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Chile vs Dominican Republic Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 30 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#66
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#9
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2027
Meetings · Chile v Dominican Republic
30 Nov 2026
CHIL v DOMI
upcoming
03 Dec 2018
CHIL65
DOMI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chile win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dominican Republic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uruguay
#40
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H01/03
World Cup
Colombia
#58
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A01/07
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A03/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H27/11
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A30/11
World Cup
Colombia
#55
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H27/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H02/03
World Cup
Colombia
#55
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A03/07
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A06/07
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
22-22
15-14
16-19
16-17
19-16
21-16
10-18
18-26
16-15
11-22
20-12
10-17
24-21
18-25
14-19
16-25
9-22
26-14
11-17
12-28
26-15
16-21
24-22
11-12
14-29
21-23
22-8
19-15
18-22
21-23
23-19
22-14
22-17
13-18
21-17
16-20
20-22
10-33
20-26
148.1Avg total
69.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.380.6151.9-9.329%
Season at home (3)70.780.0150.7-9.30%
Season away (4)71.881.0152.8-9.250%
Last 10 (10)69.778.4148.1-8.720%
Last 5 (5)74.280.8155.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)59.179.4138.5-20.30%
vs Similar (10)70.968.7139.6+2.250%
vs Weaker (2)78.071.5149.5+6.550%
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dominican RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A29/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
97-102
97
102
-5
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
79-112
79
112
-33
H03/09
World Cup
Mexico
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A29/11
World Cup
Mexico
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H02/12
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A02/03
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
99-76
99
76
+23
H07/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A27/08
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
101-66
101
66
+35
H01/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
25-20
31-17
18-26
20-11
17-21
12-18
26-17
12-17
33-28
29-24
23-33
15-29
20-27
18-31
26-25
17-23
25-20
26-15
24-27
28-24
26-23
9-20
25-22
14-18
30-18
23-13
19-12
21-15
22-23
34-19
22-19
18-29
32-29
25-14
19-18
20-16
22-20
33-10
26-20
172.8Avg total
89.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.377.8171.2+15.583%
Season at home (3)96.077.0173.0+19.067%
Season away (3)90.778.7169.3+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.883.0172.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)93.676.4170.0+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.587.2159.7-14.70%
vs Similar (11)83.283.2166.4+0.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.868.5157.3+20.292%
This opponent (Chile) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
ChileDominican Republic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChileLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uruguay
#40
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/03
World Cup
Colombia
#58
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A01/07
World Cup
Uruguay
#40
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H27/11
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A30/11
World Cup
Colombia
#55
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H27/02
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H02/03
World Cup
Colombia
#55
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A03/07
World Cup
Venezuela
#80
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/07
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A01/09
World Cup
74.2Avg total
34.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.835.867.6-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.337.970.1-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)31.433.965.3-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.874.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.874.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.039.169.1-9.16%-
vs Similar (10)34.430.765.1+3.760%-
vs Weaker (2)35.031.066.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Dominican Republic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dominican RepublicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A29/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H01/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H03/09
World Cup
Mexico
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A29/11
World Cup
Mexico
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H02/12
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A02/03
World Cup
Nicaragua
#88
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/07
World Cup
Brazil
#19
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A27/08
World Cup
Chile
#66
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/09
World Cup
86.0Avg total
43.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.880.0+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.980.7+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.679.3-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.089.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.743.280.8-5.517%-
vs Similar (11)40.343.984.2-3.627%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.434.776.1+6.769%-
This opponent (Chile) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chile wins
3
Dominican Republic wins
DateGameScore
01/09/26Dominican Republic v Chile101-66
03/12/18Chile v Dominican Republic65-74
14/09/18Dominican Republic v Chile71-46
Chilelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/26ADominican Republic66-101
06/07/26AVenezuela78-66
03/07/26AColombia81-79
02/03/26HVenezuela68-72
27/02/26HColombia78-86
30/11/25ABrazil62-78
27/11/25HBrazil66-82
03/07/22AUruguay65-75
01/07/22AColombia66-67
01/03/22HUruguay67-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/09/26HChile101-66
27/08/26ABrazil94-90
07/07/26HNicaragua99-76
02/03/26ANicaragua86-61
02/12/25HMexico88-89
29/11/25AMexico92-85
03/09/23HSerbia79-112
01/09/23HPuerto Rico97-102
29/08/23AAngola75-67
27/08/23AItaly87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chile
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%0%50%
Points / game71.370.771.8
Allowed / game80.680.081.0
Point differential-9.3-9.3-9.2
Avg total151.9150.7152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dominican Republic
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game93.396.090.7
Allowed / game77.877.078.7
Point differential+15.5+19.0+12.0
Avg total171.2173.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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