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Mercyhurst Lakers vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 61-59
26-28 35-31
Position#206
Record9-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game65.7
vs
Position#363
Record2-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mercyhurst Lakers v Chicago State
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CHIC
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
MERC61
CHIC59
27 Feb 2025
MERC90
CHIC68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercyhurst Lakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A13/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
57-62 OT
57
62
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H19/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
15-36
32-44
23-39
39-37
42-18
40-43
32-28
35-46
34-31
40-29
26-39
32-21
32-32
38-37
26-18
29-37
42-28
37-33
27-28
34-29
131.7Avg total
65.7Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)66.565.7132.2+0.945%
Season at home (8)77.260.5137.8+16.875%
Season away (12)59.469.1128.5-9.725%
Last 10 (10)65.766.0131.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)65.061.8126.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.076.3149.3-3.333%
vs Similar (16)61.966.4128.4-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.469.1145.5+7.360%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A20/12
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H03/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H17/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H20/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
49-47
28-40
27-36
29-52
29-26
35-41
37-38
29-37
26-37
21-31
42-39
33-35
38-36
34-30
23-42
33-30
23-32
32-47
28-34
139.4Avg total
64.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)65.380.5145.8-15.210%
Season at home (6)64.769.3134.0-4.717%
Season away (14)65.685.3150.9-19.77%
Last 10 (10)64.275.2139.4-11.010%
Last 5 (5)63.674.0137.6-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)64.980.4145.3-15.67%
vs Similar (2)72.078.0150.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -4.5-4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -4.5-4.5
Mercyhurst LakersChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
L
15-36
15
36
-21
A13/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H19/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/01
NCAA
59.6Avg total
29.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.529.862.2+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.525.461.9+11.193%-
Last 30 away (16)28.933.662.6-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)29.929.759.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.059.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.032.764.7-0.767%-
vs Similar (16)28.631.159.7-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.628.165.7+9.580%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A20/12
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H20/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/01
NCAA
68.0Avg total
30.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.138.068.1-8.023%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.434.166.5-1.736%-
Last 30 away (19)28.740.369.1-11.616%-
Last 10 (10)30.937.168.0-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.634.665.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)29.238.267.4-9.019%-
vs Similar (2)33.537.571.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
1
Chicago State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ANew Haven Chargers61-57
19/01/26HCentral Connecticut State79-61
17/01/26HStonehill57-62 OT
10/01/26AWagner70-69
09/01/26ALIU Sharks58-60
04/01/26HLe Moyne74-60
03/01/26HFairleigh Dickinson67-74
20/12/25HBinghamton82-61
18/12/25ASyracuse62-76
13/12/25ADavidson47-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ASt. Francis (PA)60-81
20/01/26HNew Haven Chargers56-62
17/01/26HLe Moyne57-72
10/01/26AStonehill82-85 OT
08/01/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-70
04/01/26HLIU Sharks55-74
03/01/26HWagner72-79
20/12/25AIndiana58-78
17/12/25ABowling Green55-76
14/12/25ALoyola Chicago84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %45%75%25%
Points / game66.577.259.4
Allowed / game65.760.569.1
Point differential+0.9+16.8-9.7
Avg total132.2137.8128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20614
Win %10%17%7%
Points / game65.364.765.6
Allowed / game80.569.385.3
Point differential-15.2-4.7-19.7
Avg total145.8134.0150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks2012860%74.575.8-1.2
2 Central Connecticut State1810856%77.372.5+4.8
3 Le Moyne20101050%74.073.8+0.2
4 Mercyhurst Lakers2091145%66.565.7+0.9
5 New Haven Chargers2091145%64.866.8-2.0
6 Stonehill2071335%68.070.0-2.0
7 Fairleigh Dickinson2071335%68.971.5-2.6
8 Wagner1861233%73.674.2-0.6
9 St. Francis (PA)2061430%70.180.5-10.4
10 Chicago State2021810%65.380.5-15.2
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercyhurst Lakers263561
Chicago State283159
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