Balkan vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 May 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 87-64

25-14 16-10 16-18 30-22

Position#1

Record29-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game76.0

Balkan 🏆

Chernomorets

Position#4

Record24-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game80.5

NBLNBL - Final

Other2022-23

Meetings · Balkan v Chernomorets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Chernomorets winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shumen

#11

105-89

105

+16

A19/04

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

74-67

A22/04

NBL

Spartak Pleven

78-67

+11

H26/04

NBL

Beroe

89-78

+11

H02/05

NBL

Beroe

91-72

+19

A05/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

79-90

-11

H12/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

80-71

H14/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

85-70

+15

A17/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

92-83

A19/05

NBL

Chernomorets

87-74

+13

H27/05

NBL

30-21

22-25

29-25

24-18

17-20

21-17

21-22

15-8

19-21

22-19

17-10

20-17

22-22

18-16

33-15

16-25

27-15

21-14

19-21

24-22

24-23

16-19

9-20

30-28

15-16

28-17

21-14

16-24

27-21

14-19

24-16

20-14

18-20

31-27

17-15

26-21

16-20

28-19

23-19

20-16

162.1Avg total

86.0Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	85.9	76.0	161.9	+9.9	78%
Season at home (19)	86.1	75.0	161.1	+11.1	79%
Season away (18)	85.7	77.1	162.8	+8.6	78%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	76.1	162.1	+9.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	77.6	162.2	+7.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	72.0	80.0	152.0	-8.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	86.9	76.9	163.8	+10.0	81%

This opponent (Chernomorets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets Bulgaria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cherno More

#10

114-71

114

+43

H19/04

NBL

Beroe

96-69

+27

H22/04

NBL

Yambol

87-77

+10

H26/04

NBL

Spartak Pleven

89-70

+19

H02/05

NBL

Spartak Pleven

75-69

A05/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

79-73

A13/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

75-82

-7

A15/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

84-70

+14

H18/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

95-90 OT

H20/05

NBL

Balkan

74-87

-13

A27/05

NBL

27-14

38-18

25-19

24-20

30-15

22-14

29-21

15-19

25-18

16-26

31-14

15-19

17-19

23-14

20-13

29-24

20-19

17-17

16-14

22-19

14-21

28-10

20-19

17-23

13-27

28-14

21-21

13-20

18-25

24-12

20-19

22-14

10-15

19-14

18-23

21-16

20-16

19-28

19-23

16-20

162.6Avg total

86.8Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	86.5	80.5	167.0	+6.0	65%
Season at home (18)	90.4	78.7	169.1	+11.7	83%
Season away (19)	82.8	82.3	165.1	+0.5	47%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	75.8	162.6	+11.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	80.4	161.8	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	81.7	82.8	164.5	-1.1	50%
vs Similar (6)	88.0	78.0	166.0	+10.0	83%
vs Weaker (13)	91.7	77.0	168.7	+14.7	85%

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BalkanChernomorets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.5	25.0	43.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.3	19.9	41.1	+1.4	52%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	17.7	39.9	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.8	35.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.7	21.1	37.8	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.2	17.8	40.9	+5.4	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	18.5	41.8	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	17.3	41.6	+7.0	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	16.7	40.1	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	15.6	39.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	25.0	17.8	42.8	+7.2	80%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.5	18.8	41.3	+3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.4	69%	-

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shumen

#11

52-46

A19/04

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

38-37

A22/04

NBL

Spartak Pleven

41-40

H26/04

NBL

Beroe

40-38

H02/05

NBL

Beroe

48-29

+19

A05/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

40-42

-2

H12/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

43-33

+10

H14/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

41-40

A17/05

NBL

CSKA Sofia

49-47

A19/05

NBL

Chernomorets

44-39

H27/05

NBL

82.7Avg total

43.6Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	39.8	83.2	+3.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	39.9	83.5	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	39.6	82.8	+3.5	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	39.1	82.7	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.2	83.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.1	39.9	83.0	+3.1	78%	-

This opponent (Chernomorets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cherno More

#10

65-32

+33

H19/04

NBL

Beroe

52-29

+23

H22/04

NBL

Yambol

41-44

-3

H26/04

NBL

Spartak Pleven

40-33

H02/05

NBL

Spartak Pleven

37-36

A05/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

42-31

+11

A13/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

41-41

A15/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

42-37

H18/05

NBL

Rilski Sportist

29-29

H20/05

NBL

Balkan

39-44

-5

A27/05

NBL

78.4Avg total

42.8Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	37.7	81.6	+6.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.5	35.0	81.5	+11.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	40.0	81.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	35.6	78.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	41.7	38.9	80.6	+2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.0	36.3	81.3	+8.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (13)	46.0	37.2	83.2	+8.8	69%	-

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	15.6	36.1	+4.9	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+3.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.3	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.3	39.8	+3.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	13.0	12.5	25.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.6	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.3	23.3	45.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.5	19.9	42.5	+2.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	36.0	77.8	+5.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	35.2	77.6	+7.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	36.9	78.1	+4.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	37.0	79.4	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.4	78.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	25.0	31.5	56.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.0	36.4	79.4	+6.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	40.5	82.5	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	39.5	82.4	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.3	41.3	82.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	38.0	79.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.3	41.7	79.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.0	41.7	84.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	45.7	39.8	85.5	+5.9	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.0	51.4%	54.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	6.0	22.2%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.4%	7.0

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Balkan wins

Chernomorets wins

Date	Game	Score
27/05/23	Balkan v Chernomorets	87-74
05/04/23	Balkan v Chernomorets	92-88
23/01/23	Chernomorets v Balkan	93-83
19/11/22	Balkan v Chernomorets	83-78
18/04/22	Balkan v Chernomorets	92-70
31/01/22	Chernomorets v Balkan	83-78
13/12/21	Balkan v Chernomorets	49-59
11/03/21	Balkan v Chernomorets	84-71
27/02/21	Balkan v Chernomorets	92-86
04/01/21	Chernomorets v Balkan	76-92

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/05/23	H	Chernomorets	87-74
19/05/23	A	CSKA Sofia	92-83
17/05/23	A	CSKA Sofia	85-70
14/05/23	H	CSKA Sofia	80-71
12/05/23	H	CSKA Sofia	79-90
05/05/23	A	Beroe	91-72
02/05/23	H	Beroe	89-78
26/04/23	H	Spartak Pleven	78-67
22/04/23	A	Academic Plovdiv	74-67
19/04/23	A	Shumen	105-89

Chernomoretslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/05/23	A	Balkan	74-87
20/05/23	H	Rilski Sportist	95-90 OT
18/05/23	H	Rilski Sportist	84-70
15/05/23	A	Rilski Sportist	75-82
13/05/23	A	Rilski Sportist	79-73
05/05/23	A	Spartak Pleven	75-69
02/05/23	H	Spartak Pleven	89-70
26/04/23	H	Yambol	87-77
22/04/23	H	Beroe	96-69
19/04/23	H	Cherno More	114-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	78%
Home	WWLWW	79%
Away	WWWWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	78%	79%	78%
Points / game	85.9	86.1	85.7
Allowed / game	76.0	75.0	77.1
Point differential	+9.9	+11.1	+8.6
Avg total	161.9	161.1	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	49%	58%	39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	67% (3)	80% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Chernomorets

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	LWWLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	18	19
Win %	65%	83%	47%
Points / game	86.5	90.4	82.8
Allowed / game	80.5	78.7	82.3
Point differential	+6.0	+11.7	+0.5
Avg total	167.0	169.1	165.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	51%	67%	37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	100% (1)	0% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Balkan	37	29	8	78%	85.9	76.0	+9.9
2	Rilski Sportist	39	29	10	74%	88.3	77.9	+10.4
3	CSKA Sofia	38	25	13	66%	83.6	79.4	+4.2
4	Chernomorets	37	24	13	65%	86.5	80.5	+6.0
5	Spartak Pleven	32	16	16	50%	83.2	81.1	+2.1
6	Levski	32	15	17	47%	79.8	79.1	+0.7
7	Beroe	32	14	18	44%	84.9	89.3	-4.3
8	Academic Plovdiv	33	12	21	36%	79.4	84.7	-5.3
9	Yambol	30	9	21	30%	79.1	86.7	-7.6
10	Cherno More	30	6	24	20%	83.9	93.5	-9.6
11	Shumen	30	6	24	20%	75.9	89.6	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Balkan	25	16	16	30	87
Chernomorets	14	10	18	22	64

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Balkan vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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