PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Australia W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 71-54
16-18 20-16 20-9 15-11
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game63.6
Australia W 🏆
vs
Japan W
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game71.3
EuropeWorld Cup WomenRound 5· Qudos Bank Arena
Women2022
Meetings · Australia W v Japan W
28 Jun 2023
AUST66
JAPA91
27 Sep 2022
AUST71
JAPA54
29 Jul 2017
AUST73
JAPA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand W
#5
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H30/09
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A02/10
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#4
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H03/10
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#14
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H10/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A12/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H13/02
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
57-70
57
70
-13
H22/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
118-58
118
58
+60
A23/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H25/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A26/09
World Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-14
14-11
18-16
12-20
24-11
19-22
10-14
24-22
23-10
19-12
22-14
20-10
16-10
17-16
12-16
20-24
20-14
16-15
15-25
25-10
26-10
14-21
14-20
17-18
14-14
16-20
10-18
23-12
33-10
36-23
26-13
18-10
18-18
17-15
16-11
14-23
24-10
13-24
24-15
139.0Avg total
75.9Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.363.6139.9+12.771%
Season at home (4)67.559.2126.8+8.275%
Season away (3)88.069.3157.3+18.767%
Last 10 (10)75.963.1139.0+12.870%
Last 5 (5)79.663.0142.6+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.076.7141.7-11.70%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.962.8147.7+22.183%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand W
#5
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A28/09
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#4
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H29/09
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H02/10
Asia Cup Women
China W
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H03/10
Asia Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
H10/02
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A13/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H22/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A23/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A26/09
World Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
19-11
15-11
15-8
24-18
13-18
6-12
24-14
20-12
11-24
22-19
14-10
19-21
17-18
16-18
26-16
15-17
8-23
23-14
27-19
23-20
23-18
24-26
12-23
21-18
26-11
19-15
23-12
9-24
25-14
12-16
18-15
12-20
13-21
14-20
17-9
5-16
21-13
18-19
9-19
138.2Avg total
70.4Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.771.3143.0+0.333%
Season at home (3)77.068.3145.3+8.767%
Season away (3)66.374.3140.7-8.00%
Last 10 (10)70.467.8138.2+2.660%
Last 5 (5)68.869.8138.6-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.179.3155.4-3.245%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (17)87.556.9144.5+30.694%
This opponent (Australia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +9.7+9.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +9.7+9.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
Australia WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand W
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/09
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#1
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A02/10
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H03/10
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#14
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H10/02
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A12/02
World Cup Women
South Korea W
#11
W
51-20
51
20
+31
H13/02
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
56-22
56
22
+34
A23/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H25/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/09
World Cup Women
70.1Avg total
41.1Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.932.374.1+9.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.732.074.7+10.776%-
Last 30 away (13)40.832.673.4+8.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.129.070.1+12.190%-
Last 5 (5)42.427.069.4+15.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.137.972.0-3.729%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.230.674.8+13.787%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand W
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/09
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/09
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H02/10
Asia Cup Women
China W
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Asia Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H10/02
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A13/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/09
World Cup Women
69.4Avg total
33.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.571.6+4.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.431.871.2+7.656%-
Last 30 away (12)36.236.172.3+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.769.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.940.274.1-6.39%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (17)41.829.271.0+12.676%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Australia W wins
3
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
02/10/21Japan W v Australia W67-65
28/09/19Japan W v Australia W76-64
29/07/17Australia W v Japan W73-74
25/07/17Japan W v Australia W74-83
11/08/16Japan W v Australia W86-92
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/22ACanada W75-72
25/09/22HSerbia W69-54
23/09/22AMali W118-58
22/09/22HFrance W57-70
13/02/22HSouth Korea W79-61
12/02/22ASerbia W71-78
10/02/22HBrazil W65-52
03/10/21HSouth Korea W88-58
02/10/21AJapan W65-67
30/09/21HNew Zealand W72-61
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/22AFrance W53-67
25/09/22HCanada W56-70
23/09/22ASerbia W64-69
22/09/22HMali W89-56
13/02/22ABosnia & Herzegovina W82-87
10/02/22HCanada W86-79 OT
03/10/21HChina W78-73
02/10/21HAustralia W67-65
29/09/21HSouth Korea W67-62
28/09/21ANew Zealand W62-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia W
World Cup Women 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game76.367.588.0
Allowed / game63.659.269.3
Point differential+12.7+8.2+18.7
Avg total139.9126.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan W
World Cup Women 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game71.777.066.3
Allowed / game71.368.374.3
Point differential+0.3+8.7-8.0
Avg total143.0145.3140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W770100%101.962.1+39.7
2 China W87188%90.162.1+28.0
3 Serbia W86275%68.966.6+2.2
4 Australia W75271%76.363.6+12.7
5 Canada W75271%75.964.4+11.4
6 Nigeria W32167%72.074.7-2.7
7 Belgium W85362%75.467.6+7.8
8 Russia W21150%72.567.0+5.5
9 France W84450%66.266.5-0.2
10 Japan W62433%71.771.3+0.3
11 Puerto Rico W82625%66.186.6-20.5
12 South Korea W82625%68.189.0-20.9
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina W71614%62.994.7-31.9
14 Brazil W3030%65.372.3-7.0
15 Mali W8080%63.185.5-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia W1620201571
Japan W181691154
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.