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Chiba vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 86-85
21-18 22-28 24-16 19-23
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.7
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#23
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game86.3
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chiba v Shinshu
15 Oct 2023
CHIB86
SHIN85
14 Oct 2023
CHIB97
SHIN83
02 Jan 2022
CHIB89
SHIN74
01 Jan 2022
CHIB92
SHIN74
14 Feb 2021
CHIB99
SHIN67
13 Feb 2021
CHIB70
SHIN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
98-69
98
69
+29
no box
H14/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
H15/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
89-66
89
66
+23
no box
H20/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H21/05
B League
Ryukyu
#2
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
H27/05
B League
Ryukyu
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
H28/05
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 81
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
86-89
86
89
-3
73avg 81
A09/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 81
H11/10
EASL
Shinshu
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 81
H14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-16
21-16
25-20
19-17
21-15
20-15
24-29
31-32
17-10
22-19
36-20
14-17
27-16
23-13
22-17
21-16
15-27
21-14
18-15
23-21
14-24
17-16
23-17
19-31
16-27
24-23
18-14
24-27
18-26
23-18
23-25
22-20
21-22
24-22
26-12
22-19
25-35
28-13
25-18
19-17
171.0Avg total
90.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.387.7176.0+0.733%
Season at home (1)97.083.0180.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)84.090.0174.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)90.081.0171.0+9.060%
Last 5 (5)86.285.2171.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)87.877.1164.9+10.773%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
L
96-102
96
102
-6
no box
A16/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
H19/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A22/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
61-75
61
75
-14
no box
H29/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
H30/04
B League
Niigata
#24
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A06/05
B League
Niigata
#24
W
94-72
94
72
+22
no box
A07/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
no box
H07/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-83
91
83
+8
93avg 86
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
79avg 86
A14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
13-31
32-17
29-29
11-17
17-12
16-19
33-23
23-16
22-25
25-18
13-21
11-16
14-14
21-26
15-19
22-19
10-16
16-18
13-20
22-12
19-12
16-22
14-16
22-14
18-21
21-21
33-16
21-19
22-20
15-15
17-21
27-14
22-18
21-23
21-28
35-25
13-28
18-25
17-19
159.5Avg total
80.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.086.3172.3-0.367%
Season at home (2)87.581.0168.5+6.5100%
Season away (1)83.097.0180.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)80.179.4159.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)84.678.6163.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.081.8158.8-4.820%
vs Similar (14)74.478.3152.7-3.943%
vs Weaker (11)79.370.9150.2+8.473%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
ChibaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H14/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H20/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H21/05
B League
Ryukyu
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/05
B League
Ryukyu
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H28/05
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A09/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H11/10
EASL
Shinshu
#23
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H14/10
B League
81.7Avg total
43.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.180.6+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.336.479.7+6.972%-
Last 30 away (12)44.038.182.1+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.781.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.287.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)43.637.180.6+6.573%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A16/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H19/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A22/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H29/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/04
B League
Niigata
#24
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/05
B League
Niigata
#24
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A07/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A14/10
B League
76.0Avg total
38.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.234.973.1+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.634.570.1+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.835.376.1+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.476.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.680.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.434.274.6+6.260%-
vs Similar (14)38.637.075.6+1.657%-
vs Weaker (11)36.632.569.2+4.155%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.0
52.2%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.010.3
28.7%
33.5%31.0
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.4%
72.0%16.0
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.0
57.1%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.0
29.5%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.519.0
88.4%
72.0%19.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WWLLLLWWWW
Shinshu
LWWWWLLWWL
#9
League position
#23
+0.0
Net rating
-3.9
108.1
Offensive rating
112.9
108.1
Defensive rating
116.8
47.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.7%
3-point %
29.5%
60.4%
Assist %
75.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 112.9Defence108.1 · 116.8Shooting47.8% · 51.1%3-point %28.7% · 29.5%Ball care13.3% · 13.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 23.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Chiba   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chiba wins
0
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Chiba v Shinshu97-83
22/01/23Shinshu v Chiba70-71
21/01/23Shinshu v Chiba70-89
02/01/22Chiba v Shinshu89-74
01/01/22Chiba v Shinshu92-74
14/02/21Chiba v Shinshu99-67
13/02/21Chiba v Shinshu70-64
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HShinshu97-83
11/10/23HTNT Tropang Giga93-75
09/10/23ANagasaki86-89
08/10/23ANagasaki82-91
28/05/23HRyukyu73-88
27/05/23HRyukyu93-96 OT
21/05/23HAlvark93-62
20/05/23HAlvark89-66
15/05/23HHiroshima D.96-91
14/05/23HHiroshima D.98-69
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AChiba83-97
08/10/23HIbaraki Robots91-83
07/10/23HIbaraki Robots84-79 OT
07/05/23ANiigata94-72
06/05/23ANiigata71-62
30/04/23HSeaHorses Mikawa61-73
29/04/23HSeaHorses Mikawa61-75
22/04/23AHiroshima D.83-80
19/04/23HSun Rockers Shibuya77-71
16/04/23AToyama96-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game88.397.084.0
Allowed / game87.783.090.0
Point differential+0.7+14.0-6.0
Avg total176.0180.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game86.087.583.0
Allowed / game86.381.097.0
Point differential-0.3+6.5-14.0
Avg total172.3168.5180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka440100%88.075.2+12.8
2 Nagoya Fighting Eagles440100%79.869.8+10.0
3 Diamond Dolphins440100%86.878.0+8.8
4 Nagasaki440100%92.583.8+8.8
5 Ryukyu440100%84.277.5+6.8
6 Alvark43175%80.267.5+12.8
7 Shimane43175%82.075.8+6.2
8 NeoPhoenix43175%86.581.0+5.5
9 Brave Thunders43175%84.881.0+3.8
10 Utsunomiya Brex43175%72.070.2+1.8
11 Shinshu32167%86.086.3-0.3
12 Yokohama42250%82.280.8+1.5
13 Gunma42250%79.282.0-2.8
14 Chiba31233%88.387.7+0.7
15 Hiroshima D.41325%73.074.0-1.0
16 SeaHorses Mikawa41325%79.582.5-3.0
17 Akita41325%72.879.0-6.2
18 Hokkaido41325%76.582.8-6.2
19 Saga41325%70.881.0-10.2
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya4040%78.083.0-5.0
21 Ibaraki Robots4040%78.284.8-6.5
22 Kyoto4040%76.886.8-10.0
23 Toyama4040%79.292.2-13.0
24 Sendai4040%72.587.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba2122241986
Shinshu1828162385
← all games of the day
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