H08/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
L
66-94
66
94
-28
no box
A10/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
H12/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A15/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
no box
H18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
no box
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
no box
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-96 OT
107
96
+11
no box
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
69avg 64
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 64
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
27-29
21-16
20-6
11-18
18-30
24-30
13-16
22-14
31-14
18-19
22-18
19-17
23-21
12-22
14-24
10-26
28-27
15-26
18-15
17-23
15-27
16-19
26-26
13-21
22-24
20-31
23-23
31-20
24-23
24-17
9-28
10-22
23-18
24-19
22-17
15-23
27-17
21-20
8-18
165.1Avg total
80.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.085.1165.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)81.888.8170.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.290.1163.3-16.90%
vs Similar ◀ (16)90.385.2175.5+5.162%
vs Weaker (3)91.365.7157.0+25.7100%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
ChernomoretsKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A13/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H20/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A29/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/06
NBL
Boras
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
75.9Avg total
37.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.680.6+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.235.481.6+10.871%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.579.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.075.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.475.8-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.539.880.3+0.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.036.381.3+8.783%-
vs Weaker (10)46.235.381.5+10.980%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H08/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A10/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H12/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A21/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H29/04
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H30/09
Korisliiga
Boras
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.4Avg total
41.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.784.4-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.442.086.4+2.456%-
Last 30 away (12)37.643.881.4-6.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.384.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.683.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.844.580.4-8.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.443.989.3+1.650%-
vs Weaker (3)43.030.073.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.023.0
53.5%
52.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.015.0
38.5%
33.8%45.0
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
73.0%16.0
They take 82.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.0
46.9%
52.2%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.5
31.8%
33.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
73.0%13.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WLLLWWLWWW
Kataja
LWWLLLLWLW
#23
League position
#39
+2.3
Net rating
+0.0
121.7
Offensive rating
99.9
119.5
Defensive rating
99.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
43.5%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.5%
3-point %
31.8%
36.8%
Assist %
58.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 99.9Defence119.5 · 99.9Shooting55.5% · 47.3%3-point %38.5% · 31.8%Ball care18.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds43.5% · 23.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chernomorets wins
0
Kataja wins
No previous meetings.
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23ABoras109-105 OT
01/06/23HBalkan75-83
29/05/23ABalkan64-87
27/05/23ABalkan74-87
20/05/23HRilski Sportist95-90 OT
18/05/23HRilski Sportist84-70
15/05/23ARilski Sportist75-82
13/05/23ARilski Sportist79-73
05/05/23ASpartak Pleven75-69
02/05/23HSpartak Pleven89-70
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23HBoras71-78
30/09/23HKobrat79-76
29/04/23HSalon Vilpas107-96 OT
23/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls78-99
21/04/23AHelsinki Seagulls74-95
18/04/23HHelsinki Seagulls71-94
15/04/23AHelsinki Seagulls68-84
12/04/23HKTP Kotka Basket93-65
10/04/23AKTP Kotka Basket66-94
08/04/23HKTP Kotka Basket93-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game109.0-109.0
Allowed / game105.0-105.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total214.0-214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Kataja
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos110100%107.060.0+47.0
2 Rostock110100%101.072.0+29.0
3 Bnei Herzliya110100%87.063.0+24.0
4 Rapid Bucuresti220100%78.061.0+17.0
5 FC Porto110100%100.084.0+16.0
6 Manisa110100%98.088.0+10.0
7 Trepca110100%77.069.0+8.0
8 Basket Zaragoza110100%94.088.0+6.0
9 Chernomorets110100%109.0105.0+4.0
10 Kormend110100%91.087.0+4.0
11 Sabah Baku220100%79.076.5+2.5
12 Jamtland110100%77.076.0+1.0
13 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
14 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
15 Donar Groningen2020%68.572.0-3.5
16 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
17 Kataja1010%71.078.0-7.0
18 Parnu1010%62.069.0-7.0
19 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
20 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
21 Rabotnicki2020%69.085.0-16.0
22 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets1727182385
Kataja2924222196
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