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Chomutov vs Zlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-72
24-29 24-9 20-14 27-20
Position#15
Record7-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#16
Record6-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game93.3
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 4· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chomutov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChomutovCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChomutov
Date
Competition
Liberecko
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
58avg 68
A01/12
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 68
H08/12
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
75-112
75
112
-37
59avg 68
A10/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
W
88-80
88
80
+8
81avg 68
H07/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 68
A14/01
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
W
76-68
76
68
+8
69avg 68
H19/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
67-105
67
105
-38
55avg 68
A26/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
130-88
130
88
+42
144avg 68
H09/02
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
L
64-72
64
72
-8
57avg 68
A16/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
104avg 68
H23/02
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
15-24
17-16
18-22
21-20
22-19
20-15
23-21
16-31
16-36
19-26
24-19
26-27
25-21
17-16
20-16
10-24
8-14
25-17
21-22
19-15
15-24
25-12
17-17
17-25
20-30
17-27
13-23
31-23
33-29
30-18
36-18
25-23
16-13
17-11
6-25
25-19
27-22
21-20
28-19
166.2Avg total
82.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.784.3164.0-4.633%
Season at home (11)85.782.0167.7+3.745%
Season away (10)73.186.9160.0-13.820%
Last 10 (10)82.483.8166.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)87.682.6170.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.489.7169.1-10.321%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.977.4156.3+1.550%
vs Weaker (6)84.062.0146.0+22.083%
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlin
Date
Competition
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
104-64
104
64
+40
17avg 71
H01/12
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
L
58-99
58
99
-41
48avg 71
A10/12
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
79avg 71
H15/12
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
63avg 71
A07/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 71
H12/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
94-103
94
103
-9
92avg 71
A21/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
124-91
124
91
+33
130avg 71
H23/01
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
no box
H26/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
W
94-71
94
71
+23
102avg 71
H09/02
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
85-139
85
139
-54
69avg 71
A18/02
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
22-17
22-11
27-17
21-24
12-32
13-21
12-22
16-20
22-27
21-23
29-20
21-27
12-17
19-28
23-26
22-18
15-21
19-21
23-30
18-16
20-23
25-34
31-30
26-25
37-23
28-24
33-19
20-31
25-19
21-24
24-16
22-19
27-16
19-14
26-22
18-35
28-31
12-43
27-30
184.9Avg total
89.9Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.593.3178.8-7.930%
Season at home (10)91.687.3178.9+4.350%
Season away (10)79.399.4178.7-20.110%
Last 10 (10)89.995.0184.9-5.130%
Last 5 (5)99.0101.8200.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.196.3176.3-16.226%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.873.2154.0+7.550%
vs Weaker (7)92.087.6179.6+4.429%
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
ChomutovZlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChomutovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberecko
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A01/12
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/12
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
32-67
32
67
-35
A10/12
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H07/01
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A14/01
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H19/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A26/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H09/02
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A16/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/02
1. Liga
86.8Avg total
41.0Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.542.684.1-1.052%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.588.0+3.167%-
Last 30 away (14)37.242.679.9-5.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.886.8-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.690.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.844.485.2-3.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.042.380.3-4.340%-
vs Weaker (5)50.637.888.4+12.8100%-
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H01/12
1. Liga
Brno U23
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A10/12
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H15/12
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A07/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H12/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A21/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H23/01
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H26/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H09/02
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A18/02
1. Liga
89.7Avg total
43.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.887.1-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.540.985.3+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)40.148.888.9-8.720%-
Last 10 (10)43.746.089.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)48.247.695.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.747.889.5-6.126%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.037.277.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker (7)45.141.186.3+4.043%-
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chomutovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.423.3
53.7%
50.8%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.9
27.6%
29.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.914.1
64.4%
64.9%14.1
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlin: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.4
56.3%
50.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
29.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
64.9%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chomutov
WLWLWLWLWL
Zlin
LWLWLLLLLW
#15
League position
#16
-1.7
Net rating
-13.4
97.8
Offensive rating
106.0
99.5
Defensive rating
119.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
22.1%
Turnover %
19.2%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.6%
3-point %
32.3%
54.6%
Assist %
52.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 106.0Defence99.5 · 119.4Shooting49.2% · 53.1%3-point %27.6% · 32.3%Ball care22.1% · 19.2%Off. rebounds32.5% · 25.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Chomutov   ■ Zlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chomutov wins
0
Zlin wins
No previous meetings.
Chomutovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HSnakes Ostrava101-80
16/02/24AProstejov64-72
09/02/24HBasketbal Olomouc130-88
26/01/24AUSK Prague B67-105
19/01/24HSP Basket76-68
14/01/24ARadotin64-77
07/01/24HLitomerice88-80
10/12/23AJindrichuv Hradec75-112
08/12/23HSokol Prazsky86-75
01/12/23ALiberecko73-81
Zlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24APolabi85-139
09/02/24HUSK Prague B94-71
26/01/24HProstejov98-105 OT
23/01/24HBasketbal Olomouc124-91
21/01/24ABasketbal Olomouc94-103
12/01/24HPardubice 279-90
07/01/24AHradec Kralove75-98
15/12/23HOpava 288-90
10/12/23ABrno U2358-99
01/12/23HSnakes Ostrava104-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chomutov
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeWWWWW45%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game79.785.773.1
Allowed / game84.382.086.9
Point differential-4.6+3.7-13.8
Avg total164.0167.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
Zlin
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%50%10%
Points / game85.591.679.3
Allowed / game93.387.399.4
Point differential-7.9+4.3-20.1
Avg total178.8178.9178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hradec Kralove2117481%95.076.3+18.6
2 Jindrichuv Hradec2117481%94.076.4+17.6
3 Svitavy2115671%89.378.4+11.0
4 Litomerice2115671%81.574.2+7.3
5 Brno U232114767%84.270.1+14.0
6 Sokol Prazsky2114767%83.982.3+1.6
7 Opava 22113862%79.579.3+0.2
8 Novy Jicin2112957%83.879.1+4.7
9 Plzen21111052%76.672.0+4.6
10 Liberecko21111052%77.777.5+0.2
11 Pardubice 221111052%78.679.0-0.4
12 Radotin21101148%70.078.1-8.1
13 USK Prague B2191243%75.073.9+1.1
14 Chomutov2171433%79.784.3-4.6
15 Zlin2061430%85.593.3-7.9
16 SP Basket2061430%70.078.7-8.7
17 Polabi2161529%87.190.3-3.2
18 Prostejov2151624%73.788.5-14.9
19 Snakes Ostrava2151624%72.989.5-16.6
20 Basketbal Olomouc2151624%77.294.6-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chomutov2424202795
Zlin299142072
← all games of the day
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