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Chiusi vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-73
17-14 12-20 21-16 20-23
Position#23
Record9-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game69.7
ItalySerie A2Round 24
Other2022-23
Meetings · Chiusi v Forli
12 Nov 2023
CHIU62
FORL71
24 May 2023
CHIU76
FORL89
22 May 2023
CHIU60
FORL73
05 Mar 2023
CHIU70
FORL73
05 Dec 2021
CHIU90
FORL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H21/12
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A04/01
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A08/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H15/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H22/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A29/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H05/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A12/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/02
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A26/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
27-27
22-20
12-15
24-22
13-17
17-20
11-15
17-19
22-18
14-18
17-18
20-21
19-16
19-9
17-13
19-16
32-19
20-23
23-21
24-23
12-19
12-21
10-21
15-15
15-19
13-20
16-19
12-16
16-13
25-17
11-21
24-12
21-22
16-17
18-11
15-23
19-18
17-18
28-14
145.2Avg total
71.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.574.1145.6-2.639%
Season at home (11)72.571.9144.5+0.655%
Season away (12)70.676.1146.7-5.525%
Last 10 (10)71.973.3145.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)67.871.8139.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)64.571.1135.6-6.612%
vs Similar (22)73.774.8148.5-1.145%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mantova
#17
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H04/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A08/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
83-76 OT
83
76
+7
H15/01
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A22/01
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H29/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#21
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H05/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A11/02
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A19/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
30-21
16-16
16-20
26-18
20-13
20-16
21-18
16-20
17-21
13-21
16-12
15-19
19-19
18-20
16-10
23-24
17-14
28-15
10-14
18-15
21-19
17-19
18-10
26-21
23-20
24-25
24-23
15-20
20-25
21-9
21-19
14-10
14-13
20-13
21-22
13-19
17-16
18-7
25-18
148.1Avg total
78.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.969.7146.6+7.183%
Season at home (12)78.269.2147.5+9.092%
Season away (11)75.470.3145.6+5.173%
Last 10 (10)78.269.9148.1+8.390%
Last 5 (5)78.068.6146.6+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.571.0134.5-7.525%
vs Similar (7)71.173.6144.7-2.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.870.4149.3+8.484%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
ChiusiForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H21/12
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H22/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A29/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H05/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/02
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/02
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
38.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.037.273.1-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.377.0+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)33.636.269.8-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.276.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.070.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.238.672.9-4.425%-
vs Similar (22)36.636.673.2-0.041%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mantova
#17
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H04/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H15/01
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/01
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/01
Serie A2
Ferrara
#21
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H05/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A11/02
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A19/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/02
Serie A2
74.8Avg total
38.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.174.4+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.575.1+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.136.673.7+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.474.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.671.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.241.075.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (7)33.736.470.1-2.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.934.975.8+6.079%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chiusi wins
2
Forli wins
DateGameScore
07/12/22Forli v Chiusi86-76
20/03/22Forli v Chiusi76-75
05/12/21Chiusi v Forli90-65
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23AMantova79-73
19/02/23HPistoia79-62
12/02/23ARavenna64-67
05/02/23HChieti Basket59-73
29/01/23ARimini58-84
22/01/23HSan Severo94-79
15/01/23HFortitudo Bologna75-59
08/01/23AUdine70-73
04/01/23ACento65-74
21/12/22HPallacanestro Nardo76-89
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HSan Severo73-60
19/02/23ACento69-58
11/02/23ACividale77-73
05/02/23HFerrara97-89
29/01/23HPallacanestro Nardo74-63
22/01/23ARavenna78-67
15/01/23HChieti Basket83-76 OT
08/01/23APistoia62-74
04/01/23HRimini87-65
21/12/22AMantova82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiusi
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%55%25%
Points / game71.572.570.6
Allowed / game74.171.976.1
Point differential-2.6+0.6-5.5
Avg total145.6144.5146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Forli
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game76.978.275.4
Allowed / game69.769.270.3
Point differential+7.1+9.0+5.1
Avg total146.6147.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%42%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli2319483%76.969.7+7.1
3 Cantu2218482%80.569.5+11.0
4 Pistoia2217577%77.065.5+11.5
5 Cremona2217577%79.069.4+9.6
6 Treviglio2116576%78.171.7+6.5
7 Basket Torino2015575%83.178.0+5.1
8 Cento1812667%77.871.5+6.3
9 Udine2314961%74.773.5+1.3
10 Cividale22121055%69.469.9-0.5
11 Urania Milano22121055%78.279.7-1.5
12 Assigeco Piacenza21111052%78.575.7+2.8
13 Rimini22111150%77.376.2+1.1
14 Fortitudo Bologna23111248%77.274.9+2.3
15 Agrigento21101148%79.577.7+1.8
16 Pallacanestro Nardo23101343%81.783.2-1.5
17 Chiusi2391439%71.574.1-2.6
18 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
19 Latina2181338%74.578.8-4.2
20 Trapani2181338%67.075.4-8.4
21 Mantova2381535%74.478.1-3.7
22 Ravenna2381535%73.378.3-5.0
23 San Severo2381535%69.476.4-7.0
24 Chieti Basket2371630%72.375.7-3.4
25 JuVi Cremona2161529%73.579.2-5.7
26 Stella Azzurra2261627%74.681.0-6.3
27 Monferrato2051525%73.779.0-5.2
28 NPC Rieti2051525%67.273.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiusi1712212070
Forli1420162373
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