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Chicago State vs St. Francis (PA) Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 80-75
36-33 44-42
Position#363
Record4-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#359
Record6-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chicago State v St. Francis (PA)
09 Feb 2026
CHIC80
ST. 75
08 Feb 2025
CHIC69
ST. 81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Francis (PA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H17/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H20/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A24/01
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A06/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
26-37
21-31
42-39
33-35
38-36
34-30
23-42
33-30
23-32
32-47
28-34
28-26
31-35
35-30
43-44
28-35
39-43
32-22
31-35
135.4Avg total
64.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.578.3143.9-12.817%
Season at home (7)66.670.0136.6-3.429%
Season away (17)65.181.8146.9-16.612%
Last 10 (10)64.071.4135.4-7.420%
Last 5 (5)65.470.2135.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)64.578.7143.2-14.27%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.078.0150.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Francis (PA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
L
58-84
58
84
-26
H03/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A09/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H17/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H24/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
31-45
44-46
41-36
39-37
32-32
38-31
25-36
43-47
47-51
20-25
43-36
47-32
34-28
37-41
32-40
37-45
42-34
45-38
39-48
153.9Avg total
75.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.581.5153.0-10.026%
Season at home (11)75.572.2147.7+3.445%
Season away (12)67.890.1157.8-22.38%
Last 10 (10)75.378.6153.9-3.340%
Last 5 (5)77.277.2154.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.083.0150.9-15.023%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.066.2139.2+6.875%
vs Weaker (3)87.062.7149.7+24.3100%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: -2.0-2.0
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: -2.0-2.0
Chicago StateSt. Francis (PA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H20/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A07/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
30.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.936.566.4-6.633%-
Last 30 at home (9)32.232.264.4+0.056%-
Last 30 away (21)28.938.467.3-9.524%-
Last 10 (10)30.532.362.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.063.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)29.036.665.6-7.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)33.537.571.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (St. Francis (PA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Francis (PA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Moyne
#240
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H03/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A09/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A10/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H24/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/02
NCAA
75.8Avg total
37.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.037.171.1-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.433.769.1+1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)32.840.172.8-7.325%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.175.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.273.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.739.872.5-7.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.031.868.8+5.275%-
vs Weaker (3)36.728.365.0+8.333%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chicago State wins
3
St. Francis (PA) wins
Chicago Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ANew Haven Chargers63-57
06/02/26ACentral Connecticut State67-78
31/01/26HMercyhurst Lakers78-74
25/01/26AMercyhurst Lakers59-61
24/01/26ASt. Francis (PA)60-81
20/01/26HNew Haven Chargers56-62
17/01/26HLe Moyne57-72
10/01/26AStonehill82-85 OT
08/01/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-70
04/01/26HLIU Sharks55-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ALe Moyne84-86
06/02/26AMercyhurst Lakers89-98 OT
01/02/26HNew Haven Chargers69-81
24/01/26HChicago State81-60
19/01/26HStonehill63-61
17/01/26HCentral Connecticut State90-98
10/01/26ALIU Sharks63-67
09/01/26AWagner71-69
04/01/26HFairleigh Dickinson85-82
03/01/26HLe Moyne58-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW17%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24717
Win %17%29%12%
Points / game65.566.665.1
Allowed / game78.370.081.8
Point differential-12.8-3.4-16.6
Avg total143.9136.6146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%6%
St. Francis (PA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL26%
HomeWLWWL45%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%45%8%
Points / game71.575.567.8
Allowed / game81.572.290.1
Point differential-10.0+3.4-22.3
Avg total153.0147.7157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks2416867%73.972.7+1.2
2 Central Connecticut State23131057%75.371.1+4.3
3 Mercyhurst Lakers25121348%67.465.8+1.6
4 Le Moyne25121348%73.874.4-0.6
5 New Haven Chargers24101442%64.166.5-2.4
6 Stonehill25101540%66.268.2-2.0
7 Wagner2281436%72.874.2-1.4
8 Fairleigh Dickinson2591636%68.470.4-2.0
9 St. Francis (PA)2361726%71.581.5-10.0
10 Chicago State2442017%65.578.3-12.8
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chicago State364480
St. Francis (PA)334275
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