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Cimarrones del Choco vs Sabios de Manizales Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 67-80
17-17 12-18 23-13 15-32
Position#7
Record4-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#5
Record11-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game78.9
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Sabios de Manizales
21 Oct 2025
CIMA67
SABI80
20 Oct 2025
CIMA57
SABI71
26 May 2025
CIMA87
SABI81
25 May 2025
CIMA110
SABI73
20 Oct 2024
CIMA109
SABI118
19 Oct 2024
CIMA84
SABI70
07 Oct 2023
CIMA85
SABI65
10 May 2023
CIMA76
SABI55
09 May 2023
CIMA62
SABI47
23 Oct 2022
CIMA94
SABI54
22 Oct 2022
CIMA75
SABI54
10 Nov 2021
CIMA78
SABI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sabios de Manizales winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
67avg 68
H13/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
48-88
48
88
-40
30avg 68
A17/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
62-76
62
76
-14
51avg 68
A18/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
30-75
30
75
-45
25avg 68
A21/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
89-99
89
99
-10
77avg 68
A22/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
52-71
52
71
-19
35avg 68
A14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
95-105
95
105
-10
79avg 68
A15/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
45-76
45
76
-31
30avg 68
A18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
85-118
85
118
-33
67avg 68
A18/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 68
H20/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
23-25
19-29
21-16
11-32
12-17
13-16
12-23
21-26
15-25
11-14
15-11
2-14
13-19
6-19
9-23
24-24
19-24
17-21
29-30
20-18
19-20
6-19
7-14
18-19
17-32
33-32
27-22
6-13
16-22
15-19
8-22
23-29
18-33
13-35
31-21
20-24
10-16
6-16
21-15
151.4Avg total
64.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.491.6166.0-17.316%
Season at home (9)76.286.4162.7-10.233%
Season away (16)73.394.6167.9-21.26%
Last 10 (10)64.387.1151.4-22.80%
Last 5 (5)66.888.2155.0-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)74.889.8164.6-15.020%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sabios de ManizalesColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManizales
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 62
H15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 62
A19/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
67avg 62
A19/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
74avg 62
H24/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
58avg 62
A27/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
46avg 62
H13/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 62
H14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
85-68
85
68
+17
77avg 62
H17/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
53avg 62
H17/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
70avg 62
A20/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
18-19
25-14
17-14
16-17
14-10
15-29
25-18
16-19
20-23
26-18
17-19
17-16
22-16
23-25
21-30
15-13
17-19
10-25
28-21
11-16
17-26
25-22
24-15
15-14
14-28
17-21
24-21
22-21
21-22
17-12
25-13
12-21
18-25
18-19
21-18
24-20
16-10
16-6
15-21
152.7Avg total
76.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.478.9155.4-2.541%
Season at home (15)77.777.3155.0+0.347%
Season away (12)74.980.9155.8-6.033%
Last 10 (10)76.076.7152.7-0.730%
Last 5 (5)74.474.2148.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.782.1153.8-10.520%
vs Similar (2)77.075.5152.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.680.1161.7+1.554%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
Cimarrones del ChocoSabios de Manizales
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A17/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A18/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
15-33
15
33
-18
A21/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A15/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A18/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H20/10
LBP
77.8Avg total
32.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.545.883.3-8.330%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.545.282.6-7.727%-
Last 30 away (19)37.646.283.7-8.632%-
Last 10 (10)32.445.477.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)33.445.278.6-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.545.883.3-8.330%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sabios de ManizalesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A19/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A19/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H24/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/06
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H13/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H17/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H17/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A20/10
LBP
71.9Avg total
34.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.077.3-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.442.679.0-6.119%-
Last 30 away (14)36.139.175.3-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)34.537.471.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.674.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.540.074.5-5.527%-
vs Similar (2)36.544.581.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.341.579.8-3.238%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 63.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.716.6
40.8%
49.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.86.2
24.0%
30.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws17.111.3
66.1%
67.7%11.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sabios de Manizalestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sabios de Manizales: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.5
46.6%
49.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.1
29.0%
30.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
67.7%13.9
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LLLLLLLLLL
Sabios de Manizales
WLWLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#5
-30.1
Net rating
-0.4
79.8
Offensive rating
96.1
109.9
Defensive rating
96.5
38.9%
Effective FG%
45.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
22.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
24.0%
3-point %
29.0%
45.2%
Assist %
50.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence79.8 · 96.1Defence109.9 · 96.5Shooting38.9% · 45.3%3-point %24.0% · 29.0%Ball care22.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Sabios de Manizales
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25HSabios de Manizales57-71
18/10/25AToros del Valle85-118
18/10/25AToros del Valle45-76
15/10/25ACaribbean Storm Islands95-105
14/10/25ACaribbean Storm Islands52-71
22/06/25ACaimanes del Llano89-99
21/06/25ACaimanes del Llano30-75
18/06/25ACaribbean Storm Islands62-76
17/06/25ACaribbean Storm Islands48-88
13/06/25HCaribbean Storm Islands80-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25ACimarrones del Choco71-57
17/10/25HCaribbean Storm Islands69-83
17/10/25HCaribbean Storm Islands85-68
14/10/25HToros del Valle70-84
13/10/25HToros del Valle77-79
27/06/25AToros del Valle70-78
24/06/25HToros del Valle83-87
19/06/25AMotilones del Norte85-91 OT
19/06/25AMotilones del Norte70-74
15/06/25HPiratas de Bogota80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25916
Win %16%33%6%
Points / game74.476.273.3
Allowed / game91.686.494.6
Point differential-17.3-10.2-21.2
Avg total166.0162.7167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sabios de Manizales
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeLLLWL47%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%47%33%
Points / game76.477.774.9
Allowed / game78.977.380.9
Point differential-2.5+0.3-6.0
Avg total155.4155.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas3124777%87.578.5+8.9
2 Caimanes del Llano32201262%79.674.6+5.0
3 Toros del Valle31191261%81.576.6+4.8
4 Caribbean Storm Islands33181555%82.079.0+3.0
5 Motilones del Norte25121348%76.377.7-1.4
6 Sabios de Manizales27111641%76.478.9-2.5
7 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
8 Cimarrones del Choco2542116%74.491.6-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco1712231567
Sabios de Manizales1718133280
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