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Cincinnati vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-65
34-38 50-27
Position#91
Record16-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#249
Record10-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cincinnati v South Florida
11 Feb 2023
CINC84
SOUT65
26 Feb 2022
CINC54
SOUT56
16 Dec 2020
CINC71
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A06/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H08/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H12/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A14/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A19/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H22/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H02/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-22
31-39
28-35
31-37
38-25
45-30
29-27
25-25
47-29
38-40
32-42
36-33
43-36
26-39
36-18
45-37
31-20
42-44
37-28
46-55
141.5Avg total
73.6Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.268.7145.9+8.564%
Season at home (17)79.666.1145.7+13.576%
Season away (8)72.174.1146.2-2.038%
Last 10 (10)73.667.9141.5+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.074.0151.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.271.8131.0-12.50%
vs Similar (8)77.175.0152.1+2.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)75.665.3140.9+10.476%
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#210
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A12/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H19/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A26/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A29/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-30
40-38
34-28
32-42
36-37
41-46
34-31
47-39
29-47
40-38
38-33
47-39
34-34
36-36
33-45
47-37
44-30
27-33
35-48
46-51
152.1Avg total
75.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.771.9144.6+0.842%
Season at home (16)71.170.1141.2+1.144%
Season away (8)75.875.6151.4+0.138%
Last 10 (10)75.077.1152.1-2.130%
Last 5 (5)78.679.0157.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.274.3141.5-7.121%
vs Similar (13)70.266.2136.4+4.154%
vs Weaker (3)77.372.3149.7+5.033%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +0.4+0.4
CincinnatiSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A06/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H08/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A14/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A19/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H02/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A08/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
36.0Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.630.967.5+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.130.567.6+6.574%-
Last 30 away (11)35.831.667.5+4.273%-
Last 10 (10)36.028.264.2+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.864.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.234.068.2+0.250%-
vs Similar (8)35.033.168.1+1.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.929.466.2+7.582%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#210
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H09/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.768.3-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.434.968.3-1.439%-
Last 30 away (12)33.834.468.2-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.370.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.074.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.536.168.6-3.614%-
vs Similar (13)33.932.266.2+1.762%-
vs Weaker (3)37.339.076.3-1.733%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cincinnati wins
2
South Florida wins
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23ATulane94-101 OT
04/02/23HUCF Knights73-64
02/02/23HTulsa81-55
28/01/23AHouston69-75
22/01/23HMemphis68-75
19/01/23ASouth Florida85-69
14/01/23ASMU Mustangs54-52
12/01/23HEast Carolina83-55
08/01/23HHouston59-72
06/01/23AWichita State70-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23HMemphis81-99
02/02/23HEast Carolina71-63
29/01/23ASMU Mustangs80-82
26/01/23ATemple76-79 OT
21/01/23HUCF Knights85-72
19/01/23HCincinnati69-85
15/01/23AEast Carolina81-70
12/01/23AHouston77-83
08/01/23HWichita State66-70
05/01/23HTemple64-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLWLWW76%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %64%76%38%
Points / game77.279.672.1
Allowed / game68.766.174.1
Point differential+8.5+13.5-2.0
Avg total145.9145.7146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%71%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%12%
South Florida
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLLWWL44%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %42%44%38%
Points / game72.771.175.8
Allowed / game71.970.175.6
Point differential+0.8+1.1+0.1
Avg total144.6141.2151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)17% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston2523292%75.655.0+20.6
2 Arizona2522388%83.470.4+13.0
3 Kansas2520580%76.267.9+8.2
4 Kansas State2419579%76.968.0+8.9
5 Baylor2519676%78.869.1+9.6
6 TCU2517868%76.266.8+9.4
7 Arizona State2517868%71.266.9+4.4
8 Iowa State2416867%70.161.8+8.4
9 Utah Utes2516964%70.461.8+8.7
10 Cincinnati2516964%77.268.7+8.5
11 Oklahoma State2516964%69.263.4+5.8
12 UCF Knights2314961%71.666.3+5.3
13 West Virginia25151060%76.870.2+6.6
14 Brigham Young27161159%75.469.1+6.4
15 Colorado25141156%71.265.6+5.6
16 Texas Tech24121250%74.068.5+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2624292%78.065.5+12.5
2 North Texas2621581%63.255.6+7.7
3 Memphis2418675%81.073.3+7.7
4 Tulane2316770%82.275.7+6.5
5 UAB2618869%82.271.1+11.1
6 Rice2415962%78.574.0+4.5
7 Charlotte25141156%65.661.5+4.1
8 Temple25141156%69.368.8+0.6
9 Wichita State24121250%68.766.7+2.0
10 East Carolina24121250%69.570.1-0.6
11 South Florida24101442%72.771.9+0.8
12 UTSA Roadrunners2671927%67.174.8-7.7
13 Tulsa2351822%67.777.0-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati345084
South Florida382765
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