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SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 52-54
27-29 25-25
Position#327
Record6-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game73.5
SMU Mustangs
USA
vs
Cincinnati 🏆
USA
Position#91
Record12-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati
14 Jan 2023
SMU 52
CINC54
03 Mar 2022
SMU 76
CINC71
12 Mar 2021
SMU 71
CINC74
07 Jan 2021
SMU 69
CINC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H08/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H11/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A24/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H01/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A06/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
53-85
53
85
-32
A08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
40-39
33-28
24-47
31-37
44-46
35-41
50-40
40-32
37-42
31-22
26-36
43-36
49-31
23-49
30-38
25-34
28-51
33-34
55-63
148.1Avg total
70.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.073.5142.5-4.535%
Season at home (11)73.471.7145.1+1.645%
Season away (6)61.076.8137.8-15.817%
Last 10 (10)70.577.6148.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)68.678.8147.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.779.3147.0-11.720%
vs Similar (6)72.062.8134.8+9.267%
vs Weaker (8)71.662.9134.5+8.875%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#145
W
97-71
97
71
+26
H04/12
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H10/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
103-76
103
76
+27
H15/12
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Detroit
#262
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A01/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A06/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H08/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-24
57-47
24-41
53-39
50-33
53-43
40-23
38-37
37-28
35-26
45-35
43-42
29-37
32-33
39-22
31-39
28-35
31-37
38-25
45-30
146.4Avg total
78.8Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.168.1146.2+10.067%
Season at home (14)80.866.4147.2+14.479%
Season away (4)68.874.0142.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)78.867.6146.4+11.270%
Last 5 (5)72.267.0139.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.573.0129.5-16.50%
vs Similar (10)76.776.8153.5-0.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)74.665.0139.6+9.673%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -5.0-5.02nd half: +4.5+4.5
SMU MustangsCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#265
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H08/12
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H11/12
NCAA
Iona
#25
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A26/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A06/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
32.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.133.564.7-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.533.465.8-0.945%-
Last 30 away (10)28.533.962.4-5.440%-
Last 10 (10)32.234.366.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.066.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.636.967.5-6.327%-
vs Similar (6)31.329.761.0+1.750%-
vs Weaker (8)31.531.162.6+0.462%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#145
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H04/12
NCAA
Xavier
#46
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H10/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H15/12
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Detroit
#262
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A06/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H08/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
37.0Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.268.8+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.933.270.1+3.665%-
Last 30 away (10)33.233.166.3+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.030.367.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.866.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.235.566.8-4.225%-
vs Similar (10)34.336.470.7-2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.530.867.3+5.773%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
4
Cincinnati wins
DateGameScore
04/03/22SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati76-71
07/01/22Cincinnati v SMU Mustangs77-60
12/03/21SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati71-74
08/01/21SMU Mustangs v Cincinnati69-76
29/01/20Cincinnati v SMU Mustangs65-43
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23HTulane88-97
08/01/23AUCF Knights53-85
06/01/23AHouston53-87
01/01/23HTulsa92-67
26/12/22AHawaii57-58
24/12/22AUtah State77-74
22/12/22HIona85-81
11/12/22HTCU75-83
08/12/22HArizona State57-75
03/12/22HJackson State68-69
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23HEast Carolina83-55
08/01/23HHouston59-72
06/01/23AWichita State70-61
01/01/23ATemple61-70
30/12/22HTulane88-77
22/12/22HDetroit72-54
17/12/22HLa Salle78-60
15/12/22HMiami (FL)103-76
10/12/22HXavier77-80
04/12/22HBryant University97-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %35%45%17%
Points / game69.073.461.0
Allowed / game73.571.776.8
Point differential-4.5+1.6-15.8
Avg total142.5145.1137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %67%79%25%
Points / game78.180.868.8
Allowed / game68.166.474.0
Point differential+10.0+14.4-5.2
Avg total146.2147.2142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%79%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1714382%75.866.9+8.9
2 Virginia1512380%69.759.5+10.2
3 NC State1814478%79.668.6+11.1
4 Duke1713476%72.762.9+9.8
5 Wake Forest1712571%76.972.4+4.6
6 North Carolina1812667%80.072.9+7.1
7 Pittsburgh1812667%74.668.2+6.4
8 Virginia Tech1711665%74.265.8+8.4
9 Syracuse1711665%75.169.5+5.6
10 Miami (FL)34211362%76.471.9+4.5
11 Notre Dame179853%69.569.5+0.1
12 Georgia Tech178947%70.569.5+1.0
13 Boston College178947%65.168.5-3.4
14 SMU Mustangs1761135%69.073.5-4.5
15 Stanford1651131%68.367.9+0.4
16 Florida State1751229%69.474.4-5.1
17 California1731418%60.966.6-5.7
18 Louisville1821611%62.875.2-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1817194%75.952.9+23.1
2 Kansas1615194%77.865.5+12.3
3 Arizona1715288%85.872.6+13.2
4 Kansas State1715288%78.267.2+10.9
5 Iowa State1513287%71.557.7+13.9
6 TCU1714382%78.164.6+13.4
7 Arizona State1714382%73.265.4+7.9
8 UCF Knights1813572%72.163.4+8.7
9 Baylor1611569%81.070.3+10.7
10 Cincinnati1812667%78.168.1+10.0
11 Utah Utes1812667%71.761.8+9.8
12 Brigham Young2013765%74.567.2+7.3
13 Texas Tech1610662%76.665.1+11.5
14 Colorado1811761%74.166.7+7.4
15 West Virginia1710759%78.169.5+8.6
16 Oklahoma State169756%68.661.8+6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs272552
Cincinnati292554
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