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Chicago State vs Wagner Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-79
35-41 37-38
Position#363
Record2-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Wagner 🏆
USA
Position#249
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chicago State v Wagner
20 Jan 2027
CHIC v WAGN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CHIC72
WAGN79
22 Feb 2025
CHIC52
WAGN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wagner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H15/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
54-93
54
93
-39
A21/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A28/11
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H01/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
53-95
53
95
-42
A07/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
34-38
24-31
30-35
24-40
30-53
35-37
42-53
26-46
38-41
47-34
38-28
13-45
40-50
35-28
49-47
28-40
27-36
29-52
29-26
143.6Avg total
64.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.283.6149.8-17.415%
Season at home (2)74.064.5138.5+9.550%
Season away (11)64.887.1151.9-22.39%
Last 10 (10)64.778.9143.6-14.220%
Last 5 (5)67.077.2144.2-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)64.178.2142.2-14.114%
vs Similar (1)84.075.0159.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Wagner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A12/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A03/12
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#605
W
92-36
92
36
+56
H06/12
NCAA
Bloomfield Deacons
#375
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Manor College
#487
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
30-38
31-26
30-37
32-28
28-32
27-44
48-48
43-56
46-33
26-33
37-56
43-13
49-23
42-48
43-37
35-31
43-33
36-18
38-39
150.6Avg total
77.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.976.1153.0+0.845%
Season at home (4)84.862.5147.2+22.2100%
Season away (7)72.483.9156.3-11.414%
Last 10 (10)77.273.4150.6+3.850%
Last 5 (5)80.467.8148.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.769.5132.2-6.817%
vs Similar (12)61.267.8129.0-6.725%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)74.166.2140.3+7.967%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.2-9.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.2-9.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
Chicago StateWagner
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H15/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A21/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A28/11
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
13-45
13
45
-32
A07/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A20/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
29.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.336.966.2-7.623%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.734.065.7-2.330%-
Last 30 away (20)28.138.466.5-10.220%-
Last 10 (10)29.038.267.2-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.439.870.2-9.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.537.365.8-8.918%-
vs Similar (1)35.028.063.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A12/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A16/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#605
W
43-13
43
13
+30
H06/12
NCAA
Bloomfield Deacons
#375
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H18/12
NCAA
Manor College
#487
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H22/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.229.760.9+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.126.559.6+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)29.532.662.1-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)34.632.767.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.428.665.0+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.232.865.0-0.750%-
vs Similar (12)26.929.356.2-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)32.127.759.8+4.456%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chicago State wins
1
Wagner wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Chicago State v Wagner52-64
04/01/25Wagner v Chicago State52-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AIndiana58-78
17/12/25ABowling Green55-76
14/12/25ALoyola Chicago84-75
07/12/25AIllinois State53-95
01/12/25HSt. Xavier85-62
28/11/25AYoungstown State64-87
26/11/25AIPFW77-90
21/11/25AIowa54-93
19/11/25AMinnesota54-66
15/11/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-67
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HManor College74-57
18/12/25HMd.-East. Shore78-64
12/12/25HBloomfield Deacons95-93 OT
06/12/25HBryant & Stratton92-36
03/12/25AMaryland63-89
26/11/25AManhattan103-101 OT
22/11/25AGeorgetown75-92
16/11/25AUMBC Retrievers70-71 OT
12/11/25AFordham61-63
08/11/25ASeton Hall61-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL15%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13211
Win %15%50%9%
Points / game66.274.064.8
Allowed / game83.664.587.1
Point differential-17.4+9.5-22.3
Avg total149.8138.5151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wagner
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%100%14%
Points / game76.984.872.4
Allowed / game76.162.583.9
Point differential+0.8+22.2-11.4
Avg total153.0147.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %27%25%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State116555%79.271.5+7.6
2 LIU Sharks136746%76.681.2-4.6
3 Wagner115645%76.976.1+0.8
4 Mercyhurst Lakers135838%66.566.9-0.4
5 New Haven Chargers135838%65.668.4-2.8
6 Le Moyne135838%75.478.9-3.5
7 Stonehill134931%68.871.2-2.4
8 Fairleigh Dickinson1331023%68.873.6-4.8
9 St. Francis (PA)1321115%68.583.8-15.2
10 Chicago State1321115%66.283.6-17.4
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chicago State353772
Wagner413879
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