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Chomutov vs Liberecko Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-86
16-18 14-28 20-20 26-20
Position#18
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game66.0
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 3· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2024-25
Meetings · Chomutov v Liberecko
16 Nov 2025
CHOM92
LIBE82
04 Oct 2024
CHOM76
LIBE86
29 Sep 2023
CHOM62
LIBE79
09 Dec 2022
CHOM86
LIBE103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberecko winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChomutovCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChomutov
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
130-88
130
88
+42
144avg 67
H09/02
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
L
64-72
64
72
-8
57avg 67
A16/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
104avg 67
H23/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#16
W
95-72
95
72
+23
90avg 67
H01/03
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
73-83
73
83
-10
72avg 67
A08/03
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
W
82-66
82
66
+16
81avg 67
H17/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
L
76-98
76
98
-22
62avg 67
A24/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#16
L
75-96
75
96
-21
60avg 67
A28/03
1. Liga
Plzen
#3
L
53-70
53
70
-17
33avg 67
A20/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
60avg 67
H27/09
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
33-29
30-18
36-18
25-23
16-13
17-11
6-25
25-19
27-22
21-20
28-19
24-29
24-9
20-14
27-20
25-16
19-26
11-19
18-22
23-18
20-19
24-13
15-16
16-34
17-29
24-21
19-14
22-22
11-31
23-15
19-28
16-16
8-13
15-23
14-18
14-21
21-19
17-19
24-18
162.7Avg total
82.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.573.5138.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)76.077.0153.0-1.00%
Season away (1)53.070.0123.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.580.2162.7+2.340%
Last 5 (5)72.481.4153.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.987.6163.6-11.714%
vs Similar (10)80.278.6158.8+1.650%
vs Weaker (6)87.781.2168.8+6.550%
This opponent (Liberecko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiberecko
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
L
71-72
71
72
-1
64avg 66
H19/01
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 66
A26/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 66
A09/02
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
75avg 66
H16/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
52avg 66
A25/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 66
H01/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
64avg 66
A10/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
81avg 66
H15/03
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#10
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 66
A20/09
1. Liga
Plzen
#3
W
79-60
79
60
+19
66avg 66
H27/09
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-16
15-20
17-18
24-18
17-26
17-18
25-26
19-24
15-17
25-26
20-21
18-13
14-18
18-21
26-16
15-12
34-22
7-20
12-23
14-18
19-23
16-24
25-16
14-24
28-20
15-20
21-23
22-11
28-25
15-15
18-18
18-19
17-15
12-18
20-20
21-12
28-12
17-19
13-17
152.0Avg total
75.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.066.0139.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)79.060.0139.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)75.876.2152.0-0.430%
Last 5 (5)76.273.8150.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.878.5152.3-4.750%
vs Similar (13)80.678.8159.5+1.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.168.3145.4+8.860%
This opponent (Chomutov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
ChomutovLiberecko
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChomutovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H09/02
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A16/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H01/03
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/03
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H17/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A24/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#16
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A28/03
1. Liga
Plzen
#3
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A20/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H27/09
1. Liga
84.8Avg total
41.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.141.885.9+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)34.444.478.8-9.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.184.8-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.644.478.0-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.942.480.4-4.536%-
vs Similar (10)38.042.580.5-4.540%-
vs Weaker (6)46.245.291.3+1.083%-
This opponent (Liberecko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/01
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A09/02
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H16/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A10/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H15/03
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A20/09
1. Liga
Plzen
#3
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H27/09
1. Liga
76.7Avg total
40.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.675.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.635.475.1+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.937.975.8+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.376.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.877.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.737.272.8-1.533%-
vs Similar (13)40.736.777.4+4.054%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.935.073.9+3.980%-
This opponent (Chomutov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.4
57.1%
50.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.0
28.2%
29.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.311.2
61.2%
65.9%11.2
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Libereckotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liberecko: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.4
51.1%
50.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.2
30.6%
29.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.812.2
64.9%
65.9%12.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov
LLLLWLWWLW
Liberecko
WLWLLLWLLL
#18
League position
#8
+3.3
Net rating
+0.0
102.0
Offensive rating
101.3
98.7
Defensive rating
101.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
21.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.2%
3-point %
30.6%
52.8%
Assist %
51.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 101.3Defence98.7 · 101.3Shooting51.8% · 49.2%3-point %28.2% · 30.6%Ball care21.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds33.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Chomutov   ■ Liberecko
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chomutov wins
4
Liberecko wins
DateGameScore
01/12/23Liberecko v Chomutov81-73
29/09/23Chomutov v Liberecko62-79
09/12/22Chomutov v Liberecko86-103
07/10/22Liberecko v Chomutov81-61
Chomutovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24HSokol Prazsky76-77
20/09/24APlzen53-70
28/03/24AZlin75-96
24/03/24ASnakes Ostrava76-98
17/03/24HProstejov82-66
08/03/24ABasketbal Olomouc73-83
01/03/24HZlin95-72
23/02/24HSnakes Ostrava101-80
16/02/24AProstejov64-72
09/02/24HBasketbal Olomouc130-88
Libereckolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24HPlzen79-60
20/09/24AUSK Prague B67-72
15/03/24HNovy Jicin83-69
10/03/24ABrno U2378-87
01/03/24HPardubice 274-81
25/02/24ANovy Jicin68-77
16/02/24HBrno U2376-68
09/02/24APardubice 279-88
26/01/24ASP Basket83-88
19/01/24HRadotin71-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov
1. Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.576.053.0
Allowed / game73.577.070.0
Point differential-9.0-1.0-17.0
Avg total138.0153.0123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liberecko
1. Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.079.067.0
Allowed / game66.060.072.0
Point differential+7.0+19.0-5.0
Avg total139.0139.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zlin220100%102.066.5+35.5
2 Hradec Kralove220100%98.066.5+31.5
3 Brno U23220100%82.572.5+10.0
4 CZ.ACADEMY110100%95.085.0+10.0
5 Radotin110100%84.078.0+6.0
6 Polabi21150%86.569.5+17.0
7 Svitavy21150%88.580.5+8.0
8 Liberecko21150%73.066.0+7.0
9 Pardubice 221150%78.074.5+3.5
10 Snakes Ostrava21150%81.579.5+2.0
11 Litomerice21150%79.080.0-1.0
12 Plzen21150%65.066.0-1.0
13 Sokol Prazsky21150%81.085.5-4.5
14 USK Prague B21150%65.582.0-16.5
15 Vysoka21150%63.086.5-23.5
16 Chomutov2020%64.573.5-9.0
17 Novy Jicin2020%80.090.5-10.5
18 Opava 22020%73.598.0-24.5
19 Basketbal Olomouc2020%65.597.5-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chomutov1614202676
Liberecko1828202086
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