PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sabios de Manizales vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 98-90
30-31 21-26 23-14 24-19
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game91.3
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Jorge Arango Uribe
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sabios de Manizales v Cimarrones del Choco
14 May 2025
SABI98
CIMA90
13 May 2025
SABI103
CIMA82
16 Nov 2024
SABI86
CIMA120
15 Nov 2024
SABI88
CIMA114
27 Sep 2023
SABI80
CIMA72
31 May 2023
SABI89
CIMA106
30 May 2023
SABI91
CIMA83
28 Sep 2022
SABI51
CIMA89
27 Sep 2022
SABI67
CIMA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sabios de Manizales winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sabios de ManizalesColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManizales
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#5
L
95-135
95
135
-40
76avg 60
A13/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
88-114
88
114
-26
71avg 60
H15/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
86-120
86
120
-34
57avg 60
H17/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
55-85
55
85
-30
37avg 60
H20/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
96-109
96
109
-13
82avg 60
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
48avg 60
A26/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
65-111
65
111
-46
41avg 60
A27/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
32avg 60
A10/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 60
A11/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
103-82
103
82
+21
90avg 60
H13/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
24-27
28-37
22-36
18-32
23-17
25-27
22-38
23-26
20-33
14-29
29-32
17-19
14-32
14-13
10-21
24-23
28-29
19-30
25-27
16-23
8-10
18-28
23-12
19-31
20-22
7-30
19-28
10-16
16-17
17-31
8-18
18-14
23-22
19-23
20-13
21-26
15-16
31-20
36-20
176.7Avg total
78.4Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.078.7156.7-0.767%
Season at home (1)103.082.0185.0+21.0100%
Season away (2)65.577.0142.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)78.498.3176.7-19.920%
Last 5 (5)72.884.0156.8-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)74.196.1170.2-22.010%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)103.082.0185.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
83avg 72
H27/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
98-85
98
85
+13
92avg 72
H28/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
92-86
92
86
+6
87avg 72
H04/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
80avg 72
H05/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 72
A07/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 72
A08/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 72
A10/12
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 72
A09/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 72
A10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 72
A13/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-21
27-14
20-25
14-20
29-28
25-22
30-15
21-22
24-22
17-23
30-19
16-27
11-20
25-15
22-12
18-22
12-23
20-21
18-19
27-16
8-24
28-20
4-14
17-28
13-15
15-24
28-14
20-28
20-27
24-19
31-17
29-15
11-21
14-22
17-22
26-21
16-15
20-31
20-36
165.1Avg total
81.3Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.791.3174.0-8.733%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)82.791.3174.0-8.733%
Last 10 (10)81.383.8165.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.685.8163.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.083.8161.8-5.835%
vs Similar (6)76.772.0148.7+4.767%
vs Weaker (4)106.890.5197.2+16.275%
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
Sabios de ManizalesCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sabios de ManizalesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#5
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H15/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H17/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H20/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A26/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A27/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A10/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/05
LBP
84.8Avg total
37.8Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.646.483.0-9.813%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.350.487.7-13.10%-
Last 30 away (16)36.042.978.9-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)37.847.084.8-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.472.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)36.646.683.2-10.014%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/12
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A09/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/05
LBP
79.9Avg total
36.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.180.6-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.141.477.5-5.436%-
Last 30 away (16)40.842.683.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.843.179.9-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.079.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.042.779.7-5.840%-
vs Similar (6)37.740.878.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker (4)48.040.888.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Sabios de Manizales) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sabios de Manizalestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sabios de Manizales: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.620.3
46.6%
49.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.3
29.2%
30.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
67.7%11.9
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.4
49.1%
49.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.2
38.4%
30.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.210.9
67.3%
67.7%10.9
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sabios de Manizales
WWLLLLLLLL
Cimarrones del Choco
LLWLLLWWWW
#5
League position
#7
-23.9
Net rating
-3.7
93.1
Offensive rating
101.1
117.1
Defensive rating
104.8
45.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.6%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.2%
3-point %
38.4%
35.7%
Assist %
56.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 101.1Defence117.1 · 104.8Shooting45.5% · 53.2%3-point %29.2% · 38.4%Ball care16.2% · 20.6%Off. rebounds22.0% · 23.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Sabios de Manizales   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25HCimarrones del Choco103-82
11/05/25APaisas80-72
10/05/25APaisas51-82
27/11/24AMotilones del Norte65-111
26/11/24AMotilones del Norte65-73
21/11/24HPaisas96-109
20/11/24HPaisas55-85
17/11/24HCimarrones del Choco86-120
15/11/24HCimarrones del Choco88-114
13/11/24AToros del Valle95-135
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25ASabios de Manizales82-103
10/05/25AToros del Valle71-80
09/05/25AToros del Valle95-91
10/12/24AMotilones del Norte73-81
08/12/24AMotilones del Norte67-74
07/12/24AMotilones del Norte68-85
05/12/24HMotilones del Norte84-77 OT
04/12/24HMotilones del Norte92-86
28/11/24HPiratas de Bogota98-85
27/11/24HPiratas de Bogota83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sabios de Manizales
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.0103.065.5
Allowed / game78.782.077.0
Point differential-0.7+21.0-11.5
Avg total156.7185.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
Home--
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game82.7-82.7
Allowed / game91.3-91.3
Point differential-8.7--8.7
Avg total174.0-174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas43175%77.566.2+11.2
2 Sabios de Manizales32167%78.078.7-0.7
3 Motilones del Norte21150%74.571.5+3.0
4 Caribbean Storm Islands21150%71.574.5-3.0
5 Cimarrones del Choco31233%82.791.3-8.7
6 Toros del Valle41325%76.280.5-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sabios de Manizales3021232498
Cimarrones del Choco3126141990
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.