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Illinois State vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-53
45-13 50-40
Position#96
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Position#363
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game84.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois State v Chicago State
06 Dec 2025
ILLI95
CHIC53
19 Dec 2022
ILLI66
CHIC52
15 Dec 2020
ILLI91
CHIC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chicago State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
94-42
94
42
+52
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
18-41
45-35
31-31
37-41
34-32
42-33
26-40
41-47
42-34
40-46
48-21
45-27
55-20
39-22
43-34
36-35
33-36
39-29
49-41
40-37
146.5Avg total
78.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.067.3147.3+12.778%
Season at home (6)83.861.2145.0+22.7100%
Season away (3)72.379.7152.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)78.368.2146.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)85.460.4145.8+25.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.570.5140.0-1.025%
vs Similar (12)75.875.1150.9+0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.667.8142.5+6.869%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#194
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A06/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
62-92
62
92
-30
A04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
86-108
86
108
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A12/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H15/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
54-93
54
93
-39
A21/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A28/11
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-36
29-32
21-46
41-46
40-51
46-57
30-57
36-41
29-29
34-38
24-31
30-35
24-40
30-53
35-37
42-53
26-46
38-41
47-34
38-28
149.9Avg total
66.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.984.8152.7-16.911%
Season at home (2)74.064.5138.5+9.550%
Season away (7)66.190.6156.7-24.40%
Last 10 (10)66.883.1149.9-16.310%
Last 5 (5)66.879.6146.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)64.278.9143.1-14.614%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -10.3-10.32nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -6.0-6.0
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -10.3-10.32nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -6.0-6.0
Illinois StateChicago State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
55-20
55
20
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
37.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.768.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.331.170.4+8.276%-
Last 30 away (13)32.334.767.0-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.070.9+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.630.476.0+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.832.263.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (12)35.835.170.9+0.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.531.568.9+6.062%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#194
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A06/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A12/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H15/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A21/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#227
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A28/11
NCAA
St. Xavier
#435
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
30.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.136.765.8-7.623%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.734.065.7-2.330%-
Last 30 away (20)27.838.065.8-10.220%-
Last 10 (10)30.440.771.1-10.310%-
Last 5 (5)31.237.668.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)28.536.865.3-8.321%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois State wins
0
Chicago State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HEastern Kentucky89-78
28/11/25HFurman72-65
27/11/25HCharlotte79-69
23/11/25HCoastal Carolina94-42
21/11/25HRockford University93-48
17/11/25ALong Beach State82-80
15/11/25AUSC67-87
09/11/25HCornell76-65
07/11/25AOhio68-72
07/03/25ABelmont63-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25HSt. Xavier85-62
28/11/25AYoungstown State64-87
26/11/25AIPFW77-90
21/11/25AIowa54-93
19/11/25AMinnesota54-66
15/11/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-67
12/11/25AButler66-98
07/11/25ASt. Louis Billikens86-108
04/11/25ADePaul62-92
06/03/25ALIU Sharks57-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%100%33%
Points / game80.083.872.3
Allowed / game67.361.279.7
Point differential+12.7+22.7-7.3
Avg total147.3145.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chicago State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %11%50%0%
Points / game67.974.066.1
Allowed / game84.864.590.6
Point differential-16.9+9.5-24.4
Avg total152.7138.5156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa87188%74.055.4+18.6
2 Belmont108280%82.470.4+12.0
3 Illinois State97278%80.067.3+12.7
4 Murray State107370%88.076.4+11.6
5 Valparaiso96367%73.467.8+5.7
6 Drake106460%79.665.4+14.2
7 Southern Illinois95456%80.073.4+6.6
8 Indiana State95456%75.870.7+5.1
9 Bradley95456%74.369.8+4.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)84450%78.672.4+6.2
11 Evansville104640%70.171.6-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State85362%82.670.4+12.2
2 LIU Sharks95456%76.781.6-4.9
3 New Haven Chargers105550%68.965.8+3.1
4 Le Moyne105550%78.276.7+1.5
5 Mercyhurst Lakers93633%66.066.9-0.9
6 Stonehill103730%68.873.0-4.2
7 Wagner82625%74.977.9-3.0
8 Fairleigh Dickinson92722%73.378.7-5.3
9 St. Francis (PA)92722%70.880.4-9.7
10 Chicago State91811%67.984.8-16.9
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State455095
Chicago State134053
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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