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Chomutov vs Liberecko Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-82
26-14 20-20 20-23 26-25
Position#22
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game82.0
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 9· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chomutov v Liberecko
16 Nov 2025
CHOM92
LIBE82
04 Oct 2024
CHOM76
LIBE86
29 Sep 2023
CHOM62
LIBE79
09 Dec 2022
CHOM86
LIBE103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberecko winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChomutovCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChomutov
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#16
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 65
A28/03
1. Liga
Vysoka
#15
L
71-73
71
73
-2
57avg 65
H04/04
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
71-68
71
68
+3
64avg 65
A21/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
73-82
73
82
-9
55avg 65
A28/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 65
H05/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
95avg 65
A10/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
58avg 65
H19/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 65
A26/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
62avg 65
H31/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 65
A09/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
17-16
20-21
28-19
23-24
11-15
18-13
19-21
16-20
14-16
29-17
12-15
24-21
11-20
15-21
23-20
22-20
16-10
30-13
16-27
24-23
27-23
17-17
26-11
12-14
23-23
16-23
22-25
24-12
18-29
21-20
14-19
21-22
21-9
16-16
14-23
26-33
11-25
19-17
28-22
156.1Avg total
78.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.578.2156.8+0.250%
Season at home (3)76.375.0151.3+1.367%
Season away (5)79.880.2160.0-0.440%
Last 10 (10)78.377.8156.1+0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.081.2161.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.786.5159.2-13.816%
vs Similar (11)79.780.1159.8-0.455%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liberecko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiberecko
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#16
W
92-63
92
63
+29
no box
H01/04
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 65
A04/04
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
74-97
74
97
-23
60avg 65
H19/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
73-88
73
88
-15
44avg 65
A26/09
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
90-64
90
64
+26
80avg 65
H03/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
57-76
57
76
-19
35avg 65
A10/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
55avg 65
H17/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 65
A26/10
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
82avg 65
H31/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
41avg 65
H13/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
20-12
24-20
25-20
22-21
18-16
21-17
23-25
27-24
11-24
17-32
19-17
19-26
17-23
19-19
18-20
25-17
28-19
17-15
20-13
12-17
20-14
11-26
14-19
22-23
22-21
15-22
11-19
23-21
19-19
24-20
20-23
19-14
16-21
24-11
19-28
24-22
26-17
9-27
10-23
157.1Avg total
77.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.682.0156.6-7.438%
Season at home (5)76.281.8158.0-5.640%
Season away (3)72.082.3154.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)77.379.8157.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)72.081.4153.4-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.587.0156.5-17.50%
vs Similar (12)73.278.7151.9-5.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.173.5154.6+7.662%
This opponent (Chomutov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
ChomutovLiberecko
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChomutovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/03
1. Liga
Vysoka
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/04
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H05/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A10/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A26/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A09/11
1. Liga
77.8Avg total
38.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.478.7-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.940.476.4-4.529%-
Last 30 away (16)36.644.280.8-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.877.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.143.378.3-8.211%-
vs Similar (11)38.441.079.4-2.645%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liberecko) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibereckoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#16
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H01/04
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A04/04
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H19/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A26/09
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H03/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A10/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H17/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A26/10
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H31/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H13/11
1. Liga
79.5Avg total
41.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.178.0+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.635.376.9+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.179.3+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.279.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.878.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.041.588.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (12)38.737.976.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.835.977.8+5.975%-
This opponent (Chomutov) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.623.0
45.5%
51.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.7
24.7%
29.5%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.414.2
60.7%
65.8%14.2
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Libereckotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liberecko: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.617.2
56.2%
51.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.8
31.7%
29.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.812.0
57.7%
65.8%12.0
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov
LWLLWWLWLW
Liberecko
LWWLLWLLWW
#22
League position
#8
+0.4
Net rating
-5.9
91.8
Offensive rating
105.7
91.4
Defensive rating
111.6
42.8%
Effective FG%
52.4%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
21.3%
Turnover %
21.1%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
24.7%
3-point %
31.7%
59.6%
Assist %
47.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 105.7Defence91.4 · 111.6Shooting42.8% · 52.4%3-point %24.7% · 31.7%Ball care21.3% · 21.1%Off. rebounds37.0% · 37.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Chomutov   ■ Liberecko
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chomutov wins
6
Liberecko wins
DateGameScore
06/12/24Liberecko v Chomutov93-82
04/10/24Chomutov v Liberecko76-86
01/12/23Liberecko v Chomutov81-73
29/09/23Chomutov v Liberecko62-79
09/12/22Chomutov v Liberecko86-103
07/10/22Liberecko v Chomutov81-61
Chomutovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25ARadotin84-97
31/10/25HPlzen72-70
26/10/25AUSK Prague B77-80
19/10/25HLitomerice73-85
10/10/25ACZ.ACADEMY94-74
05/10/25HSokol Prazsky84-70
28/09/25APolabi73-82
21/09/25AValecnici Decin71-68
04/04/25HVysoka71-73
28/03/25APardubice 284-79
Libereckolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HValecnici Decin69-89
31/10/25HPolabi78-74
26/10/25ARadotin86-83
17/10/25HPlzen70-85
10/10/25AUSK Prague B57-76
03/10/25HLitomerice90-64
26/09/25ACZ.ACADEMY73-88
19/09/25HSokol Prazsky74-97
04/04/25ABasketbal Olomouc84-79
01/04/25HPardubice 292-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game78.576.379.8
Allowed / game78.275.080.2
Point differential+0.2+1.3-0.4
Avg total156.8151.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liberecko
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game74.676.272.0
Allowed / game82.081.882.3
Point differential-7.4-5.6-10.3
Avg total156.6158.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin990100%94.473.0+21.4
2 Plzen86275%82.570.9+11.6
3 Pardubice 296367%77.975.1+2.8
4 Valecnici Decin85362%79.269.4+9.9
5 Svitavy85362%88.883.0+5.8
6 Zlin74357%80.073.3+6.7
7 Brno U2374357%79.480.9-1.4
8 Radotin95456%83.981.2+2.7
9 Opava 284450%84.682.1+2.5
10 Chomutov84450%78.578.2+0.2
11 USK Prague B84450%72.476.1-3.8
12 Sokol Prazsky94544%81.781.7+0.0
13 Litomerice73443%78.484.4-6.0
14 CZ.ACADEMY73443%78.985.7-6.9
15 Polabi83538%75.678.0-2.4
16 Liberecko83538%74.682.0-7.4
17 Vysoka83538%73.480.8-7.4
18 MS Academy93633%79.994.6-14.7
19 Jindrichuv Hradec82625%81.885.1-3.4
20 Basketbal Olomouc91811%70.481.9-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chomutov2620202692
Liberecko1420232582
← all games of the day
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