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China vs Hong Kong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 95-50
22-10 23-2 23-21 27-17
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game59.5
China 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeAsian Games
Other2023
Meetings · China v Hong Kong
30 Sep 2023
CHIN95
HONG50
23 Nov 2017
CHIN96
HONG44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hong Kong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Iran
#51
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
58-107
58
107
-49
42avg 52
A12/08
DBB Supercup
New Zealand
#4
W
69-68
69
68
+1
61avg 52
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#13
L
63-105
63
105
-42
no box
A26/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
H28/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
89-107
89
107
-18
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
L
75-96
75
96
-21
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Mongolia
#14
W
89-50
89
50
+39
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-27
16-10
25-16
12-25
11-24
18-32
17-26
16-22
15-17
19-15
19-14
14-25
20-30
13-22
16-28
14-22
26-22
13-19
16-26
16-23
21-29
32-26
20-29
24-27
21-18
24-14
14-17
16-16
24-23
11-34
24-23
20-19
24-9
21-12
24-10
23-12
19-15
28-26
19-16
161.1Avg total
77.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.059.5148.5+29.5100%
Season at home (1)89.050.0139.0+39.0100%
Season away (1)89.069.0158.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.084.1161.1-7.150%
Last 5 (5)85.079.6164.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.189.1156.2-22.011%
vs Similar (7)86.184.6170.7+1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.465.6151.9+20.8100%
This opponent (Hong Kong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hong KongLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKong
Date
Competition
Australia
#2
L
52-115
52
115
-63
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#9
L
83-103
83
103
-20
no box
A13/06
Asia Cup
Guam
#9
L
66-112
66
112
-46
no box
H15/06
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
64-67
64
67
-3
no box
A11/11
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
74-50
74
50
+24
no box
H12/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
88-101
88
101
-13
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Mongolia
#14
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
16-33
13-36
11-28
19-35
21-22
20-24
23-22
8-30
18-33
19-21
21-28
21-19
11-20
10-16
22-12
20-0
22-19
19-14
13-17
15-27
18-14
18-20
18-15
22-24
25-23
18-26
23-28
22-15
24-26
13-15
12-10
10-24
17-20
18-19
17-18
17-20
20-10
17-18
15-16
153.3Avg total
69.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.572.5138.0-7.050%
Season at home (1)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
Season away (1)69.064.0133.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.883.5153.3-13.730%
Last 5 (5)71.877.6149.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)66.993.6160.5-26.67%
vs Similar (2)72.563.0135.5+9.550%
vs Weaker (1)87.050.0137.0+37.0100%
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
ChinaHong Kong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#51
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A12/08
DBB Supercup
New Zealand
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#13
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A26/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H30/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/09
World Cup
Mongolia
#14
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H26/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/09
Asian Games
80.7Avg total
38.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.479.8+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.639.079.6+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.680.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.245.678.8-12.30%-
vs Similar (7)43.740.384.0+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.532.678.1+12.993%-
This opponent (Hong Kong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hong KongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A23/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#9
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A13/06
Asia Cup
Guam
#9
L
26-63
26
63
-37
H15/06
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A11/11
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H12/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A24/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H26/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H26/09
Asian Games
Mongolia
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A28/09
Asian Games
79.0Avg total
35.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.045.578.5-12.520%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.145.780.8-10.625%-
Last 30 away (18)31.645.476.9-13.817%-
Last 10 (10)35.843.279.0-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)32.647.680.2-15.111%-
vs Similar (2)40.526.567.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)29.026.055.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.517.5
42.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.03.5
20.6%
-10.5
🏀 Free throws24.016.0
66.7%
-16.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hong Kongtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
China wins
0
Hong Kong wins
DateGameScore
26/02/18Hong Kong v China58-111
23/11/17China v Hong Kong96-44
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23AChinese Taipei89-69
26/09/23HMongolia89-50
02/09/23APhilippines75-96
31/08/23AAngola83-76
30/08/23HPuerto Rico89-107
28/08/23HSouth Sudan69-89
26/08/23ASerbia63-105
13/08/23ANew Zealand69-68
12/08/23AGermany58-107
26/02/23HIran86-74
Hong Konglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23AMongolia69-64
26/09/23HChinese Taipei62-81
26/02/23HMalaysia71-66
25/02/23AThailand88-101
24/02/23AMongolia69-76
12/11/22HSingapore74-50
11/11/22AGuam64-67
15/06/21HGuam66-112
13/06/21AGuam83-103
23/02/20AAustralia52-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.089.089.0
Allowed / game59.550.069.0
Point differential+29.5+39.0+20.0
Avg total148.5139.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hong Kong
Asian Games 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game65.562.069.0
Allowed / game72.581.064.0
Point differential-7.0-19.0+5.0
Avg total138.0143.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 China220100%89.059.5+29.5
2 Jordan330100%89.361.7+27.7
3 Iran330100%82.761.0+21.7
4 Japan330100%82.765.7+17.0
5 South Korea32167%82.767.3+15.3
6 Philippines32167%79.373.3+6.0
7 Saudi Arabia32167%75.370.0+5.3
8 Chinese Taipei21150%75.075.5-0.5
9 Hong Kong21150%65.572.5-7.0
10 Qatar31233%67.079.3-12.3
11 Bahrain31233%65.778.3-12.7
12 Kazakhstan31233%60.373.7-13.3
13 United Arab Emirates3030%57.771.3-13.7
14 Indonesia3030%59.779.7-20.0
15 Thailand3030%65.786.7-21.0
16 Mongolia2020%57.079.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China2223232795
Hong Kong102211750
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