Citadel vs Campbell Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 58-86

33-39 25-47

Position#361

Record5-3

FormWLLWW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game66.4

Citadel

Campbell 🏆

Position#222

Record4-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game69.7

Allowed / game64.3

NCAA

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Campbell winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Citadel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samford

#12

80-92

-12

A02/03

NCAA

Mercer

#223

76-84

-8

A08/03

NCAA

Boston College

#298

60-69

-9

A05/11

NCAA

Erskine

#562

86-56

+30

H08/11

NCAA

Stetson

#341

74-52

+22

H11/11

NCAA

North Greenville

#432

79-54

+25

H15/11

NCAA

N. Carolina A&T

#348

73-82

-9

H17/11

NCAA

Charleston

#47

61-76

-15

H20/11

NCAA

St. Andrews

#627

100-85

100

+15

H27/11

NCAA

Toccoa Falls

#565

94-57

+37

H04/12

NCAA

37-39

43-53

27-37

49-47

28-37

32-32

52-30

34-26

34-22

40-30

37-23

42-31

39-36

34-46

27-41

34-35

57-48

43-37

50-26

44-31

149.0Avg total

78.3Scored

70.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	78.4	66.4	144.8	+12.0	62%
Season at home (7)	81.0	66.0	147.0	+15.0	71%
Season away (1)	60.0	69.0	129.0	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	70.7	149.0	+7.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	70.8	152.2	+10.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	68.2	79.2	147.4	-10.9	8%
vs Similar (11)	68.4	70.6	139.0	-2.3	27%
vs Weaker (6)	87.5	65.8	153.3	+21.7	83%

This opponent (Campbell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Campbell

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Monmouth

#187

67-90

-23

A09/03

NCAA

Pfeiffer Falcons

#537

96-49

+47

H05/11

NCAA

Virginia

#230

56-65

-9

A07/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#236

64-65

-1

H10/11

NCAA

Newberry

#490

83-40

+43

H14/11

NCAA

Navy

#249

86-66

+20

A17/11

NCAA

Ohio State

#172

60-104

104

-44

A22/11

NCAA

Evansville

#319

53-66

-13

A24/11

NCAA

Wisc. Green Bay

#366

72-66

A30/11

NCAA

Coastal Carolina

#326

57-58

-1

H05/12

NCAA

31-46

–

44-24

52-25

26-35

30-30

42-31

22-34

42-14

41-26

38-33

48-33

27-53

33-51

28-34

25-32

33-27

39-39

17-26

40-32

136.3Avg total

69.4Scored

66.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	69.7	64.3	134.0	+5.3	44%
Season at home (4)	75.0	53.0	128.0	+22.0	50%
Season away (5)	65.4	73.4	138.8	-8.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	69.4	66.9	136.3	+2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.6	72.0	137.6	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	69.9	82.1	152.0	-12.2	25%
vs Similar (12)	77.2	77.2	154.4	-0.1	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	68.3	62.5	130.8	+5.8	40%

This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

CitadelCampbell

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samford

#12

37-39

-2

A02/03

NCAA

Mercer

#223

27-37

-10

A08/03

NCAA

Boston College

#298

28-37

-9

A05/11

NCAA

Erskine

#562

52-30

+22

H08/11

NCAA

Stetson

#341

34-22

+12

H11/11

NCAA

North Greenville

#432

37-23

+14

H15/11

NCAA

N. Carolina A&T

#348

39-36

H17/11

NCAA

Charleston

#47

27-41

-14

H20/11

NCAA

St. Andrews

#627

57-48

H27/11

NCAA

Toccoa Falls

#565

50-26

+24

H04/12

NCAA

72.7Avg total

38.8Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.1	35.2	69.3	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.1	34.1	70.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	31.5	36.7	68.2	-5.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	33.9	72.7	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	34.8	76.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	30.8	38.2	69.1	-7.4	8%	-
vs Similar (11)	30.6	34.0	64.6	-3.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	46.3	33.3	79.7	+13.0	83%	-

This opponent (Campbell) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CampbellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Monmouth

#187

31-46

-15

A09/03

NCAA

Pfeiffer Falcons

#537

44-24

+20

H05/11

NCAA

Virginia

#230

26-35

-9

A07/11

NCAA

St. Francis (PA)

#236

42-31

+11

H10/11

NCAA

Newberry

#490

42-14

+28

H14/11

NCAA

Navy

#249

38-33

A17/11

NCAA

Ohio State

#172

27-53

-26

A22/11

NCAA

Evansville

#319

28-34

-6

A24/11

NCAA

Wisc. Green Bay

#366

33-27

A30/11

NCAA

Coastal Carolina

#326

17-26

-9

H05/12

NCAA

65.1Avg total

32.8Scored

32.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.9	35.3	69.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.9	32.2	68.1	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.1	38.0	70.1	-5.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	32.3	65.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	34.6	63.2	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	31.5	37.4	68.9	-5.9	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.4	38.6	75.0	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	32.7	29.7	62.4	+3.0	40%	-

This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	35.2	75.1	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.1	39.3	75.4	-3.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	36.8	76.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	36.8	40.1	76.9	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.7	36.6	74.4	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.2	32.5	73.7	+8.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.7	37.5	75.1	+0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	36.4	74.9	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	38.5	75.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.7	33.6	70.2	+3.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	37.4	74.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.4	42.4	77.8	-7.0	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.2	38.2	79.4	+3.0	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	35.6	32.8	68.4	+2.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Citadel wins

Campbell wins

Date	Game	Score
22/11/23	Campbell v Citadel	65-58

Citadellast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/24	H	Toccoa Falls	94-57
27/11/24	H	St. Andrews	100-85
20/11/24	H	Charleston	61-76
17/11/24	H	N. Carolina A&T	73-82
15/11/24	H	North Greenville	79-54
11/11/24	H	Stetson	74-52
08/11/24	H	Erskine	86-56
05/11/24	A	Boston College	60-69
08/03/24	A	Mercer	76-84
02/03/24	A	Samford	80-92

Campbelllast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/24	H	Coastal Carolina	57-58
30/11/24	A	Wisc. Green Bay	72-66
24/11/24	A	Evansville	53-66
22/11/24	A	Ohio State	60-104
17/11/24	A	Navy	86-66
14/11/24	H	Newberry	83-40
10/11/24	H	St. Francis (PA)	64-65
07/11/24	A	Virginia	56-65
05/11/24	H	Pfeiffer Falcons	96-49
09/03/24	A	Monmouth	67-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	62%
Home	WLLWW	71%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	7	1
Win %	62%	71%	0%
Points / game	78.4	81.0	60.0
Allowed / game	66.4	66.0	69.0
Point differential	+12.0	+15.0	-9.0
Avg total	144.8	147.0	129.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	71%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Campbell

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	44%
Home	WLWL	50%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	50%	40%
Points / game	69.7	75.0	65.4
Allowed / game	64.3	53.0	73.4
Point differential	+5.3	+22.0	-8.0
Avg total	134.0	128.0	138.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Furman	10	9	1	90%	78.1	62.8	+15.3
2	Samford	11	9	2	82%	90.5	75.1	+15.5
3	Citadel	8	5	3	62%	78.4	66.4	+12.0
4	East Tennessee St	10	6	4	60%	77.3	68.5	+8.8
5	Mercer	9	5	4	56%	85.0	74.4	+10.6
6	NC Greensboro	9	5	4	56%	70.0	63.6	+6.4
7	Chattanooga Mocs	9	5	4	56%	72.4	73.3	-0.9
8	VMI	12	6	6	50%	80.7	70.7	+10.0
9	Wofford	10	4	6	40%	73.1	71.8	+1.3
10	Western Carolina	8	3	5	38%	74.4	75.9	-1.5

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Coastal Athletic Association conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	NC Wilmington	9	7	2	78%	82.1	73.2	+8.9
2	Charleston	9	7	2	78%	80.2	77.4	+2.8
3	Hofstra	11	8	3	73%	72.5	65.4	+7.1
4	Northeastern	10	7	3	70%	71.7	66.1	+5.6
5	Elon	9	6	3	67%	76.6	66.9	+9.7
6	Drexel	10	6	4	60%	73.4	65.4	+8.0
7	Hampton	10	5	5	50%	72.5	68.7	+3.8
8	Campbell	9	4	5	44%	69.7	64.3	+5.3
9	William & Mary	10	4	6	40%	83.4	75.2	+8.2
10	Towson	10	4	6	40%	66.1	66.0	+0.1
11	N. Carolina A&T	9	3	6	33%	77.2	77.8	-0.6
12	Stony Brook	9	2	7	22%	65.8	78.2	-12.4
13	Monmouth	12	1	11	8%	64.4	77.6	-13.2