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Chomutov vs SP Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-68
19-15 15-24 25-12 17-17
Position#15
Record4-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#17
Record4-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game78.6
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 17· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chomutov v SP Basket
19 Jan 2024
CHOM76
SP B68
18 Sep 2022
CHOM70
SP B59
01 Oct 2021
CHOM80
SP B71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SP Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChomutovCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChomutov
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
no box
H27/10
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
W
72-60
72
60
+12
66avg 60
A03/11
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
71avg 60
H10/11
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 60
H17/11
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
88-91
88
91
-3
20avg 60
H24/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
58avg 60
A01/12
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 60
H08/12
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
75-112
75
112
-37
59avg 60
A10/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
W
88-80
88
80
+8
81avg 60
H07/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 60
A14/01
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-33
24-18
18-9
18-15
20-12
18-19
13-7
21-22
12-18
27-15
26-24
15-26
14-19
19-20
19-24
18-20
26-24
26-25
21-19
15-23
23-19
15-24
17-16
18-22
21-20
22-19
20-15
23-21
16-31
16-36
19-26
24-19
26-27
25-21
17-16
20-16
10-24
8-14
25-17
21-22
160.1Avg total
77.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.284.9162.1-7.625%
Season at home (8)79.583.2162.8-3.825%
Season away (8)75.086.5161.5-11.525%
Last 10 (10)77.582.6160.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)77.285.0162.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.891.6171.4-11.924%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.777.8154.5-1.140%
vs Weaker (3)69.744.0113.7+25.7100%
This opponent (SP Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SP BasketCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#15
L
60-72
60
72
-12
37avg 57
H03/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#10
L
71-82
71
82
-11
53avg 57
A10/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
64avg 57
A15/11
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 57
H24/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
57avg 57
A01/12
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
77-56
77
56
+21
68avg 57
H08/12
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
75-108
75
108
-33
65avg 57
A17/12
1. Liga
Nymburk
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
74avg 57
H18/12
Czech Cup
USK Prague B
#13
W
69-67
69
67
+2
60avg 57
A05/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
W
62-61
62
61
+1
49avg 57
H12/01
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
19-18
7-13
22-21
23-29
17-24
22-15
9-14
26-16
13-25
17-22
22-31
21-18
21-29
17-21
25-20
13-24
20-30
27-21
18-14
20-19
25-15
18-15
14-7
24-24
16-26
14-37
21-21
14-31
24-17
20-27
22-23
14-17
18-13
17-19
20-18
10-12
19-15
15-15
18-19
154.9Avg total
73.4Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.878.6146.4-10.825%
Season at home (8)65.868.1133.9-2.438%
Season away (8)69.989.0158.9-19.112%
Last 10 (10)73.481.5154.9-8.130%
Last 5 (5)72.678.0150.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.583.8152.3-15.321%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.074.1150.1+1.943%
vs Weaker (2)99.068.0167.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
ChomutovSP Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChomutovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H27/10
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A03/11
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/11
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H17/11
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H24/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A01/12
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/12
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
32-67
32
67
-35
A10/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H07/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A14/01
1. Liga
82.1Avg total
38.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.043.984.0-3.945%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.543.688.1+0.964%-
Last 30 away (15)35.944.280.1-8.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.882.1-5.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.447.083.4-10.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.646.286.9-5.641%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.442.880.2-5.440%-
vs Weaker (2)48.030.078.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (SP Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SP BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#15
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H03/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A15/11
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A01/12
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/12
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A17/12
1. Liga
Nymburk
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H18/12
Czech Cup
USK Prague B
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A05/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#8
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H12/01
1. Liga
79.1Avg total
36.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.780.1-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.941.479.4-3.538%-
Last 30 away (14)36.944.181.0-7.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.942.279.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.744.379.0-9.616%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.436.978.3+4.686%-
vs Weaker (2)53.033.586.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
50.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.2
28.8%
29.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws21.113.1
62.1%
64.9%13.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SP Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SP Basket: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.2
46.7%
50.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.2
27.1%
29.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.211.4
59.4%
64.9%11.4
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov
LWLWLLLLWL
SP Basket
WWLLWLLLLL
#15
League position
#17
-8.7
Net rating
-10.5
92.1
Offensive rating
89.8
100.8
Defensive rating
100.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
44.0%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
23.2%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.8%
3-point %
27.1%
43.9%
Assist %
49.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 89.8Defence100.8 · 100.4Shooting47.4% · 44.0%3-point %28.8% · 27.1%Ball care23.2% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Chomutov   ■ SP Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chomutov wins
2
SP Basket wins
DateGameScore
03/11/23SP Basket v Chomutov60-72
18/11/22SP Basket v Chomutov86-79
18/09/22Chomutov v SP Basket70-59
03/12/21SP Basket v Chomutov79-73
01/10/21Chomutov v SP Basket80-71
Chomutovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ARadotin64-77
07/01/24HLitomerice88-80
10/12/23AJindrichuv Hradec75-112
08/12/23HSokol Prazsky86-75
01/12/23ALiberecko73-81
24/11/23HPolabi88-91
17/11/23HPlzen70-83
10/11/23HUSK Prague B80-83
03/11/23ASP Basket72-60
27/10/23HRadotin79-84 OT
SP Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24HPlzen62-61
05/01/24AUSK Prague B69-67
18/12/23HNymburk80-98
17/12/23APolabi75-108
08/12/23HRadotin77-56
01/12/23ALitomerice78-89
24/11/23HJindrichuv Hradec84-88
15/11/23ASokol Prazsky78-94
10/11/23ALiberecko71-82
03/11/23HChomutov60-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL25%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game77.279.575.0
Allowed / game84.983.286.5
Point differential-7.6-3.8-11.5
Avg total162.1162.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
SP Basket
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW25%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game67.865.869.9
Allowed / game78.668.189.0
Point differential-10.8-2.4-19.1
Avg total146.4133.9158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jindrichuv Hradec1614288%92.473.9+18.5
2 Hradec Kralove1613381%95.875.8+20.1
3 Svitavy1613381%90.777.9+12.8
4 Opava 21612475%84.176.2+7.9
5 Sokol Prazsky1712571%84.482.1+2.3
6 Brno U231611569%85.471.3+14.1
7 Litomerice1711665%80.574.6+5.9
8 Liberecko1610662%78.477.1+1.2
9 Plzen169756%78.571.8+6.8
10 Novy Jicin168850%82.281.6+0.6
11 Radotin168850%70.176.7-6.6
12 Pardubice 2167944%78.680.4-1.8
13 USK Prague B1661038%73.674.6-1.0
14 Snakes Ostrava1651131%74.887.1-12.4
15 Zlin1541127%80.990.5-9.6
16 Basketbal Olomouc1541127%74.989.3-14.5
17 Chomutov1641225%77.284.9-7.6
18 SP Basket1641225%67.878.6-10.8
19 Polabi1631319%81.991.2-9.2
20 Prostejov1621412%71.890.3-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chomutov1915251776
SP Basket1524121768
← all games of the day
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