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China W vs Australia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 74-60
18-11 17-21 18-11 21-17
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game57.0
China W 🏆
vs
Australia W
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game58.5
EuropeAsia Cup WomenAsia Cup Women - Semi-finals· Sydney Olympic Park Sports Halls
Women2023Neutral venue
Meetings · China W v Australia W
01 Jul 2023
CHIN74
AUST60
29 Sep 2021
CHIN82
AUST64
30 Jul 2021
CHIN76
AUST74
25 Sep 2010
CHIN68
AUST91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

China WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
98-51
98
51
+47
no box
H23/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
A24/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
H26/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
81-55
81
55
+26
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H29/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
61-59
61
59
+2
no box
A30/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
61-83
61
83
-22
no box
H01/10
World Cup Women
Lebanon W
#6
W
89-44
89
44
+45
90avg 85
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
80-46
80
46
+34
80avg 85
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
no box
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
24-10
32-15
16-5
13-18
12-26
22-12
16-21
25-15
26-10
21-17
23-18
17-14
18-14
19-17
27-10
25-25
25-14
16-19
19-13
13-17
23-13
11-14
14-15
13-18
20-25
14-25
14-15
24-21
18-9
22-2
25-12
18-13
15-7
32-7
15-19
12-21
20-17
21-16
19-18
142.7Avg total
80.0Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.357.0142.3+28.3100%
Season at home (2)88.062.5150.5+25.5100%
Season away (1)80.046.0126.0+34.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.062.7142.7+17.380%
Last 5 (5)75.662.6138.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.575.0140.5-9.525%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (26)89.561.9151.3+27.692%
This opponent (Australia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#4
W
69-54
69
54
+15
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
W
71-54
71
54
+17
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A29/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
59-61
59
61
-2
no box
H30/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
105-34
105
34
+71
119avg 89
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
91-45
91
45
+46
96avg 89
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
52avg 89
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
89avg 89
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
18-18
17-15
16-11
14-23
24-10
13-24
24-15
16-18
20-16
20-9
15-11
26-16
26-21
20-11
14-21
17-13
13-23
14-11
15-14
27-21
24-22
20-11
24-11
30-7
26-16
22-5
27-6
19-12
22-12
29-16
21-5
21-15
11-29
19-26
15-21
31-16
21-17
19-21
20-10
141.7Avg total
80.8Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.258.5146.8+29.875%
Season at home (3)87.363.0150.3+24.367%
Season away (1)91.045.0136.0+46.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.860.9141.7+19.980%
Last 5 (5)89.659.8149.4+29.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.476.6141.0-12.10%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (21)86.161.6147.7+24.690%
This opponent (China W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +6.6+6.6
China WAustralia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
China WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H23/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A24/09
World Cup Women
Puerto Rico W
#12
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H26/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H27/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H29/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A30/09
World Cup Women
USA W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H01/10
World Cup Women
Lebanon W
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
71.5Avg total
38.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.532.175.5+11.480%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.834.478.2+9.469%-
Last 30 away (14)43.129.472.5+13.693%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.871.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.267.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.239.073.2-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (26)44.931.075.9+13.985%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H25/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/09
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H27/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A29/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H30/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
75.9Avg total
42.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.633.374.9+8.370%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.533.374.8+8.272%-
Last 30 away (12)41.833.375.1+8.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.433.575.9+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.433.479.8+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.438.371.8-4.922%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (21)45.131.276.3+13.990%-
This opponent (China W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
China Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China W: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.8 points a game
54%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.5
57.3%
45.4%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws10.08.5
85.0%
76.0%8.5
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.8 points a game
54%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.524.2
51.1%
45.4%48.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.27.8
40.3%
32.9%23.2
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
76.0%16.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/4 games with a box score before 01 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China W
WWWLWWWWLW
Australia W
WLWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+55.7
Net rating
+40.7
117.7
Offensive rating
118.0
62.0
Defensive rating
77.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
32.6%
Opp. effective FG%
41.0%
13.9%
Turnover %
19.6%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
44.4%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.4%
3-point %
40.3%
77.6%
Assist %
61.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 118.0Defence62.0 · 77.3Shooting53.6% · 53.7%3-point %31.4% · 40.3%Ball care13.9% · 19.6%Off. rebounds34.7% · 44.4%Free throws0.14 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ China W   ■ Australia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
China W wins
2
Australia W wins
DateGameScore
30/09/22Australia W v China W59-61
29/09/21China W v Australia W82-64
30/07/21China W v Australia W76-74
26/09/19Australia W v China W69-70
07/08/12Australia W v China W75-60
25/09/10China W v Australia W68-91
China Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/23HSouth Korea W87-81 OT
27/06/23ANew Zealand W80-46
26/06/23HLebanon W89-44
01/10/22HUSA W61-83
30/09/22AAustralia W61-59
29/09/22HFrance W85-71
27/09/22HBelgium W81-55
26/09/22HPuerto Rico W95-60
24/09/22AUSA W63-77
23/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina W98-51
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/23HSouth Korea W91-64
28/06/23HJapan W66-91
27/06/23AChinese Taipei W91-45
26/06/23HPhilippines W105-34
01/10/22HCanada W95-65
30/09/22HChina W59-61
29/09/22ABelgium W86-69
27/09/22HJapan W71-54
26/09/22ACanada W75-72
25/09/22HSerbia W69-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China W
Asia Cup Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.388.080.0
Allowed / game57.062.546.0
Point differential+28.3+25.5+34.0
Avg total142.3150.5126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%50%0%
Australia W
Asia Cup Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game88.287.391.0
Allowed / game58.563.045.0
Point differential+29.8+24.3+46.0
Avg total146.8150.3136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Japan W440100%92.057.0+35.0
2 China W330100%85.357.0+28.3
3 Australia W43175%88.258.5+29.8
4 New Zealand W53260%64.671.0-6.4
5 South Korea W52340%73.073.8-0.8
6 Lebanon W41325%54.578.5-24.0
7 Philippines W51420%66.488.8-22.4
8 Chinese Taipei W4040%63.088.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China W1817182174
Australia W1121111760
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