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Samford vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-80
39-37 53-43
Position#12
Record25-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game74.4
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#311
Record11-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samford v Citadel
09 Jan 2027
SAMF v CITA
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
SAMF78
CITA64
01 Jan 2025
SAMF86
CITA56
02 Mar 2024
SAMF92
CITA80
11 Feb 2023
SAMF76
CITA70
21 Feb 2022
SAMF76
CITA74
23 Jan 2021
SAMF v CITA
upcoming
01 Jan 2020
SAMF69
CITA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#170
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
39-38
40-36
41-43
43-23
35-33
35-42
43-27
56-35
46-28
38-29
50-33
40-38
44-50
30-26
44-46
53-27
34-44
29-37
40-54
153.9Avg total
81.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.774.4161.1+12.383%
Season at home (17)95.175.3170.4+19.8100%
Season away (13)75.873.2148.9+2.662%
Last 10 (10)81.672.3153.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)80.476.8157.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)69.377.0146.3-7.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.874.6161.4+12.184%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A27/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
H01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H15/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H17/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H24/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-45
26-45
42-30
30-42
26-28
34-34
26-29
38-42
33-31
31-46
26-42
35-34
34-30
42-21
38-41
40-46
26-36
45-26
29-38
34-43
141.7Avg total
67.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.170.4140.6-0.337%
Season at home (16)73.568.4141.9+5.156%
Season away (14)66.372.8139.1-6.514%
Last 10 (10)67.873.9141.7-6.120%
Last 5 (5)69.871.4141.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.076.2143.2-9.217%
vs Similar (11)65.869.3135.1-3.527%
vs Weaker (7)82.362.3144.6+20.086%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.4-2.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -2.4-2.4
SamfordCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#170
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H22/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H24/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A29/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
40.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.232.875.0+9.587%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.532.780.2+14.8100%-
Last 30 away (13)35.332.868.2+2.569%-
Last 10 (10)40.032.772.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.469.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)30.736.367.0-5.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.532.975.4+9.688%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H15/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H24/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/02
NCAA
66.6Avg total
31.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.266.4-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.632.865.4-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)31.835.767.5-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.635.066.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.637.468.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.737.768.3-7.08%-
vs Similar (11)29.233.162.3-3.936%-
vs Weaker (7)39.629.969.4+9.786%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Samford wins
1
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Citadel v Samford64-80
11/02/23Samford v Citadel76-70
31/12/22Citadel v Samford63-75
22/02/22Samford v Citadel76-74
05/02/22Citadel v Samford107-93
15/02/20Citadel v Samford62-74
01/01/20Samford v Citadel69-68
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24AWofford69-91
24/02/24HEast Tennessee St87-71
22/02/24HFurman74-72
17/02/24AMercer84-88
15/02/24HWestern Carolina88-62
10/02/24AVMI102-63
09/02/24ANC Greensboro78-69
03/02/24AChattanooga Mocs78-56
01/02/24HWofford81-79
27/01/24AEast Tennessee St75-72
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HEast Tennessee St63-81
24/02/24HChattanooga Mocs71-62
22/02/24AMercer78-87
17/02/24HVMI76-51
15/02/24HNC Greensboro61-76
11/02/24AWofford64-77
08/02/24AWestern Carolina64-71
03/02/24AEast Tennessee St60-62
01/02/24HFurman79-82 OT
27/01/24AChattanooga Mocs62-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %83%100%62%
Points / game86.795.175.8
Allowed / game74.475.373.2
Point differential+12.3+19.8+2.6
Avg total161.1170.4148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL37%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %37%56%14%
Points / game70.173.566.3
Allowed / game70.468.472.8
Point differential-0.3+5.1-6.5
Avg total140.6141.9139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford3025583%86.774.4+12.3
2 Western Carolina3122971%76.968.4+8.5
3 NC Greensboro3021970%76.569.8+6.7
4 Chattanooga Mocs30191163%78.071.5+6.5
5 Wofford31171455%75.173.8+1.3
6 East Tennessee St29151452%70.269.0+1.2
7 Furman31161552%79.675.7+3.9
8 Mercer31151648%71.271.8-0.6
9 Citadel30111937%70.170.4-0.3
10 VMI3142713%69.082.1-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford395392
Citadel374380
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